BMIE Market 80130

Douglas County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24,719 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,302 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,305 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,054 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,959 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$158,741 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,901 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$691,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,592 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80130
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+150.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+900.0% DERIVED: 2001 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	92 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80130. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.6	90	40%	+35.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	92.3	92	35%	+32.3
Market Momentum Score	89.4	89	25%	+22.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24,719	85	40%	+34.0
Median household income (ACS)	158,741	97	40%	+38.8
Households (ACS)	9,305	84	20%	+16.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.1	95	25%	+23.7
Population (ACS)	24,719	85	20%	+17.0
Median household income (ACS)	158,741	97	20%	+19.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	42.9	88	50%	+44.1
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	150	89	20%	+17.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (13)

By cuisine

Bakery 3 · Dessert 2 · Asian 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 6 · Bakery 3 · Bar 2 · Dessert 2 · Casual dining 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6675 Business Center Dr	open
El cubanaso food truck	Food truck		6082 Blue Ridge Dr	open
Kristin Marin Colorado	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	10135 S Jill Ave	open
Lodo's Bar And Grill	Bar		8545 S Quebec St	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	8663 S Quebec St	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	6654 Timberline Rd Ste D	open
Subway Restaurants	Quick service		9375 Cresthill Ln	open
Tamale Kitchen Tamale Kitchen Lakewood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6642 Timberline Rd	open
The Park Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		6700 E Palomino Pkwy	open
Tokyo Joe's Tokyo Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	6642 Timberline Rd	open
Vegandreamz	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	10576 Wagon Box Cir	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	6675 Business Center Dr	open
On The Border Mexican Grill & Cantina - Highlands Ranch	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Mexican	8555 S Quebec St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2001	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	9	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	8	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	10	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	7	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	6	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	6	1	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	6	1	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	8	5	1	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	6	1	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	6	1	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	10	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	10	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	9	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	10	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80130. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80124	1.8 mi	98	2023
80126	2.3 mi	64	2023
80122	4.0 mi	84	2023
80112	4.4 mi	170	2023
80129	4.8 mi	70	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.