BMIE Market 80138

Douglas County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	36,895 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,236 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,447 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±563 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	29,786 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,781 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$145,013 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,807 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,036 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±161 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$723,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,431 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	62.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80138
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+81.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+263.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+3,900.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	48 (range 45–52) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.9 per year, r² 0.94) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	93 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80138. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.94, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	93.2	93	40%	+37.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86.1	86	35%	+30.1
Market Momentum Score	88.4	88	25%	+22.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	36,895	93	40%	+37.0
Median household income (ACS)	145,013	96	40%	+38.2
Households (ACS)	12,447	90	20%	+18.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	81.8	89	35%	+31.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.8	69	25%	+17.3
Population (ACS)	36,895	93	20%	+18.5
Median household income (ACS)	145,013	96	20%	+19.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	81.8	89	30%	+26.8
20-year restaurant growth	263.6	96	20%	+19.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (86)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 10 · Dessert 8 · Mexican 7 · Asian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Breakfast 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Pizza 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Cuban 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Quick service 16 · Bar 11 · Coffee shop 9 · Dessert 9 · Café 6 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 5 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alexis Michopoulos, D.o.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19751 E Mainstreet	open
bee.shepherd.honeys	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		41322 London Dr	open
Bites Catering Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11985 Singing Winds St	open
Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	10157 Parkglenn Way	open
Black+Haus Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	19501 E Mainstreet	open
Black-eyed Pea Black Eyed Pea Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9205 Crown Crest Blvd	open
Café Delight	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	9395 Crown Crest Blvd	open
Cencalli Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	19757 Pikes Peak Ave	open
Charles D. Cox, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9355 Crown Crest Blvd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	18400 Cottonwood Dr Ste 101	open
CO \| Teriyaki Madness Parker Teriyaki Madness	Quick service		Parker, CO, USA	open
Coffee Theorem	Coffee shop	Coffee	18301 Cottonwood Dr	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	18561 E Mainstreet	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	19320 Plaza Dr	open
Del Taco	Quick service		11147 Pikes Peak Drive	open
Dirty Dough	Bakery	Bakery	9700 S Parker Rd Ste 400	open
Dough Dreamery	Dessert	Dessert	19751 E Mainstreet Ste R7	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	19240 E Lincoln Ave	open
Dwg Parker, Inc. Chick-fil-A	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	9335 Crown Crest Blvd	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	9700 S Parker Rd	open
El Potrero Ranch	Specialty food shop	Steakhouse	6997 N Delbert Rd	open
Elev 5900	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	19751 E Mainstreet	open
Fika Coffee House Fika Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	19559 E Mainstreet	open
Fika Coffee House Fika Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	22040 E Idyllwilde Dr	open
Heidi's Brooklyn Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	19751 Mainstreet r7	open
Isla Verde	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	19757 E Pikes Peak Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		11179 S Pikes Peak Dr	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	18320 Cottonwood Dr Suite J	open
Jock's & Jills Sports Grill	Bar		19751 E Mainstreet	open
Jordan Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19552 E Mainstreet	open
Jp Cocina Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11160 S Pikes Peak Dr	open
Kilwins Kilwins	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	19501 Mainstreet Unit 104	open
La Petite Crêperie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · French · European	19751 E Mainstreet	open
Las Delicias Parker	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	19553 E Mainstreet	open
Latin Flavor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Breakfast · American	475 County Road 166	open
LDPBeer	Brewery / taproom		19340 Cottonwood Dr	open
Los Dos Potrillos Mexican Restaurant y Cerveceria Los Dos Potrillos Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	19340 Cottonwood Dr	open
Marvin's Place	Coffee shop	Coffee	19865 Mainstreet #120	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	9160 Crown Crest Blvd	open
Mexico To Rome	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	475 Singing Hills Rd	open
MOD Pizza MOD Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	18300 Cottonwood Dr	open
Nomelie Cupcakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	19751 E Mainstreet	open
Parker Brewfest	Brewery / taproom		10795 Victorian Dr	open
Parker Garage	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	19420 E Mainstreet	open
Parker Oktoberfest	Bar		10795 Victorian Dr	open
Parker Station Grill & Brewing	Bar		19751 E Mainstreet Ste R1	open
Peakview Cafe	Café	Coffee	9395 Crown Crest Blvd	open
Playa Bowls Playa Bowls	Quick service		19865 Main Street Ste 140	open
Pobar	Bar		46717 Sundance Trl	open
poulette BAKESHOP	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	19865 Mainstreet #130	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	18200 Cottonwood Drive	open
Red Robin Red Robin Gourmet Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Burgers · American	9130 Crown Crest Blvd	open
Rise and Grind Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	475 Singing Hills Rd	open
Rita’s of Parker CO Rita's Italian Ice	Dessert · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	19250 E Lincoln Ave	open
Rocket Fizz Rocket Fizz	Dessert		19751 E Mainstreet	open
Rory's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	11020 S Pikes Peak Dr	open
Saltgrass Steak House Saltgrass Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	19310 Cottonwood Dr	open
Santortas Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	19250 E Lincoln Ave	open
Santortas Mexican Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sandwiches	19250 Lincoln Ave #130	open
Spice Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	19751 E Mainstreet	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	9700 S Parker Rd	open
Subourbon on Main	Casual dining · Bar		19590 Mainstreet Suite 101	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	525 County Road 166	open
Subway Restaurants	Quick service		22219 Hilltop Rd	open
SuChine Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Japanese · Thai · Sushi · Asian	19751 E Main St	open
Swirls Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	19751 Mainstreet r4	open
Tailgate Tavern & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	19552 E Mainstreet	open
Teriyaki Madness Teriyaki Madness	Quick service	Japanese · Asian	9700 S Parker Rd Ste 300	open
The Gnarly Root	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9355 Crown Crest Blvd	open
The Rock Wood Fired Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	19340 E Cottonwood Dr	open
To Your Door Burritos By Ele	Food truck		19751 E Mainstreet	open
Tokyo Joe's Tokyo Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese	19240 E Lincoln Ave	open
Torres Family Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19553 E Mainstreet	open
Trapper's Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	19308 Cottonwood Dr Fl 4	open
Trappers Chop House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19308 Cottonwood Dr	open
Vibe Foods Superfood Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	18320 Cottonwood Dr	open
Vines Wine Bar and Bistro	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		19501 E Mainstreet	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	19312 E Plaza Dr	open
Wendy's	Quick service		9185 Crown Crest Blvd	open
Wild Goose Saloon	Bar		11160 S Pikes Peak Dr	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	19250 E. Lincoln Ave	open
Zao Asian Cafe zao asian cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	18374 Cottonwood Dr #110	open
Brick House Tavern + Tap	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	19320 Cottonwood Dr	closed
Fandraught Sports Brewery	Brewery / taproom		19340 Cottonwood Dr	closed
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	18424 Cottonwood Dr	closed
Underground	Bar		11020 S Pikes Peak Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	3	2	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	13	8	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	19	18	10	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	20	18	10	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	18	17	11	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	21	21	14	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	23	23	15	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	25	24	13	8	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	27	27	15	7	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	23	23	16	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	22	22	14	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	23	22	13	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	23	23	13	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	25	25	14	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	30	28	13	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	32	30	15	11	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	33	31	12	13	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	33	30	12	13	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	38	35	13	17	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	44	40	12	19	9	—	NAICS2022
2023	44	40	11	18	11	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80138. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.