BMIE Market 80241

Adams County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	34,082 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,793 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,679 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±659 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	31,746 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,638 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$110,218 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,000 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,202 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±118 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$542,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,084 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80241
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+160.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 14–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.79) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	93 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80241. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.79, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.2	89	40%	+35.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	92.9	93	35%	+32.5
Market Momentum Score	83.3	83	25%	+20.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	34,082	91	40%	+36.5
Median household income (ACS)	110,218	87	40%	+34.7
Households (ACS)	12,679	90	20%	+18.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	160	96	35%	+33.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.8	95	25%	+23.9
Population (ACS)	34,082	91	20%	+18.2
Median household income (ACS)	110,218	87	20%	+17.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	44.4	88	50%	+44.2
10-year restaurant growth	160	96	30%	+28.7
20-year restaurant growth	30	52	20%	+10.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (41)

By cuisine

Bakery 11 · Coffee 7 · American 3 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Breakfast 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bakery 11 · Café 7 · Bar 6 · Quick service 6 · Coffee shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Dessert 2 · Casual dining 1 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Allegro Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	12799 Claude Ct	open
Alternative Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	1055 E 14th Ave	open
Banh Mee	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	13571 Grant St	open
Big Dog Bakery, LLC	Bakery	Bakery	2908 E 135th Pl	open
Bleu Sage Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Coffee	1500 E 128th Ave	open
Boppy’s Biscuits	Bakery	Bakery	13067 Garfield Dr	open
Cafe 421	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	421 E 134th Ave	open
Calzada’s Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2181 Lake Ave, Thornton, CO 80241, United States	open
Capri Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	12720 Colorado Blvd	open
Colin's Coffin	Bar		2482 E 123rd Way	open
Dairy Queen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4335 E 131st Pl	open
DAR Chocolate Factory Outlet	Dessert	Dessert	12189 Pennsylvania St	open
Delight Me Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	12720 Colorado Blvd Unit A	open
El Lechon Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	12720 Colorado Blvd	open
Hot Pot Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	13567 Grant St	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	250 E 136th Ave	open
La Belle French Bakery La Belle French Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · European	12189 Pennsylvania St	open
Lisa Anne's Country Cupboard Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	12400 First St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		150 E. 136th Ave.	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	611 E 120th Ave	open
Mystic Mountain Distillery Tasting Room	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		12136 Grant Cir	open
Mystic Mountain Distillery Tasting Room	Bar		12136 Grant Cir Unit B	open
Off Script Brewing	Brewery / taproom		2	open
Parry's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12624 Washington St	open
Prime Romance	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	12020 Colorado Blvd	open
Rivers City Cafe	Café	Coffee	2173 Lake Circle Dr	open
Satire Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		12136 Grant Cir	open
Smalls Sliders Smalls Sliders	Quick service	Burgers · American	1831 E 120th Ave	open
Smashburger Smashburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	832 E. 120th Ave.	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3801 East 120 Ave	open
Sumpin' Sweet Gourmet Cupcakes	Bakery	Bakery	1500 E 128th Ave	open
Sweet Life Cake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	12720 Colorado Blvd Unit A	open
Taqueria El Compita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4160 E 128th Ave	open
Tequila's Family Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	12020 Pennsylvania St	open
TGI Fridays	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1251 E 120th Pl	open
The Pretzel Box	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	12189 Pennsylvania St	open
United Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	4150 E 128th Ave	open
Wonderland Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		13545 High Cir	open
XLVII's Bakery LLC	Bakery	Bakery	12189 Pennsylvania St	open
Yummy Yummy Products Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12191 Pennsylvania St	open
Papa Mazzotti's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2252 Lake Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	11	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	10	3	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	4	2	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	12	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	8	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	8	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	13	3	4	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80241. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80233	2.2 mi	87	2023
80234	2.9 mi	84	2023
80602	3.5 mi	22	2023
80023	4.4 mi	81	2023
80640	4.8 mi	6	2023
80260	5.0 mi	40	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.