BMIE Market 80602

Adams County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	44,783 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,245 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,310 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±552 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,665 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,248 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$151,737 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,765 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,467 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±205 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$667,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	30.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80602
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+29.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+83.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+633.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+633.3% DERIVED: 2000 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 20–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	93 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	95 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	93 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80602. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	95.3	95	40%	+38.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	92.6	93	35%	+32.4
Market Momentum Score	88.1	88	25%	+22.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 95 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	44,783	96	40%	+38.3
Median household income (ACS)	151,737	96	40%	+38.5
Households (ACS)	14,310	93	20%	+18.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	83.3	89	35%	+31.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.9	92	25%	+23.0
Population (ACS)	44,783	96	20%	+19.1
Median household income (ACS)	151,737	96	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	29.4	83	50%	+41.5
10-year restaurant growth	83.3	89	30%	+26.8
20-year restaurant growth	633.3	99	20%	+19.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

Coffee 11 · American 6 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Quick service 12 · Café 10 · Coffee shop 8 · Bar 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Brothers Pizzeria Thornton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13691 Colorado Blvd	open
Big Cheese Quebec, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12899 Quebec St	open
Blessed BBQ	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ		open
Blue Bay Asian Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Asian · Coffee	12840 Holly St #180	open
Bopp Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5883 E 128th Ave	open
China Wok Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4243 E 136th Ave Unit 312	open
Chucks Glenn	Bar	American	11085 E 162nd Dr	open
CO Blvd Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	13792 Colorado Blvd.	open
Dilligaf's	Bar · Casual dining		15800 Dallas St	open
Doug's Diner Doug's Diner Piney Creek Centennial	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	4243 E 136th Ave #6918	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	13792 Colorado Blvd	open
Frankie's Goodies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7950 E 124th Ave	open
Infuzed Soda Bar	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Dessert · Coffee	13762 Colorado Blvd #124	open
Leap Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	13745 Spruce Way	open
Liberty Services	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7101 E 128th Ave	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5781 E 128th Ave	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	12899 Quebec Street	open
Mateo-Bräu Brewery	Brewery / taproom			open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	12875 Quebec St	open
Panda Express Panda Express	Quick service		7120 East 128th Avenue	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13691 CO Blvd.	open
Pho 303	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	13691 Colorado Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13762 Colorado Blvd. Adams	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Riverdale Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13300 Riverdale Rd	open
Rush Bowls Rush Bowls	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	13762 Colorado Blvd #124	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	7060 East 128Th Avenue	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	6920 E 128th Ave Ste 100	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Coffee	13671 Colorado Blvd Suite A	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6920 E 128th Ave	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	13525 Quebec St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7101 E 128th Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	13762 Colorado Blvd Space #160 Space #160	open
Summer Moon Coffee Summer Moon Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	12840 Holly St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		12985 Quebec St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	13732 Colorado Blvd.	open
The Sno Ball Shack	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts	11401 E 160th Ave	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	7101 E 128th Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4101 E. 136th Ave	open
Wine River Cellars at Riverdale	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar			open
Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7315 E 128th Ave	open
Zingers Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8455 Heritage Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2000	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	11	3	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	1	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	9	—	6	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	12	—	10	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	12	—	10	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	11	1	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	3	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	15	5	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	20	18	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	17	7	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	17	8	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	16	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	25	20	7	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	22	6	13	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80602. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80241	3.5 mi	13	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.