BMIE Market 80303

Boulder County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24,996 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,327 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,783 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±572 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,361 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,222 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,555 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,965 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	29.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,910 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$961,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44,210 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	21.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80303
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-18.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-17.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	35 (range 30–40) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.8 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	21 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80303. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.9	76	40%	+30.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.5	48	35%	+16.6
Market Momentum Score	20.7	21	25%	+5.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24,996	85	40%	+34.1
Median household income (ACS)	78,555	60	40%	+24.1
Households (ACS)	11,783	89	20%	+17.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-13.3	17	35%	+5.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.6	51	25%	+12.7
Population (ACS)	24,996	85	20%	+17.1
Median household income (ACS)	78,555	60	20%	+12.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 21 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-18.8	14	50%	+6.9
10-year restaurant growth	-13.3	17	30%	+5.0
20-year restaurant growth	18.2	44	20%	+8.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (86)

By cuisine

Coffee 12 · American 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Bakery 8 · Asian 7 · Mexican 7 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 6 · Italian 5 · Latin American (other) 4 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Sushi 3 · Vietnamese 3 · BBQ 2 · Indian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Quick service 12 · Café 10 · Bar 9 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 8 · Dessert 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Specialty food shop 6 · Food truck 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amante Baseline	Coffee shop	Coffee	2850 Baseline Rd	open
Andiamo Brew	Brewery / taproom			open
Avalanche Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	98 S Boulder Cir	open
Avery Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		5763 Arapahoe Ave	open
Bad Ass Coffee of Hawaii Bad Ass Coffee of Hawaii	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2850 Baseline Rd	open
Basta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3601 Arapahoe Ave	open
Best Store Ever	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3100 Arapahoe Ave Ste 215	open
Big Daddy Bagels Big Daddy Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	4800 Baseline Rd	open
Bona Coffee Roasters (Roastery By Appointment Only)	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5763 Arapahoe Ave	open
Boulder Altan Alma Organic Farm	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	7150 South Boulder Rd	open
Boulder Baked	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5290 Arapahoe Ave Unit H	open
Bovas Market & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1100 28th St	open
Breakfast Champion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	4800 Baseline Rd Ste A109	open
Bridge House Brownies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5345 Arapahoe Ave	open
Busaba Thai \| Boulder Busaba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	4800 Baseline Rd	open
Cafe Mexicali Cafe Mexicali	Café	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Coffee	2850 Baseline Rd	open
Carelli's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	645 30th St	open
Chef Fabio at Home	Food truck		33 S Boulder Cir	open
Coma Méxican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4800 Baseline Rd Ste E105	open
Cosmo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	659 30th St	open
Cosmo's Spicy Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	5763 Arapahoe Ave	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	685 30th St 685 30th St	open
Dark Horse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2922 Baseline Rd	open
Deli Zone Baseline DELI ZONE Aurora	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	4800 Baseline Rd d104	open
Denny's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	2905 Baseline Rd	open
Dos Manos Food Truck	Food truck	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	2860 Arapahoe Ave	open
Dry Storage	Bakery	Bakery	3601 Arapahoe Ave D-181	open
Eggcredible Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	5397 S Boulder Rd	open
Gindi Cafe	Café	Coffee	3601 Arapahoe Ave	open
Glacier Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4760 Baseline Rd	open
Gondolier Italian Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	4800 Baseline Rd	open
Harpo's Sports Grill	Bar		2860 Arapahoe Ave	open
heady coffee co. - Coffee and Plant Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Mexican · Coffee · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4800 Baseline Rd	open
Heifer and the Hen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5290 Arapahoe Ave	open
II Pastaio Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	3075 Arapahoe Ave	open
Jamba Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	3053 Arapahoe Ave	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	3310 Arapahoe Ave	open
Jubilations Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5741 Arapahoe Ave	open
Just Hit It Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5706 Arapahoe Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3210 Arapahoe Avenue	open
Korean BBQ Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	3216 Arapahoe Ave	open
KT's BBQ KT's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	7464 Arapahoe Rd	open
La Catrina Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4800 Baseline Rd	open
Le Frigo	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	5360 Arapahoe Ave	open
Lee Yuan Chinese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4800 Baseline Rd Ste A110	open
Lick Skillet Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	5340 Arapahoe Ave	open
Lit Holdings Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4800 Baseline Rd	open
Los Dos Bros Mexican Food Truck	Quick service		5501 Arapahoe Ave	open
Los Dos Bros Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	55th St &, Arapahoe Ave	open
Mcdevitt Productions	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4800 Baseline Rd Ste C110	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2920 Baseline Rd	open
Moe's Broadway Bagel	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	3075 Arapahoe Ave	open
Moe's Original BBQ Moe's Original BBQ-Bangor, ME	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	675 30th St	open
Mount Everest Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	4800 Baseline Rd	open
Naked Lunch	Café · Fast casual	Coffee · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	3301 Arapahoe Ave	open
Nick-N-Willy's Baseline	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4800 Baseline Rd	open
Out The Bottle - Boulder #1 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		675 30th St	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4800 Baseline Rd C103	open
Pencil Bar	Bar		3601 Arapahoe Ave	open
Pho 559 Boulder CO	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	Behind Walgreens - Next to Hearing Healthcare Centers, 4800 Baseline Rd E-106	open
Pho Kitchen Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Vietnamese · Asian	2900 Baseline Rd Unit 3, 2314	open
Pica's Boulder	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5360 Arapahoe Ave	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	659 30th St	open
Purrfect Pause Cat Cafe	Café	Coffee	5290 Arapahoe Ave Unit E	open
Que Rico Parce Llc	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	Arapahoe Frontage Road	open
Rae's and Kay's Melting Pot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	555 30th St	open
Rocky Flats Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		11229 Highway 93	open
Rocky Flats Lounge	Bar		11229 CO 93	open
Royal Clay Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	5290 Arapahoe Ave	open
Seb's Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5735 Arapahoe Ave	open
Silly Goose Goods	Bakery	Bakery	4895 Qualla Dr	open
Snarf's Sandwiches Snarf's Sandwiches	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	5340 Arapahoe Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian	4800 Baseline Rd	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	4760 Baseline Rd Ste B	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	5290 Arapahoe Ave Ste C	open
Sun Cups	Dessert	Dessert	5345 Arapahoe Ave	open
Temaki Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Seafood	2900 Baseline Rd Unit 3, 2314	open
The Dankerie	Dessert	Dessert	6331 Arapahoe Rd Ste 3620	open
The Egg & I Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2574 Baseline Rd.	open
The Flats Beer Garden	Bar · Casual dining		11229 CO-93	open
The Wheel & Whisk Catering and Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Catering · Casual dining · Café · Bar	Coffee	5706 Arapahoe Ave	open
Vina Pho & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1630 30th St	open
Voodoo Doughnut Voodoo Doughnut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	3210 Arapahoe Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5350 Arapahoe Rd	open
Yotsuba Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5290 Arapahoe Ave I	open
Gyros & Burgers (elephant Fusion Cafe)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	4800 Baseline Rd # A109b	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	50	47	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	46	43	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	48	45	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	58	57	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	61	47	24	15	8	2	NAICS1997
1999	63	46	22	14	9	2	NAICS1997
2000	46	38	13	18	6	—	NAICS1997
2001	41	35	15	15	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	42	35	13	18	4	—	NAICS1997
2003	43	33	11	17	5	1	NAICS2002
2004	45	34	9	19	6	3	NAICS2002
2005	43	34	10	19	5	1	NAICS2002
2006	45	37	11	20	6	1	NAICS2002
2007	44	34	11	17	6	3	NAICS2002
2008	46	39	16	16	7	1	NAICS2007
2009	49	42	16	18	8	1	NAICS2007
2010	53	45	16	22	7	1	NAICS2007
2011	55	46	18	21	7	1	NAICS2007
2012	52	46	17	21	8	1	NAICS2012
2013	52	45	19	18	8	1	NAICS2012
2014	51	43	17	19	7	2	NAICS2012
2015	52	45	18	21	6	1	NAICS2012
2016	55	46	15	25	6	2	NAICS2012
2017	53	46	13	25	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	57	48	18	24	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	53	43	14	21	8	—	NAICS2017
2020	51	42	13	23	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	45	38	10	22	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	43	36	11	19	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	44	39	14	19	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80303. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80305	2.1 mi	20	2023
80027	3.1 mi	85	2023
80310	3.5 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.