BMIE Market 80305
Boulder County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,291 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±937 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,976 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±344 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,874 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,314 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $126,107 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,372 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,311 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±116 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,032,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,770 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80305 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -4.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -13.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +53.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +42.9% DERIVED: 2000 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 22 (range 19–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80305. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.9 | 84 | 40% | +33.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.7 | 56 | 35% | +19.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 30.1 | 30 | 25% | +7.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,291 | 78 | 40% | +31.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 126,107 | 92 | 40% | +36.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,976 | 79 | 20% | +15.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -13.0 | 17 | 35% | +5.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.3 | 63 | 25% | +15.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,291 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 126,107 | 92 | 20% | +18.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -4.8 | 23 | 50% | +11.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -13.0 | 17 | 30% | +5.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 53.9 | 68 | 20% | +13.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (36)
By cuisine
Coffee 8 · American 7 · Bakery 6 · Asian 3 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 2 · Indian 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bakery 6 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 3 · Bar 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 637 S Broadway S | open |
| Bar orientalny Murańskich | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Miami Way, Boulder, CO 80305, United States | open | |
| Beau Jo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2690 Baseline Rd | open |
| Bohemian Biergarten | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3395 Case Cir | open | |
| Boxcar Coffee Mesa Cafe Boxcar Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 637 S Broadway r | open |
| Brewing Market Coffee Brewing Market Coffee | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 2610 Baseline Rd | open |
| Caffè Sole | Café | Coffee | 637 S Broadway St | open |
| Doug's Diner Doug's Diner Piney Creek Centennial | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2574 Baseline Rd | open |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 2400 Baseline Rd | open |
| Full Circle Gluten Free Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1470 Lehigh St | open |
| May Wah Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Vietnamese · Chinese | 2500 Baseline Rd | open |
| Moe's Broadway Bagel | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 637 S Broadway G | open |
| Morso | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 627 S Broadway Ste A | open |
| Murphy's South | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 657 S Broadway St | open |
| Nikko Sushi at Lucky's Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 695 S Broadway St | open |
| Noodles & Company Noodles & Company | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho | 2602 Baseline Rd | open |
| Shreddy's Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2690 Baseline Rd | open |
| Snarf's Sandwiches Snarf's Sandwiches | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 637 S Broadway St | open |
| South Boulder Basemar Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2602 Baseline Road | open | |
| South Side Walnut Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 673 S Broadway | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 3600 Table Mesa Dr | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2400 Baseline Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 2480 Baseline Rd | open |
| Sweet Cow Sweet Cow Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 669 S Broadway St | open |
| Sweet Sisters Bake Shop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 641 S Broadway St | open |
| Sweets by V | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 685 Walden Cir | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 2450 Baseline Rd. | open |
| Tandoori Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 619 S Broadway | open |
| The Maxwell Wine Company | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2570 Cragmoor Rd | open | |
| The Taj Indian Cuisine | Buffet | Indian · Asian | 2630 Baseline Rd | open |
| Tsing Tao | Chinese | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Vegetarian · Asian | 607 S Broadway St | open |
| Under the Sun Pub & Pizza | Bar · Casual dining · Brewery / taproom | 627 S Broadway St Ste A | open | |
| Vic's at Table Mesa | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 4770 Table Mesa Dr | open |
| WeatherTech Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 2249 Willard Loop Dr | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2420 Baseline Rd | open |
| Oregano's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2690 Baseline Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 18 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 13 | 11 | 7 | — | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 23 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 24 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 21 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 23 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 22 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 23 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 24 | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 23 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 24 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 22 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |