BMIE Market 80521

Larimer County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	38,776 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,426 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,260 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±593 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	33,409 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	13,059 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,082 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,661 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	22.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±0 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,444 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$564,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	14.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	64 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80521
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+64.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+113.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	71 (range 66–76) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80521. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.4	66	40%	+26.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.5	62	35%	+21.5
Market Momentum Score	72.7	73	25%	+18.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	38,776	93	40%	+37.4
Median household income (ACS)	58,082	26	40%	+10.6
Households (ACS)	14,260	93	20%	+18.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.5	48	25%	+11.9
Population (ACS)	38,776	93	20%	+18.7
Median household income (ACS)	58,082	26	20%	+5.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.3	72	50%	+36.2
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	64.1	72	20%	+14.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (120)

By cuisine

Coffee 17 · American 15 · Pizza 14 · Asian 13 · Mexican 9 · Breakfast 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Bakery 7 · Chinese 4 · Dessert 4 · Japanese 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Thai 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Indian 2 · Italian 2 · Korean 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Sushi 2 · Caribbean 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 72 · Café 14 · Bar 13 · Quick service 11 · Coffee shop 9 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Dessert 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Food truck 3 · Other 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1501 RestauBar	Bar		1501 W Elizabeth St	open
Aapka Kitchen - FoCo Curry Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	Petra Grill, 1335 W Elizabeth St Suite 160 c/o	open
Aspen Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1101 Center Ave Mall	open
Beijing Noodle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	1005 W Stuart St	open
Bighorn BBQ & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		331 S Meldrum St	open
Blackjack Pizza & Salads	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1501 W Elizabeth St	open
Blendings At The Preserve	Winery / distillery / taproom		3924 Bingham Hill Rd	open
Blendings Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		3924 Bingham Hill Rd	open
Breakfast Canteen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1335 W Elizabeth St	open
Briarwood Gardens At Rancho Relaxo	Bar · Café	Mexican · Coffee		open
Brothers BBQ Brothers BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	501 S Taft Hill Rd	open
Butterfly Cafe	Café · Fast casual · Coffee shop	Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	212 Laporte Ave	open
Butters AM Eatery	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast · American	1220 W Elizabeth St	open
C.B. & Potts	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1415 W Elizabeth St	open
Cafe Bluebird	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee · Breakfast	524 W Laurel St	open
Café de Bangkok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1232 W Elizabeth St	open
Canyon Chop House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	211 Canyon Ave	open
Celestino's New York Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	306 W Laurel St Ste 113	open
Cheba Hut Toasted Subs Cheba Hut "Toasted" Subs	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	925 S Taft Hill Rd	open
Chopstickers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1335 W Elizabeth St Ste 135	open
Chubby Cat Bakery	Bakery · Delivery-focused	Bakery	1416 W Lake St	open
Consuelos Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1401 W Elizabeth St	open
Cook Click Café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Coffee	1122 W Elizabeth St	open
Corndoggies	Food truck		1112 Cherry St	open
Cosmo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1401 W Elizabeth St	open
Craft Beer and Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		210 W Magnolia St	open
Cups Community Coffee CUPS Frozen Yogurt	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	1033 S Taft Hill Rd	open
Ding Tea Fort Collins	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	1110 W Elizabeth St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	2110 W Elizabeth St	open
Dragon Lee \| Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	1228 W Elizabeth St	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2140 W Elizabeth St	open
Duwal Brothers Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1401 W Elizabeth St Ste 140	open
Elizabeth Coffeehouse Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2140 W Elizabeth Street	open
Farmers Table Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2140 W Elizabeth St	open
Fatafeat Mediterranean Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1401 W Elizabeth St	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	1335 W Elizabeth Unit 100	open
FoCo Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	225 Maple St	open
Foco Food Truck Rally	Food truck		450 Sheldon Dr	open
FoodTopia	Restaurant (service type not stated)		424 Maple St	open
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	1101 Center Ave	open
Fuzzy's Taco Shop Fuzzy's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1335 W Elizabeth St Ste 125	open
Gelato & aMore	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Italian · Dessert	1720 W Mulberry St Ste A1	open
Harbinger Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	505 S Mason St	open
High Point Creamery High Point Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1208 W Elizabeth St	open
Hot Wok Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1122 W Elizabeth St	open
Ike's - Fort Collins (CSU) Ike's Sandwiches	Other	Sandwiches	1101 W Elizabeth St	open
Ike's Love and Sandwiches Ike's Love and Sandwiches	Quick service	Sandwiches	1101 W Elizabeth Street	open
Jamba Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1335 W Elizabeth St	open
JAWS sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1205 W Elizabeth St	open
Jim's Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	1205 W Elizabeth St # C	open
Jimmy John's	Other	Sandwiches	1335 W Elizabeth St Ste 110	open
Jojo's Colorado BBQ and Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Sandwiches	1501 W Elizabeth St Ste 4	open
Justine's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1015 S Taft Hill Rd	open
Krazy Karl's Pizza And Sport Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1124 W Elizabeth St	open
La Casita Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1720 W Mulberry St	open
Lab Elementary School	Restaurant (service type not stated)		223 S Shields St	open
Liminal Food & Beverage	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1232 W Elizabeth St	open
Little Caesars Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1720 W Mulberry St	open
little on mountain	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1046 W Mountain Ave	open
Lucile's Creole Cafe Lucile's Creole Cafe of Denver	Café	Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast	400 S Meldrum St	open
Maya Empanada	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Latin American (other) · Bakery · Mexican	1232 W Elizabeth St	open
Mcclellan's Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		1035 S Taft Hill Rd	open
Mo Jeaux's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Cajun, Creole, Southern	820 City Park Ave	open
Moby Sports/Science Complex	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Momo Lolo Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	1129 W Elizabeth St	open
Mountain Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	226 W Mountain Ave	open
Mr. Yo's Donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1335 W Elizabeth St #110	open
Mugs on Laurel	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	306 W Laurel St	open
Mythmaker Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1035 S Taft Hill Rd	open
Nisc Colorado	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1302 S Shields St	open
Oat So Good Bake Co.	Bakery	Bakery	1104 S Bryan Ave	open
Old Elk Distilleries	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		416 W Oak St	open
Panda Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	CSC Lori Student Center	open
Panhandler's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1220 W Elizabeth St	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1031 S Taft Hill Rd	open
Petra Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	1335 W Elizabeth St	open
Pita Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1232 W Elizabeth St	open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1104 W Elizabeth St	open
Rainbow Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	212 W Laurel St	open
Rockies Food Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1124 W Elizabeth St	open
Rocky Mountain Bagel Works	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	1111 W Elizabeth St	open
Rush Bowls Rush Bowls	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	1205 W Elizabeth St	open
Serious Texas BAR-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1501 W Elizabeth St Unit 5	open
Sherpa Grill 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	1501 W Elizabeth St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1301 W. Elizabeth	open
Sri Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai	950 S Taft Hill Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1015 S Taft Hill Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1335 W Elizabeth St (Elizabeth & City, Park-Fort Collins)	open
Stodgy Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		1802 Laporte Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1101 W Elizabeth St Unit 1101	open
Subzero Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1501 W Elizabeth St	open
Summit Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)		925 S Taft Hill Rd Ste 2	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1527 W. Elizabeth St.	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1101 Central Avenue Mall	open
Tamburi Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		624 N Sunset St	open
Tararine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1401 W Elizabeth St Ste 140	open
Tecate grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1501 W Elizabeth St Unit 2	open
Teriyaki Wok Two	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Korean · Asian	829 S Shields St	open
The Back Patio Grill and Social Club	Casual dining · Bar		116 S Roosevelt Ave	open
The Emporium Sports Bar - Fort Collins	Bar		925 S Taft Hill Rd	open
The Fox Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1680 Laporte Ave	open
The Lost Cajun - Fort Collins	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	331 S Meldrum St	open
The Twisted Noodle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1335 W Elizabeth St	open
Tiger Lily Chinese Cuisine Ll	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1228 W Elizabeth St	open
Toppers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1501 W Elizabeth,	open
Toro Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican	1205 W Elizabeth St	open
Turtle Goat Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1401 W Elizabeth St	open
Umami Ninjas a mobile eatery	Food truck	Asian · Korean	1500 W Mulberry St	open
Uncle Vito's Too	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1015 S Taft Hill Rd	open
Villa Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	Colorado State University	open
Waltzing Kangaroo	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	1109 W Elizabeth St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1405 W. Elizabeth St	open
Which One's Pink Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		331 S Meldrum St Ste 100	open
White Tree	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1015 S Taft Hill Rd	open
Wing Shack CSU	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	1101 Center Ave Mall (Inside Lory Student Center at CSU)	open
Woody's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	518 W Laurel St	open
Ye's Poke Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian	306 W Laurel St	open
Yeti Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		23 Old Town Square	open
Yum Yum Social	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Middle Eastern	1300 W Elizabeth St	open
Just Love Coffee Cafe - Fort Collins	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1335 W Elizabeth, Suite Ste 140	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	30	30	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	32	32	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	42	41	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	50	45	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	51	42	13	24	5	5	NAICS1997
1999	49	42	15	22	5	4	NAICS1997
2000	48	39	14	19	6	5	NAICS1997
2001	49	40	15	20	5	5	NAICS1997
2002	45	39	13	20	6	5	NAICS1997
2003	44	39	14	22	3	3	NAICS2002
2004	48	43	16	23	4	3	NAICS2002
2005	51	47	16	25	6	2	NAICS2002
2006	50	45	15	26	4	3	NAICS2002
2007	47	43	13	26	4	3	NAICS2002
2008	44	41	13	24	4	2	NAICS2007
2009	43	41	12	24	5	1	NAICS2007
2010	46	43	12	25	6	1	NAICS2007
2011	47	45	14	24	7	2	NAICS2007
2012	55	48	16	27	5	4	NAICS2012
2013	55	48	16	27	5	4	NAICS2012
2014	62	51	16	29	6	4	NAICS2012
2015	66	55	21	28	6	4	NAICS2012
2016	65	55	24	26	5	4	NAICS2012
2017	68	58	22	29	7	3	NAICS2017
2018	68	56	23	26	7	4	NAICS2017
2019	65	53	21	23	8	4	NAICS2017
2020	67	58	23	26	8	3	NAICS2017
2021	71	63	23	31	8	3	NAICS2017
2022	71	63	21	33	9	3	NAICS2022
2023	73	64	21	34	9	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80521. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80526	4.9 mi	30	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.