BMIE Market 80526
Larimer County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 44,326 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,580 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 19,147 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±648 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 44,183 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 18,673 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $88,686 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,446 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,667 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $551,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,530 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 32.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80526 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 7.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -18.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -6.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +172.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 30 (range 26–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 17 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80526. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 86.4 | 86 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61.9 | 62 | 35% | +21.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 16.6 | 17 | 25% | +4.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 44,326 | 95 | 40% | +38.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 88,686 | 72 | 40% | +28.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 19,147 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 20 | 35% | +7.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 6.8 | 85 | 25% | +21.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 44,326 | 95 | 20% | +19.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 88,686 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 17 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -18.9 | 14 | 50% | +6.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 20 | 30% | +6.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 18 | 20% | +3.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (77)
By cuisine
Coffee 14 · Pizza 11 · American 10 · Mexican 8 · Bakery 6 · Asian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Italian 4 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Chinese 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Korean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Bar 13 · Coffee shop 11 · Café 9 · Quick service 8 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Paws Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 4224 Warbler Dr | open |
| Abo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 200 W Prospect Rd | open |
| Almansita's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 2567 S Shields St | open |
| Antojitos Del Sureste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4001 S Taft Hill Rd | open |
| Arboretum Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 221 W Prospect Rd | open |
| Bedouin Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Middle Eastern | 802 W Drake Rd | open |
| Berry Blendz Berry Blendz - Macy's MOA | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 2531 S Shields St #2k | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2507 S Shields St | open |
| Cancun Mexican Grill and Cantina | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1006 Spring Creek Ln #B7 | open |
| Canyon Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 4791 W County Road 38E | open |
| Casa Margaritas | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1027 W Horsetooth Rd Ste 111 | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 918 S. Lemay Avenue | open |
| Cuppy’s Coffee And Smoothies Of Fort Collins | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 353 W Drake Rd Ste 120 | open |
| Frost + Dough Cookie Cakes | Bakery | Bakery | 937 Kremmling Ln | open |
| Gib's New York Bagels Gib's NY Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 2531 S Shields St #2E | open |
| Great Western Coffee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1006 Spring Creek Ln | open | |
| Hibachi Japanese Steakhouse and Sushi Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 1051 W Horsetooth Rd | open |
| Howlin' Hound Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3310 Laredo Ln | open |
| India Rice N Spice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 2531 S Shields St | open |
| Institute For Shipboard Education | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2243 Centre Ave Ste 300 | open | |
| Intersect Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 2160 W Drake Rd A1 | open | |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 2337 S Shields St | open |
| JJ's Bar and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 4015 S Taft Hill Rd | open |
| JJ's Wood Fired Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4015 S Taft Hill Rd | open |
| Kampai Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1051 W Horsetooth Rd | open | |
| Koffe Rassiya | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 1633 Cedarwood Dr | open |
| LaMar's Donuts and Coffee LaMar's Donuts and Coffee | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 1101 W Drake Rd #1 | open |
| Los Muertos Urban Kitchen And Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1027 W Horsetooth Rd Unit 111 | open |
| Mama Roni's Pizza Mama Roni's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1006 Spring Creek Ln b4 | open |
| Market Centre Liquors | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 902 W Drake Rd Unit 11 | open | |
| Maya Cove | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 2100 W Drake Rd | open |
| Mechitas Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3602 Manhattan Ave | open |
| Mikey's Smoke Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 4701 W County Road 38E | open |
| MOD Pizza MOD Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 1013 Centre Ave | open |
| Mountain Iris Cafe | Café | Coffee | 221 W Prospect Rd | open |
| Mvt Restaurant Concepts Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 902 W Drake Rd Unit 4 | open | |
| Napoletani Co., Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1119 W Drake Rd Ste C12-14 | open | |
| Neidert & Son Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2629 Redwing Rd Ste 290 | open | |
| Neroanderika | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1005 W Stuart St | open | |
| P.h.k. - Bros Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 200 W Prospect Rd | open | |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2170 W Drake Rd Unit B5 | open |
| Pappy's Corner Pub | Bar | 1027 W Horsetooth Rd #111 | open | |
| Pho Duy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 902 W Drake Rd Unit 1 | open |
| Pitchers Sports Restaurant | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 1100 W Drake Rd | open | |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2567 S. Shields B-D | open |
| Poudre Valley Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 2000 Bronson St | open | |
| Pulcinella Pizzeria | Bar | Italian · Pizza | 1119 W Drake Rd | open |
| Pulcinella Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2100 W Drake Rd | open | |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2513 S Shields St | open |
| RAC Cafe & Bar | Café · Coffee shop | American · Coffee | 2555 S Shields St | open |
| Sahara Night hookah lounge | Bar | 1119 W Drake Rd | open | |
| Sazerac New Orleans Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French · American | 1003 W Horsetooth Rd | open |
| Simmer Fort Collins | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2519 S Shields St #1f | open |
| Simply Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 2531 S Shields St | open |
| Souzas Smokin BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1005 W Stuart St Ste A1 | open |
| Spring Creek Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 425 W Prospect Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2160 W Drake Rd, Unit 6 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 838 West Drake Road 101 | open |
| Stout Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4025 W County Road 38 E | open |
| Stuarts Confectionary LLC | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Coffee shop | Sandwiches · Coffee | 2150 Centre Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2170 West Drake #B7 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 2519 S Shields St Ste 1g | open |
| Sushi Izumi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Korean | 200 W Prospect Rd | open |
| Tamra Real Estate Agency Usa, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 902 W Drake Rd Unit 1 | open | |
| Tap Truck Fort Collins | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1736 Palm Dr | open | |
| TCBY | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2519 S Shields St | open |
| The Crooked Cup Too. | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4616 S Shields St | open |
| The Falls Bar | Bar | Burgers · Seafood | 350 Horsecreek Dr | open |
| Tokyo Joe's Tokyo Joe's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 2519 S Shields St | open |
| Totally 80's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2567 S Shields St | open |
| Totally 80's Pizza and Museum | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2567 S Shields St Unit 4C | open |
| Vincent Gastroteca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 902 W Drake Rd | open |
| West End Pub | Bar | 1119 W Drake Rd | open | |
| World Cup Coffee Exchange | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1119 W Drake Rd | open |
| Yung's Chinese | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 2170 W Drake Rd | open |
| Yungs Recipes | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 2170 W Drake Rd | open |
| Zocalo Ancient Flavors | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1027 W Horsetooth Rd #111 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 16 | 11 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 14 | 10 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 20 | 15 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 29 | 24 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 31 | 25 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 32 | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 32 | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 34 | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 36 | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 41 | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 41 | 35 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 43 | 36 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 40 | 31 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 41 | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 40 | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 36 | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 33 | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 42 | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 40 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 41 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 39 | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 38 | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 40 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 42 | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 38 | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 35 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 36 | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 35 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |