BMIE Market 80528
Larimer County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 24,960 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,621 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,325 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±554 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,946 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,600 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $130,350 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,153 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,929 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $705,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,100 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 18.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80528 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -2.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +27.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +184.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +3,600.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 44 (range 39–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.61) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 51 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80528. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.61, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.2 | 88 | 40% | +35.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73.3 | 73 | 35% | +25.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 51.3 | 51 | 25% | +12.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 24,960 | 85 | 40% | +34.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 130,350 | 93 | 40% | +37.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,325 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 27.6 | 69 | 35% | +24.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.8 | 53 | 25% | +13.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 24,960 | 85 | 20% | +17.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 130,350 | 93 | 20% | +18.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 51 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -2.6 | 25 | 50% | +12.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 27.6 | 69 | 30% | +20.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 184.6 | 91 | 20% | +18.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (74)
By cuisine
Sandwiches 14 · American 10 · Mexican 7 · Coffee 6 · Bakery 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Pizza 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Steakhouse 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Quick service 16 · Bar 13 · Casual dining 7 · Café 6 · Specialty food shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Other 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Dessert 2 · Fast casual 2
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320 Main Street | Other | Sandwiches | 4727 S Timberline Rd | open |
| Alvarado's Mexican Fast Food | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4750 Royal Vista Cir | open |
| Another Broken Egg Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 2909 E Harmony Rd Ste 140 | open |
| Arby's Arby's | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 7601 Westgate Drive Westgate Dr & E County Rd 32 | open |
| Austin's American Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 2815 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Bawarchi Indian Cuisine and Bar - Hilton Garden Inn | Bar | Indian | 2821 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Bindle Coffee | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1833 E Harmony Rd | open |
| BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse | Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Bar | American | 2670 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Cakes By Tiffanie | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 8300 Mummy Range Dr | open |
| Captain Hook Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 2880 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2120 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Coca-Cola Freestyle Coca-Cola Freestyle | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 2120 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1821 E Harmony Rd, | open |
| Cousins Subs | Quick service | 4727 S Timberline Rd | open | |
| DC Oakes Brewhouse and Eatery | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 3581 E Harmony Rd #110 | open | |
| Deli Zone of Ft Collins | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4733 S Timberline Rd Ste 103 | open |
| East Moon Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian · Sushi · Steakhouse | 2400 E Harmony Rd #102 | open |
| Envy Brewing | Brewery / taproom | 3027 E Harmony Rd Ste 2 | open | |
| Estes Park, Colorado | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2350 E Harmony Rd Ste 104 | open | |
| Famous Dave's Bar-B-Que | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 2880 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Famous Toastery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 3541 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2120 E. Harmony Rd., Ste 101 | open |
| Firehouse Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2120 E Harmony Rd Ste 101 | open | |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2860 East Harmony Road | open |
| Ft. Collins Harmony Potbelly | Quick service | Sandwiches | 3541 E Harmony Road | open |
| Fuzzy's Taco Shop Fuzzy's Taco Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2909 E Harmony Rd Ste 100 | open |
| Gib's New York Bagels Gib's NY Bagels | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 2815 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Gibs New York Bagels 4 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 2518 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Good Times Burgers & Frozen Custard | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Burgers | 7605 Royal Vista Cir | open |
| Harbinger Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3581 E Harmony Rd #160 | open |
| Harmony Cafe PVHS | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 2127 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Huckabuk’s Hideaway | Casual dining · Bar | 3541 E Harmony Rd | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 4709 S. Timberline Rd. #103 | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 2860 E Harmony Rd Suite 130 | open |
| Konstruct Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 3027 E Harmony Rd | open | |
| Kujira Ramen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 2909 E Harmony Rd #200 | open |
| Locality Kitchen and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2350 E Harmony Rd | open |
| MAD Greens MAD Greens | Quick service · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 2120 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Mama Roni's Pizza Mama Roni's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4733 S Timberline Rd | open |
| Marchitelli's Cucina Italiana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 2400 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Mas Fuegos Kitchen & Tequila Bar | Bar | Mexican | 2350 E Harmony Rd Ste 101 Suite 101 | open |
| Matador Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 1823 E Harmony Rd | open |
| McAlister's Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2550 E Harmony Rd | open |
| MidiCi The Neapolitan Pizza Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3581 E Harmony Rd Ste 170 | open |
| Noodles & Company Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · American | 4733 S Timberline Rd | open |
| Old Chicago Pizza and Taproom Old Chicago | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Pizza | 4709 S Timberline Rd | open |
| Potbelly Potbelly Sandwich Shop | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 3541 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Pueblo Viejo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4630 Royal Vista Cir | open |
| Pulcinella Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2550 E Harmony Rd Ste 101 | open |
| Rally5 Crafted Eats & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 2310 E Harmony Rd | open | |
| Rbr Management Company Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2909 E Harmony Rd Ste 100 | open | |
| Rc Dublin, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2909 E Harmony Rd | open | |
| Rc Longmont, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2909 E Harmony Rd Ste 100 | open | |
| Romano's Macaroni Grill | Bar | 4627 S Timberline Rd, | open | |
| Rush Bowls Rush Bowls | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 3581 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Sally's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 4727 S Timberline Rd | open |
| Smashburger Smashburger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2550 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Smoothie King Smoothie King | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2860 E. Harmony Rd. Suite 120 | open |
| Source Endurance Training Center of the Rockies | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1833 E Harmony Rd | open | |
| Spoons Soups Salads and Sandwiches Spoons - Soups, Salads & Sandwiches | Other · Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 4609 S Timberline Rd Ste 102A | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 4609 S Timberline Rd Unit A101 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 2815 E Harmony Rd Ste 104 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 7600 Westgate Dr | open |
| Super Suppers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2580 E Harmony Rd | open | |
| Tags Restaurant Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3581 E Harmony Rd Ste 110 | open | |
| Taste And Savor Wine Bar | Bar | 3581 E Harmony Rd Ste 130 | open | |
| Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse | Bar | Steakhouse · American | 4633 S Timberline Rd | open |
| The Eagle's Nest | Bar | 7900 CR-5 | open | |
| The Original Pancake House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 2909 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Tokyo Joe's Tokyo Joe's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese | 3581 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Tom+Chee Fort Collins | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2909 E Harmony Rd | open |
| Twisted Tenders | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4709 S Timberline Rd | open |
| Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 7494 Westgate Dr | open |
| Zquila | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2400 E Harmony Rd # 101 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 16 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 22 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 27 | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 30 | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 32 | 28 | 10 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 32 | 29 | 11 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 31 | 29 | 11 | 16 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 31 | 30 | 12 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 40 | 38 | 13 | 21 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 44 | 41 | 16 | 21 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 40 | 36 | 11 | 21 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 44 | 40 | 12 | 24 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 40 | 36 | 10 | 21 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 42 | 37 | 10 | 21 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |