BMIE Market 80534
Weld County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 20,502 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±994 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,457 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±404 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 11,301 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,175 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $129,024 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,556 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,846 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $553,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,518 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 48.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80534 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +72.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +137.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +660.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +3,700.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 46 (range 42–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.1 per year, r² 0.93) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 95 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80534. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.93, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 85.9 | 86 | 40% | +34.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 78.5 | 79 | 35% | +27.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 95.2 | 95 | 25% | +23.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 20,502 | 82 | 40% | +32.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 129,024 | 93 | 40% | +37.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,457 | 80 | 20% | +16.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 137.5 | 95 | 35% | +33.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 18.5 | 41 | 25% | +10.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 20,502 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 129,024 | 93 | 20% | +18.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 95 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 72.7 | 94 | 50% | +46.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 137.5 | 95 | 30% | +28.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 660 | 99 | 20% | +19.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (67)
By cuisine
Coffee 13 · Sandwiches 10 · American 9 · Bakery 7 · Mexican 7 · Dessert 6 · Asian 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Pizza 4 · Burgers 3 · Japanese 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · BBQ 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Quick service 14 · Café 11 · Bar 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 7 · Casual dining 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Fast casual 2 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajuua | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 257 Johnstown Center Dr | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4806 Larimer Pkwy | open |
| B's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 257 Johnstown Center Dr | open |
| Bad Daddy's Burger Bar Bad Daddy's Burger Bar | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 4928 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| Black Sheep Coffee & Crepes Black Sheep Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 19 S Parish Ave | open |
| Bomb-Tacos | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | 3497 Maplewood Ln | open | |
| Bonefish Grill Bonefish Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American · Steakhouse | 4920 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| Bubby's Finest | Bakery | Bakery | 1923 Windsong Dr | open |
| Cafe Mexicali Cafe Mexicali | Café | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Coffee | 4853 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| Canyon Bakehouse | Bakery | Bakery | 3600 Ronald Reagan Blvd | open |
| Cassidy's Sports Grill | Bar · Casual dining | American | 15 S Parish Ave | open |
| Cheba Hut "Toasted" Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 4942 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| Chicken Salad Chick Chicken Salad Chick | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls · Chicken / wings · Sandwiches | 4884 Larimer Pkwy #600 | open |
| Clean Eatz Clean Eatz | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 4838 Larimer Pkwy | open |
| Crumbl - Johnstown | Dessert | Dessert | 4948 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4890 Thompson Parkway | open |
| Dominic's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 19 S Parish Ave | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 4365 Ledge Rock Dr | open |
| Duck Donuts Duck Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 4842 Larimer Pkwy | open |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches | 4365 Ledge Rock Dr, Suite 170 | open |
| Firehouse Subs Ledge Rock Firehouse Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4365 Ledge Rock Dr Ste 170 | open |
| Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4635 Ledge Rock Dr | open |
| Ginna's Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4755 Ronald Reagan Blvd | open |
| Golden Goodness Food Truck LLC | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 165 Settler Way | open |
| Hamo Llc Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 22 S Parish Ave | open |
| Hiroshi Teriyaki Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4904 Larimer Pkwy | open | |
| Honolulu Poke Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian | 4918 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| Huang Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 257 Johnstown Center Dr | open |
| Immortal Rock Bar | Bar | 1 N Parish Ave | open | |
| J-Town Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 21 S Parish Ave | open |
| Jared A. Powell, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5255 Ronald Reagan Blvd Ste 200 | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4936 Thompson Parkway | open |
| Johnson's Corner Restaurant & Bakery Black Bear Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2842 SE Frontage Rd | open |
| Johnstown Java & Jams (3J's) | Café | Coffee | 21 Parish Ave | open |
| Johnstown Lunch Box | Café | Sandwiches · Coffee · American | 111 W South 1st St | open |
| Johnstown Vfw | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 104 S 1st Pl | open | |
| Koi Ramen & Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 4365 Ledge Rock Dr #140 | open |
| Lazy Dog Johnstown Lazy Dog Restaurants | Casual dining · Bar | American | 4801 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| Lift Coffee Bar Lift Coffee Bar | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 4800 Larimer Pkwy | open |
| Little House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Sushi · Japanese | 417 Charlotte St | open |
| Los Dos Garcia's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 257 Johnstown Center Dr | open |
| Mary's Mountain Cookies | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 16 S Parish Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 150 S Parish Ave | open |
| Medicinal Hops Brewery | Brewery / taproom | 206 Alabaster Way | open | |
| Mirror Image Taphouse at Woods | Bar | 4330 Ledge Rock Dr | open | |
| MOD Pizza MOD Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4938 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| Mr. Donuts | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bakery | Tea / bubble tea · Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 13 S Parish Ave | open |
| Nacho Y Kika Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 206 E South 1st St | open |
| Nothing Bundt Cakes | Dessert | Dessert | 1659 Rocky Mountain Ave Ste 301 | open |
| Parry's Pizzeria and Taphouse Parry's Pizza | Bar · Casual dining | Pizza | 4874 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4791 Thompson Pkwy Johnstown | open |
| Quickly Boba Tea Shop & Restaurant | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Asian | 4922 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| Santiago's Mexican Restaurant Santiago's Mexican Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 12 S Parish Ave | open |
| Sleep Number | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4884 Larimer Pkwy Ste 100 | open | |
| Smokehouse Blues Dining | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Sandwiches | 230 E South 1st St | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4545 Ledge Rock Dr | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4910 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 67 Center Court Drive | open |
| Sweet Stuff Bakeshop & Boutique | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 8 S Parish Ave | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 50 Telep Ave | open |
| Teriyaki Madness Teriyaki Madness | Quick service | Japanese · Asian | 4944 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| The Cutting Edge Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5 S Parish Ave | open | |
| The Original Heavenly Cakes | Bakery | Bakery | 116 W Charlotte St | open |
| Urban Egg Urban Egg | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 4861 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| Wing Shack Johnstown Wing Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 21 N Parish Ave | open |
| Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4771 Thompson Pkwy | open |
| Berry Blendz | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 4922 Thompson Pkwy | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 5 | 2 | — | 2 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 6 | 3 | — | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 18 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 23 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 30 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 34 | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 44 | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
| ZCTA | Distance | Restaurants | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80543 | 4.4 mi | 6 | 2023 |