BMIE Market 80543

Weld County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,774 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,040 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,385 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±330 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,887 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,095 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$104,574 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,627 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,102 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±922 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$415,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,709 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	30.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80543
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+500.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 1998 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	86 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80543. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.4	75	40%	+30.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85.0	85	35%	+29.7
Market Momentum Score	86	86	25%	+21.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,774	70	40%	+28.2
Median household income (ACS)	104,574	84	40%	+33.5
Households (ACS)	3,385	69	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.1	88	25%	+21.9
Population (ACS)	9,774	70	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	104,574	84	20%	+16.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	500	99	20%	+19.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

Mexican 4 · Coffee 3 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Pizza 2 · American 1 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Quick service 4 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 3 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Coffee & Roastery	Coffee shop	Coffee	1109 Broad St	open
Agua Viva Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	200 Front St	open
Burnout Grill	Casual dining · Bar		1760 S Broad St Ste A	open
Doug's Diner Milliken Doug's Diner Piney Creek Centennial	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1760 Broad St	open
El Mex- Kal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1760 Broad St	open
Grandpa's Cafe	Café	Coffee	914 Broad St	open
Hildas Burritos	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	200 S Norma Ave	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Pizza · Dessert	1760 S Broad St	open
Los rudos tacos y hotdogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	208 E S 1st St	open
Mile High Lobster Shack	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood		open
Mill Haus Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1109 Broad St	open
O'Hara's Irish Pub O’Hara’s Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1007 Broad St	open
Paradice Cream of Milliken	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	901 Broad St	open
Pelican Jo's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	903 Broad St	open
Sno Zone	Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	891 Wagon Train Dr	open
South Platte Brewery	Brewery / taproom		707 S Olive Ave	open
Tacos Los rudos	Quick service · Food truck	Mexican	1001 Broad St	open
The Cracked Egg	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	914 Broad St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1998	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	5	3	2	—	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	5	3	2	—	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	5	4	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80543. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80534	4.4 mi	38	2023
80634	5.0 mi	121	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.