BMIE Market 82609

Natrona County, Wyoming · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,714 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,117 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,527 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±480 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,730 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,072 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,010 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,070 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,126 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$293,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,725 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	65.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 82609
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+2.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+2.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+34.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+44.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	37 (range 32–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	55 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 82609. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Wyoming and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 97, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.0	68	40%	+27.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.4	51	35%	+18.0
Market Momentum Score	55.0	55	25%	+13.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,714	80	40%	+32.1
Median household income (ACS)	71,010	49	40%	+19.4
Households (ACS)	8,527	83	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	2.6	48	35%	+16.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.8	35	25%	+8.8
Population (ACS)	18,714	80	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	71,010	49	20%	+9.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	2.6	59	50%	+29.5
10-year restaurant growth	2.6	48	30%	+14.4
20-year restaurant growth	34.5	56	20%	+11.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (89)

By cuisine

American 15 · Coffee 12 · Mexican 11 · Sandwiches 8 · Burgers 7 · Dessert 7 · Pizza 7 · Bakery 6 · Asian 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · BBQ 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Italian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Quick service 24 · Bar 15 · Coffee shop 12 · Casual dining 10 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 6 · Café 6 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Buffet 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
923 Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5830 E 2nd St	open
Abuelita's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Mexican · Dessert · BBQ · American · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Chicken / wings	601 SE Wyoming Blvd	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	80 SE Wyoming Blvd	open
Benny Montanaro's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	327 Thelma Dr	open
Blimpie	Other	Sandwiches	207 S Montana Ave	open
Bliss Yogurt	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	4801 E 2nd St	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	5071 East 2nd Street	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	81 SE Wyoming Boulevard	open
Capsen Renders	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5830 E 2nd St Ste 7000 Pmb 221	open
Cascade Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	2955 E 2nd St	open
Charrito's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4910 E 2nd St	open
Cheba Hut Toasted Subs Cheba Hut "Toasted" Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1668 Heathrow Ave	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4910 E 2nd St	open
City Brew Coffee City Brew Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4861 E 2nd St	open
Cole Creek Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		721 Granite Peak Dr	open
Crumbl - Casper	Dessert	Dessert	5030 E 2nd St Ste 5	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	3845 E 2nd St	open
Derby Club - Casper Blackmore	Casual dining · Bar		5371 Blackmore Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1540 Centennial Ct	open
Dymif	Coffee shop	Coffee	5830 E 2nd St	open
Eileen's Colossal Cookies Eileen's Colossal Cookies - Liberty, MO	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4801 E 2nd St	open
El Burro Loco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2333 E Yellowstone Hwy	open
El Toro Mexican Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3400 E 2nd St	open
Famous Dave's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	5900 E 2nd St	open
Firehouse Pizza Wood Fired	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	395 Newport	open
FireRock Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	6100 E 2nd St	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	5060 East 2nd Street	open
Flaming Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	601 SE Wyoming Blvd	open
Hamburger Stand Hamburger Stand	Quick service	Burgers · American	3930 E 2nd St	open
Hardee's	Quick service		150 SE Wyoming Blvd	open
Hickory Farms	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		249 SE Wyoming Blvd	open
Homestretch Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	71 SE Wyoming Blvd	open
Hometown Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	601 SE Wyoming Blvd	open
Hot Dog on a Stick	Quick service		601 SE Wyoming Blvd 187	open
I'Scream 4 Wings	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4155 Legion Ln	open
Java Jitters Espresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	211 S Montana Ave	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	4851 E. 2nd Street	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	4801 E 2nd St Ste. 101	open
Koto - Casper, Wyoming	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	5091 E 2nd St	open
La Barista Espresso	Coffee shop	Coffee	2945 E 2nd St	open
La Cocina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4110 Centennial Hills Blvd	open
Long John Silver's KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4100 E 2nd St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	40 Se Wyoming Blvd	open
Metro Coffee Company Metro Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4130 Centennial Hills Blvd Ste 100	open
Mongolian Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Asian	4801 E 2nd St #110	open
Mountain Hops Brewhouse	Brewery / taproom · Bar		612 N Beverly St	open
Mouthful	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1301 wilkins crl	open
Oil City Beer Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4155 Legion Ln	open
Old Chicago Pizza and Taproom Old Chicago	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	3580 E 2nd St	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Italian · Healthy / salads / bowls · Mediterranean	5070 E 2nd St	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3476 E 2nd St	open
Perkins at 4710 East Second St. Casper, WY Perkins	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4710 East Second St.	open
Perkins Restaurant and Bakery Perkins American Food Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4710 E 2nd St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3741 E 2nd St Natrona	open
Pizza Ranch Pizza Ranch	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5011 E 2nd St	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Porky?s Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	601 SE Wyoming Blvd	open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5030 E 2nd St Casper	open
Red Lobster Red Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	5010 E 2nd St	open
Rise and Grind	Coffee shop	Coffee	6000 E 2nd St	open
Sam's Club Bakery Sam's Club	Bakery	Bakery	4600 E 2nd St	open
Sanford's Grub & Pub Sanfords Grub and Pub	Casual dining · Bar	American	61 SE Wyoming Blvd	open
Smoked N Tender	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	Carbon county 1234 st	open
Smoked N Tender	Food truck		411 S Walsh Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4585 E 2nd St	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	300 E Wyoming Blvd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian	2625 E 2nd St	open
Stuft Gourmet Baked Potatoes	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4801 E 2nd St, #108	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	395 Newport Unit 305 A	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	41 SE Wyoming Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	86 SE Wyoming Blvd	open
Taco John's Taco John's	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4031 E 2nd St	open
Taco Time TacoTime	Quick service	Mexican	1215 S Beverly St	open
Text It Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	6000 E 2nd St	open
The Bread Basket The Bread Basket	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1138 S Wisconsin Ave	open
The Burger Den Denny's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American · Breakfast	4220 Hospitality Lane	open
The Dream Bean	Coffee shop	Coffee	6550 E 2nd St	open
The Grill at the Moonlight	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2305 E 12th St	open
The Keg And Cork	Casual dining · Bar		5371 Blackmore Rd	open
The Range at 5150	Bar		455 Thelma Dr	open
The Snack Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	211 S Montana Ave	open
Wagons West Management Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5011 E 2nd St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	4400 E 2nd St	open
Wendoming Food Service Of Casper Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4281 E 2nd St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4281 East Second Street	open
Wind City Sweets & Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4120 Centennial Hills Blvd	open
Wonderful House Restaurant \| Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	221 S Montana Ave	open
Wyoming Burger Company	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2305 E 12th St	open
Western Grill Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2333 E Yellowstone Hwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	28	27	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	24	23	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	26	24	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	28	27	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	31	29	9	15	4	1	NAICS1997
1999	32	30	9	18	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	35	33	10	19	3	1	NAICS1997
2001	33	31	9	18	3	1	NAICS1997
2002	31	31	9	17	4	—	NAICS1997
2003	29	29	6	17	5	—	NAICS2002
2004	30	29	7	16	5	1	NAICS2002
2005	31	31	10	16	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	31	31	11	14	5	—	NAICS2002
2007	33	32	9	17	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	35	33	10	14	6	2	NAICS2007
2009	32	30	7	14	6	2	NAICS2007
2010	33	31	9	13	6	2	NAICS2007
2011	37	35	11	14	8	2	NAICS2007
2012	39	38	14	17	6	1	NAICS2012
2013	38	38	14	17	6	—	NAICS2012
2014	39	38	16	16	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	40	40	16	19	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	43	43	16	21	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	45	43	17	21	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	40	38	16	17	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	40	38	15	16	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	38	34	15	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	41	36	17	15	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	42	39	14	18	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	43	39	11	19	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 82609. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
82636	4.2 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.