BMIE Market 82636

Natrona County, Wyoming · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,259 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±507 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,724 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±227 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,981 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,680 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$86,638 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,959 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,004 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±413 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$299,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50,581 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	133.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 82636
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 82636. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Wyoming and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 97, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.8	63	40%	+25.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.8	66	35%	+23.0
Market Momentum Score	63.2	63	25%	+15.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,259	58	40%	+23.1
Median household income (ACS)	86,638	70	40%	+28.0
Households (ACS)	1,724	59	20%	+11.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	35%	+30.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.8	40	25%	+10.1
Population (ACS)	4,259	58	20%	+11.6
Median household income (ACS)	86,638	70	20%	+14.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	30%	+25.8
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

American 4 · Chicken / wings 2 · Steakhouse 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Coffee 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 5 · Quick service 3 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Applebee's Grill + Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	359 Miracle Rd	open
Butch's Bar	Bar		1180 Oildale St	open
Chester's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6985 Nugget	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		510 E Lathrop Rd	open
Cinnabon at Schlotzsky's Evansville Cinnabon	Quick service		6985 Nugget	open
FTP	Food truck		293 Blackmore Rd	open
Hooch's Bar & Drive Thru	Bar · Casual dining		6985 Nugget	open
HQ Southern BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	70 Curtis St	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	510 Lathrop Rd	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	510 E Lathrop Rd	open
Lazy 8	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		13720 US-20	open
Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6985 Nugget	open
Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	229 Miracle Rd	open
Schlotzsky's Schlotzsky's	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	6985 Nugget	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6793 Bonanza Rd	open
Taylor Sports & Spirits	Bar		37 Curtis St	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	210 Miracle St	open
Wild Pony Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	6985 Nugget	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	5	2	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	8	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	8	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	8	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	6	3	3	—	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	6	4	4	—	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	5	4	3	—	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	7	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	7	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	7	6	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	10	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	8	7	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 82636. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
82609	4.2 mi	39	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.