BMIE Market 83406

Bonneville County, Idaho · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,696 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,122 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,482 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±421 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,902 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,494 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$86,991 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,474 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,367 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$392,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,637 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 83406
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+44.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+90.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+250.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+4,100.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	47 (range 43–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	90 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 83406. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Idaho and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 192, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.2	76	40%	+30.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.2	70	35%	+24.6
Market Momentum Score	90.2	90	25%	+22.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,696	81	40%	+32.5
Median household income (ACS)	86,991	70	40%	+28.1
Households (ACS)	6,482	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	90.9	90	35%	+31.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.3	34	25%	+8.5
Population (ACS)	19,696	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	86,991	70	20%	+14.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	44.8	88	50%	+44.2
10-year restaurant growth	90.9	90	30%	+26.9
20-year restaurant growth	250	95	20%	+19.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (87)

By cuisine

American 15 · Dessert 14 · Bakery 11 · Coffee 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Pizza 6 · Burgers 5 · Asian 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Mexican 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · BBQ 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · European 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Japanese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 23 · Dessert 17 · Bakery 12 · Café 8 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Buffet 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Agave Grill \| Mexican	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	939 S 25th E	open
Aussie Eats	Quick service		2523 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Billmans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2565 E 17th St	open
Blaze Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	2698 E Sunnyside Rd, Suite B	open
Botanas La Guera	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1571 S Ammon Rd	open
Cafe Rio Cafe Rio Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2537 S 25th E	open
Cafe Sabor Cafe Sabor Island Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2635 S 25th E	open
Café Zupas Café Zupas	Quick service		3771 South 25th East, Ammon, ID, USA	open
Capriotti's Sandwich Shop Capriotti's Sandwich Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	2565 E 17th St STE 2	open
Cast Iron on 17th	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	3520 E 17th St	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3003 S 25th E	open
Chuck-A-Rama Buffet Chuck-A-Rama Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	999 S 25th E	open
Cinnabon Maverik - Ammon Sunnyside Road Cinnabon	Quick service		3540 East Sunnyside Road	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2019 S 25th E	open
Crumbl - Ammon	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	2656 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Crumbl - Ammon	Dessert	Dessert	2656 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2730 E Sunnyside Rd 2730 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Dipstix Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3067 Eagle Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1675 Market Way	open
Duck Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	2675 Sunnyside Rd	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2703 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Famous Dave's Bar-B-Que Famous Dave's Bar-B-Que of America	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	2833 S 25th E	open
Fazoli's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	3003 S 25th E	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	3419 S. 25th E.	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	2541 S. 25th Street	open
Fixxology Drinks (Ammon 17th) Fixxology Drinks	Bar		2565 E 17th St	open
Fixxology Drinks (Ammon Sunnyside) Fixxology Drinks	Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Juice / smoothies	3270 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Geraldine's Bake Shoppe and Deli	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Dessert	Bakery · Sandwiches · Dessert	3160 E 17th St	open
Great Hunan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2647 S 25th E	open
Happy Teriyaki – Idaho Falls Happy Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	2725 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Hip Sip - Idaho Falls	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2463 S 25th E	open
Jamba Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	1803 S 25th E	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	2681 E Sunnyside Rd Ste E	open
Johnny Carino's Johnny Carino's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	2833 S 25th E	open
Karen's Cookies	Dessert	Dessert	4390 E 17th St	open
Kneaders Bakery & Cafe Kneaders Bakery and Cafe	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	3571 S 25th E	open
Mac's Snow Shack	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3497 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Main Moon Restaurant \| Chinese Main Moon Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3350 E 17th St	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2729 E Sunnyside Rd	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1201 South 25th East	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1875 South 25th East	open
Mo'Bettahs Hawaiian Style Food Mo' Bettahs Hawaiian Style Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	3427 S 25th E	open
MOD Pizza MOD Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2555 S 25th E	open
Mrs Powell's	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1813 S 25th E	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2733 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Ns Ammon, Id, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2785 E 17th St	open
Orange Leaf Frozen Yogurt Humble Donut Co.	Other · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2797 South 25th East	open
Panda Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	1151 S. 25th E.	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3160 E 17th Street	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2463 S 25th E	open
Patty's Ultimate Coffee House	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3160 E 17th St	open
Peachy Keen’s	Dessert		4077 Eastwood Cir	open
Pick Me Up Pick Me Up	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Dessert	2861 Eagle Dr	open
Pizza Pie Cafe Pizza Pie Cafe North Ogden	Buffet	Pizza · Italian	3160 E 17th St	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Planet Smoothie	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	2565 E 17th St Ste 2	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2598 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	2001 S 25th E	open
RiseandShine Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1229 S Newgate Dr	open
Rumbi Island Grill \| Hawaiian Rumbi	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	2035 S 25th E	open
Snow Eagle Brewing & Grill	Bar		3751 Marlene St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service	Burgers · American	2785 E 17Th Street	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2598 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2171 S 25th E	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3379 E 17th St	open
Summer Nights Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert	3067 Eagle Dr	open
Sunnyside Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2703 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Super Chix - Ammon, ID	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	2671 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Swig Swig	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3857 S 25th E	open
T.G.I. Friday's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2665 25th East Ammon	open
Taco El Loco	Quick service		2523 E Sunnyside Rd	open
Taqueria El Rodeo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1627 Market Wy	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · BBQ · American	2535 S 25th E	open
The Cocoa Bean	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	2545 S 25th E	open
The Drink Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2565 E 17th St	open
The Firehouse Grill	Bar · Casual dining		2891 S 25th E	open
The Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	939 S 25th E	open
The Lafleur Group, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2891 S 25th E	open
The Pita Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	2035 S 25th E	open
The Sugar Cookie Queen	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1215 Midway Ave	open
The Sugar Shell	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4395 Birchwood Circle	open
The Waffle Iron	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2631 S 25th E	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1201 S 25th E	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3439 S. Hitt Rd.	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1901 S 25th E	open
Aunt Annie's Kitchen	Dessert		2631 S 25th E	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	—	1	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	12	7	1	4	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	12	7	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	14	13	8	2	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	15	14	9	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	17	15	7	6	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	17	16	7	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	24	23	9	11	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	23	22	10	8	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	26	25	9	11	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	23	22	8	9	5	—	NAICS2012
2014	23	22	8	9	5	—	NAICS2012
2015	26	26	11	9	6	—	NAICS2012
2016	27	27	10	10	7	—	NAICS2012
2017	27	27	11	11	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	29	13	11	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	31	12	12	7	—	NAICS2017
2020	31	31	12	10	9	—	NAICS2017
2021	33	33	10	12	11	—	NAICS2017
2022	39	35	9	14	12	—	NAICS2022
2023	45	42	12	18	12	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 83406. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
83404	4.2 mi	54	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.