BMIE Market 84045

Utah County, Utah · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	45,429 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±672 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,181 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±385 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,875 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,457 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$130,331 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	23.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,201 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±116 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$613,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,344 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	51.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	46 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 84045
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+170.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+411.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+4,500.0% DERIVED: 2005 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	56 (range 44–68) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +3.5 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	94 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	93 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	91 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	99 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 84045. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +3.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Utah and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 191, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 94 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	93.1	93	40%	+37.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	90.6	91	35%	+31.7
Market Momentum Score	98.8	99	25%	+24.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	45,429	96	40%	+38.3
Median household income (ACS)	130,331	93	40%	+37.2
Households (ACS)	11,181	88	20%	+17.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	411.1	100	35%	+34.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.1	72	25%	+17.9
Population (ACS)	45,429	96	20%	+19.2
Median household income (ACS)	130,331	93	20%	+18.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 99 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	170.6	98	50%	+61.4
10-year restaurant growth	411.1	100	30%	+37.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (96)

By cuisine

Bakery 13 · Dessert 12 · Coffee 11 · American 7 · Burgers 7 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Asian 6 · Mexican 6 · Healthy / salads / bowls 5 · Italian 5 · Japanese 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Chinese 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · French 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Indian 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 60 · Quick service 20 · Bakery 15 · Dessert 13 · Café 10 · Coffee shop 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Bar 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Other 2 · Casual dining 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Apollo Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	33 W Abigail Ln	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	46 E Pioneer Cir	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	46 E Pioneer Cir	open
Arctic Circle Arctic Circle Fry Sauce - THE Original!	Quick service	Burgers · American	1266 N Redwood Rd	open
Banda Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Mexican	1516 N Redwood Rd	open
Beans & Brews Coffee House Beans & Brews Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	717 N Redwood Rd	open
Blossom Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · American	2081 Redwood Rd	open
Bombay Kitchen of Saratoga Springs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	98 Pioneer Cir	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		119 E Crossroads Blvd	open
Cafe Rio Cafe Rio Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1513 N Redwood Rd	open
Cafe Zupas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	879 N Redwood Rd	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		931 N Redwood Rd	open
Chili's Chili's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	757 N. Redwood Rd.	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		757 N Redwood Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	889 N Redwood Rd	open
Chubby's Cafe Chubby's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1284 N Redwood Rd	open
Coffee Chaos Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		147 E Crossroads Blvd	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1376 N Redwood Rd	open
Costa Vida Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	731 N. Redwood Rd	open
Crumbl - Saratoga	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	24 W Pioneer Crossing, Ste 110	open
Crumbl Cookies - Saratoga Crumbl Cookies Puerto Rico	Bakery · Dessert · Delivery-focused	Bakery · Dessert	24 Pioneer Cir	open
Cubby's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1367 Exchange Dr Ste A	open
Cupbop - Korean BBQ in a Cup	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1032 N Redwood Rd	open
Dave's Hot Chicken Dave's Hot Chicken	Quick service		119 Crossroads Blvd	open
Daylight Donuts of Saratoga Springs Daylight Donuts of Portales	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	649 N Redwood Rd	open
Del Taco	Quick service		128 Crossroads Blvd	open
Dirty Dough	Dessert	Dessert	153 W Crossroads Blvd	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	963 N Redwood Rd	open
EggBred Eggbred	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	287 E Xrds Blvd unit a	open
Einstein Bros Bagels	Bakery	Bakery	127 W Lake Dr	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	127 W Lake Vista Dr	open
El Maracucho Latin Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	1821 N Redwood Rd	open
El Mexiquense Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	262 E Crossroads Blvd	open
Fazoli's Fazoli's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	239 E Xrds Blvd	open
Habit Burger & Grill Habit Burger & Grill	Quick service		801 N. Redwood Rd.	open
Hanaya Poke - Saratoga Springs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	1739 S Redwood Rd	open
Handel's Homemade Ice Cream Handel's Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	968 North Exchange Drive, Saratoga Springs, Utah 84045	open
Hokulia Shave Ice - Saratoga Springs UT Hokulia Shave Ice	Dessert	Dessert	1821 N Redwood Rd	open
Hotpot Haven-Seoul BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · BBQ · Asian	173 W Lk Dr Ste D	open
Iceberg Drive Inn Iceberg Drive Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1012 N Redwood Rd	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	757 N Redwood Rd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		1303 N. Redwood Rd.	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	923 N Redwood Rd	open
Jimmy John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	968 N Exchange Dr Ste C	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1378 N. Exchange Drive	open
Kievan Rus Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · German / Eastern European · Dessert	71 Cove Ct	open
Kneaders Bakery and Cafe Kneaders Bakery and Cafe	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · American	1484 N Redwood Rd	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	337 E Crossroads Blvd Unit D	open
Mo' Bettahs Hawaiian Style Food Mo' Bettahs Hawaiian Style Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	1152 N Redwood Rd	open
MOD Pizza MOD Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	617 N Redwood Rd Suite 115	open
Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1271 North Lake Drive	open
My French Delicacies	Bakery · Dessert	French · Dessert · Bakery	1483 Stone Gate Dr	open
Nautical Bowls \| Acai Nautical Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	1314 N Redwood Rd Ste 200	open
Noodles and Company Noodles & Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · American	24 Pioneer Crossing	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	947 N Redwood Rd	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	1413 N. Redwood Rd.	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	649 Redwood Rd Ste 100	open
Papayas Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Burgers	36 Crossroads Blvd	open
PG Utah	Restaurant (service type not stated)		321 E Crossroads Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1513 N Redwood Rd	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	991 N Redwood Rd	open
Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service		1267 N Redwood Rd	open
Red 8 Saratoga Springs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese	617 Redwood Rd	open
Redwood Road Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	963 N Redwood Rd	open
Roxberry Juice Roxberry Juice Co.	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	1162 N Redwood Rd	open
Saratoga Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	122 E Cottage Cove	open
Saratoga Springs, UT Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2157 N Redwood Rd	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2157 N Redwood Rd	open
Sean's Smokehouse Bbq & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	222 E Crossroads Blvd	open
Seven Brothers Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	731 N Redwood Rd Ste 100	open
Shell's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls	48 Summer Pl	open
Siena Shaved Ice	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Dessert · Juice / smoothies	327 W Willow Creek Dr	open
Spilled Milk Ice Cream And Cereal Bar	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	689 N Redwood Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	689 N Redwood Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	210 E Crossroads Blvd	open
Super Aunt	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	398 Taylor Rd	open
Swig Swig	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1168 North Redwood Road	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	27 W. Crossroads Blvd	open
Tapa Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1078 N Redwood Rd	open
Tenney's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1453 N Summer Village Rd	open
Teriyaki Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	1321 N Redwood Rd	open
Teriyaki Madness Teriyaki Madness	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	717 N Redwood Rd Ste 115	open
Thai Better	Restaurant (service type not stated)		222 E Crossroads Blvd	open
The Break Sports Grill Saratoga Springs	Bar · Casual dining	Burgers	127 W Lk Dr	open
The Habit Burger Grill The Habit Burger Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	801 S Redwood Rd	open
The Place Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1032 Redwood Rd	open
Twisted Sugar	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	250 E Crossroads Blvd	open
Utah killer dogs llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	European	2252 S Beretta Dr	open
Viet Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	274 E Crossroads Blvd	open
Village Baker - Saratoga Springs Village Baker	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Sandwiches	952 N Exchange Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1361 N. Redwood Road	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1140 North Redwood Rd	open
Won Won Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese · Asian	149 E Crossroads Blvd	open
Yonutz Saratoga Springs UT	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1509 N Commerce Dr	open
Zao Asian Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	61 W Abigail Ln	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2005	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	2	1	—	—	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	5	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	6	5	—	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	7	6	1	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	12	2	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	1	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	17	14	—	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	17	—	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	20	—	15	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	22	—	15	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	23	—	16	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	46	44	8	25	11	—	NAICS2022
2023	47	46	8	27	11	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 84045. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
84005	4.3 mi	17	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.