BMIE Market 85041
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 63,862 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,603 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 19,316 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±904 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 54,947 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 17,226 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $75,301 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,201 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 33.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,739 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±89 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $347,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,924 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 16.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85041 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 3.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +77.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +333.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +333.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 42 (range 37–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85041. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.2 | 81 | 40% | +32.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 83.9 | 84 | 35% | +29.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 91.2 | 91 | 25% | +22.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 63,862 | 99 | 40% | +39.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 75,301 | 56 | 40% | +22.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 19,316 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 77.3 | 89 | 35% | +31.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 6.1 | 88 | 25% | +21.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 63,862 | 99 | 20% | +19.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 75,301 | 56 | 20% | +11.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 50 | 90 | 50% | +45.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 77.3 | 89 | 30% | +26.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 333.3 | 97 | 20% | +19.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (92)
By cuisine
Mexican 26 · American 11 · Coffee 9 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 9 · Dessert 7 · Asian 6 · Bakery 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Pizza 6 · Latin American (other) 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Chinese 4 · Burgers 3 · Hot dogs 3 · Seafood 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Breakfast 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 55 · Quick service 21 · Dessert 12 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Bar 6 · Café 6 · Casual dining 5 · Food truck 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3's Co. Coffee Bar | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2710 W Southern Ave | open |
| Amis Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1504 W Corona Ave | open |
| Angry Crab Shack Angry Crab Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Asian | 6360 S 35th Ave #160 | open |
| Arcoiris Ice Cream | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6006 S Central Ave | open |
| ATL Wings - AZ3320 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 3320 W Southern Ave #120 | open |
| Aunt Chilada's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2019 W Baseline Rd | open |
| Auto Carrera | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3231 W Broadway Rd | open | |
| Banquetes Cancun | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Hot dogs | 4440 S 19th Ave | open |
| Big Papa Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 825 W Southern Ave | open |
| Birria Estilo Michoacan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1711 W Broadway Rd | open |
| Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 6016 S 7th Ave | open |
| Boba Tea and Snow Ice House Boba Tea & Snow Ice House | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Tea / bubble tea · Dessert | 2710 W Southern Ave #104 | open |
| BoSa Donuts BoSa Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee | 6360 S 35th Ave #168 | open |
| Brianna Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 5626 S 14th Ave | open |
| Brunch House | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Breakfast · Coffee | 3340 W Southern Ave | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1970 W. Baseline Rd | open |
| Cash 4 Cars Metro | Bar · Quick service | Mexican | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1838 W Baseline Rd | open |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6260 S. 35th Avenue | open |
| Collective Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3648 W Southern Ave | open |
| Detour Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 2710 W Southern Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 1909 W Baseline Rd | open |
| El Buen Gusto Original | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1847 W Broadway Rd | open |
| El Gordo Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican | 4144 W Alta Vista Rd | open |
| El Güero Birria de Chivo #2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 615 W Broadway Rd | open |
| El Humadero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1339 W Broadway Rd | open |
| El Lorito | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Mexican | 624 W Broadway Rd | open |
| El Rancho Bar | Bar | 1605 W Broadway Rd | open | |
| El Tenampa Bar Nightclub | Bar | 1707 W Broadway Rd | open | |
| Fili's Bar & Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4740 S 35th Ave | open | |
| Filiberto's Mexican Food Filibertos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3610 W Southern Ave | open |
| Frescos Raspados | Dessert | Dessert · Latin American (other) | 1810 W Southern Ave | open |
| Fresh Water and Ice | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | open | |
| Froyoholic Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2640 W Baseline Rd Ste 101 | open |
| Fruitlicious | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3424 W Southern Ave | open |
| Gomez Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · American | 1855 W Corona Ave | open |
| H F Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3 W Baseline Rd | open | |
| Happy Food Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian · American | 3 W Baseline Rd | open |
| Harbor Seafood Cajun House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3414 W Southern Ave 168 B | open |
| Hibachi City Buffet | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 3414 W Southern Ave #168 | open |
| Illimitato Pizza - Phoenix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 825 W Southern Ave | open |
| J's Fashion Food, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6260 S 35th Ave Ste 174 | open | |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 1921 W Broadway Rd | open | |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 6120 S 35th Ave | open | |
| Judging Wisdom Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2428 W Tamarisk Ave | open |
| Kabab King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 2640 W Baseline Rd #103 | open |
| La carreta del vecino LLC | Food truck | Hot dogs | 695 W Baseline Rd | open |
| La Michoacana Gourmet | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican | 3525 W Southern Ave | open |
| La Villita’s Taco’s | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9401 S 19th Ave | open | |
| Lala's Cravings and more | Food truck | Carniceria Agave, 3525 W Southern Ave | open | |
| Las Espigas Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 1810 W Southern Ave #105 | open |
| Las Gemelas Mexican Food - Central | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5644 S Central Ave | open |
| Laveen Ice Cream & More | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3901 W Southern Ave | open |
| Li's Bowl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 6260 S 35th Ave #174 | open |
| Lila’s Bake House | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | Phoenix, AZ | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1810 W Southern Ave | open |
| Long Wong's of Laveen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Pizza | 6260 S 35th Ave | open |
| Marcia's Long Wong's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 5 W Baseline Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1844 W Baseline Road | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5950 S 35th Ave | open | |
| Menudo y gorditas” El Guero” | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4421 S 19th Ave | open |
| Mingo's Louisiana Kitchen | Food truck | 3424 W Southern Ave | open | |
| Monarca Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Mexican | 602 W Baseline Rd | open |
| Ono Hawaiian BBQ Ono Hawaiian BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Hawaiian / Pacific · American | 3698 W Southern Ave | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 935 W. Southern Ave | open |
| Pasteleria Elizabeth | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2610 W Baseline Rd #114 | open |
| Pho Laveen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 3424 W Southern Ave #180 | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1909 W Baseline Rd Maricopa | open |
| Pizza Patron | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Pizza | 825 W Southern Ave Ste 108 | open |
| Que Suave Taco Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1855 W Corona Ave #2 | open |
| Salsitas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 36 W Southern Ave | open |
| Silver Pony Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 620 W Dobbins Rd | open | |
| Sonora Querida Hotdogs | Quick service · Food truck | Hot dogs | S 35th Ave | open |
| Sr Ozzy's Tacos Y Mariscos Sr. Ozzy's Tacos y Mariscos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1717 W Southern Ave Suite 100 | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 845 W Southern Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 2020 W Baseline Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 6124 S 35th Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3424 West Southern Avenue Suite 171 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 6150 S 35th Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2020 W Baseline Road Suite C166 | open |
| T-Bone Steak House | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 10037 S 19th Ave | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 1919 W. Baseline Road | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Mexican | 725 W Southern Ave | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 5825 S 35th Ave | open |
| Taco Feliz Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 925 W Dobbins Rd | open |
| Tacos and Cakes | Bakery | Mexican · Bakery | 2610 W Baseline Rd #114 | open |
| Taqueria Hermosillo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 6428 S 5th Ave | open |
| Taqueria La Familia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican | 1855 W Corona Ave | open |
| Turkey Leg Krazy | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Casual dining | American · Sandwiches | 3340 W Southern Ave Ste 131 | open |
| Vaqueros Carne Asada Vaqueros Carne Asada Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1821 W Southern Ave | open |
| Auto Carrera | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4050 S 19th Ave | closed | |
| Hānai Coffee + Cocktails | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 3648 W Southern Ave # 150 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 11 | 9 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 7 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 9 | 6 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 5 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 17 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 19 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 21 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 24 | 22 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 25 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 28 | 24 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 32 | 28 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 17 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 31 | 26 | 6 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 32 | 27 | 6 | 18 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 33 | 28 | 6 | 18 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 39 | 31 | 7 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 37 | 33 | 7 | 21 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 40 | 39 | 8 | 24 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |