BMIE Market 85007

Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,575 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,176 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,147 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±335 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,040 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,916 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,616 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,083 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,116 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±97 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$480,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59,354 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85007
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+21.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+110.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	42 (range 38–47) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85007. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.5	60	40%	+23.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.0	58	35%	+20.3
Market Momentum Score	82.4	82	25%	+20.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,575	75	40%	+30.0
Median household income (ACS)	63,616	36	40%	+14.6
Households (ACS)	5,147	75	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	35%	+30.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	29.5	21	25%	+5.2
Population (ACS)	13,575	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	63,616	36	20%	+7.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	21.2	78	50%	+39.1
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	30%	+26.2
20-year restaurant growth	110.5	85	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (102)

By cuisine

Mexican 22 · Coffee 16 · Latin American (other) 12 · American 11 · Bakery 8 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Dessert 5 · Vegetarian 5 · Breakfast 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Pizza 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Caribbean 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · African 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 50 · Coffee shop 12 · Quick service 12 · Café 11 · Bar 10 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 8 · Casual dining 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abril Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		723 S 7th Ave	open
Acme Ice Cream Events	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1620 W Grant St	open
Armando's Mexican Food Filibertos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	2001 S 7th Ave	open
Asadero las Palmas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1750 W Van Buren St	open
Asadero Toro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1715 W McDowell Rd	open
Azteca Bakeries	Bakery	Bakery	416 N 7th Ave	open
Bacanora	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1301 Grand Ave #1	open
Bati Bazaar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	1510 W McDowell Rd	open
Big Boy Ice Cream Big Boy Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1620 W Grant St	open
Bikini Lounge	Bar		1502 Grand Ave	open
Bimbo Bakeries Bimbo Bakeries USA	Bakery	Bakery	738 W Van Buren St	open
Birrieria Cañeros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1402 W Van Buren St	open
Bragg's Factory Diner	Casual dining	American	1301 Grand Ave	open
Bun Appetit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Hot dogs	910 W Jackson St	open
Caffio Espresso Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1025 Grand Ave	open
Cha Cha's Tea Lounge	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1325 Grand Ave	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	819 N 7th Ave	open
Chilte	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	765 Grand Ave	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1515 N 7th Ave Ste 120	open
Cocina Adamex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	416 N 7th Ave	open
Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1700 W Washington St, Lower Level Of Az Capitol	open
Crybaby Ranch	Bakery	Bakery	1301 Grand Ave	open
CupcakeryAz	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	1840 Palmcroft Dr NE	open
Discount Zone	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2045 S 7th Ave	open
Dr Taco Therapy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1746 W Van Buren St	open
Earth Plant Based Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Mexican · Healthy / salads / bowls	1325 Grand Ave	open
El Crucero Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		906 N 15th Ave Ste A	open
El Norteno	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1002 N 7th Ave	open
Encanto Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2775 N 15th Ave	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	1515 N 7th Ave	open
Frank's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		364 N 7th Ave	open
Garden Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1825 W Buckeye Rd	open
Goji Berry	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Bakery	1325 Grand Ave	open
Golden Moon Palace Resturant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1408 W Van Buren St	open
Gracie's Tax Bar	Bar · Casual dining		711 N 7th Ave	open
Grand Avenue Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		1205 W Pierce St	open
Grand Avenue Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1031 Grand Ave	open
Green Mage Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2829 N 15th Ave	open
Happy Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1724 W Van Buren St	open
Highball	Bar		1514 N 7th Ave	open
Ice-cream Result	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1820 W Maricopa Fwy	open
IHOF	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1402 W Van Buren St	open
Inner City Nutrition	Café	Coffee	1740 W Van Buren St	open
Irma's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	906 N 15th Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		1833 W Van Buren St	open
Jamrock Cafe and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1714 W Van Buren St	open
Jefferson St. Cafe	Café	American · Italian · Coffee	1789 W Jefferson St	open
Kiubole, Que Tal El Taco?	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1821 W Buchanan St	open
Krispy Krunch chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken Hayward	Quick service	American · Chicken / wings	1819 W Buckeye Rd	open
La Canasta Capitolio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1733 W Van Buren St	open
La Canasta Food Truck	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	710 S 6th Ave	open
La caraja	Quick service		1801 W Grand Ave	open
La Frontera Mexican Food #1	Food truck		209 N 16th Ave	open
La Vegana Madre	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Mexican · Latin American (other)	1229 Grand Ave	open
Lee'z Fish Fry	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	730 S 15th Ave	open
Live at The Egyptian	Bar		765 W Grand Ave	open
Liyuen	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	1602 S 7th Ave	open
MAD Greens MAD Greens	Quick service · Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	1515 N 7th Ave #100	open
Magusa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1724 W Van Buren St	open
Market Place Deli Products	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1738 W Buckeye Rd	open
Marshall's Kitchen Phoenix Az	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · British / Irish pub food	1501 W Sherman St	open
Maskadores Taco Shop Downtown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	906 N 15th Ave	open
McGurkees JP Sandwich Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2822 N 15th Ave	open
Mel's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1747 Grand Ave	open
MFG Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	522 N 7th Ave	open
Mike’s Tacos	Food truck	Mexican · Seafood	1740 W Grand Ave	open
Mis Raices Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1325 Grand Ave	open
Morning Bell Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee	1028 Grand Ave	open
Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	1515 N 7th Ave	open
Novel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1028 Grand Ave #6	open
NW Drip Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1325 Grand Ave Ste 3	open
Old Station Sub Shop	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1301 W Jefferson St	open
Olla Olla Crepes	Dessert · Café	Dessert · Breakfast · Coffee	1708 W Van Buren St	open
Onyx Sweet Shoppe	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	1348 W Roosevelt St	open
Original Hamburger Works	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	2801 N 15th Ave	open
Paisley Violin	Café	Coffee	1028 Grand Ave	open
Reggie's Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	730 S 15th Ave	open
Shaka Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Hawaiian / Pacific	1028 Grand Ave #5	open
SideBar	Bar		1514 N 7th Ave	open
SoLuna Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	1325 Grand Ave	open
Soy Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	1750 W Van Buren St	open
sportsman Social Club	Bar		943 W Watkins St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	837 N 7th Ave	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	701 W Mcdowell Rd 701 Ph X)	open
Strictly From Scratch LTD	Bakery	Bakery	800 N 17th Ave	open
Tacos Pastor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2438 S 7th Ave	open
Taza Bistro Mediterranean Fusion	Catering	Mediterranean	910 W Jackson St	open
Testal Mexican Kitchen	Bar	Mexican	1325 Grand Ave Ste #1	open
The Food Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		902 W Van Buren St	open
The Original La Canasta Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	723 S 7th Ave	open
ThirdSpace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1028 Grand Ave	open
Trans Am Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1506 W Grand Ave	open
Tres Leches Café	Coffee shop	Coffee	1714 W Van Buren St	open
Valley Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1348 W Roosevelt St	open
Velorio	Coffee shop	Coffee	1028 Grand Ave # 2	open
Vovomeena	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	1515 N 7th Ave Unit 170	open
W-Y Pizza & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1819 W Buckeye Rd	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1515 N 7th Ave	open
Zoyo Neighborhood Yogurt Walmart	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1515 N 7th Ave	open
A To Z Restaurant Equipment	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1821 W Grant St	closed
Church's Texas Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	714 Grand Ave	closed
Taqueria Rascon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1803 W Van Buren St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	37	32	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	32	26	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	32	26	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	27	22	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	33	26	10	12	2	5	NAICS1997
1999	32	25	10	11	2	5	NAICS1997
2000	27	19	7	8	2	6	NAICS1997
2001	23	17	6	8	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	25	18	7	8	1	5	NAICS1997
2003	26	19	7	9	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	29	21	12	7	1	5	NAICS2002
2005	30	24	12	9	2	4	NAICS2002
2006	27	20	8	8	3	4	NAICS2002
2007	32	23	9	12	2	3	NAICS2002
2008	32	25	8	15	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	34	24	8	14	2	4	NAICS2007
2010	32	24	6	16	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	30	24	7	15	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	32	26	5	18	3	3	NAICS2012
2013	31	24	4	17	3	3	NAICS2012
2014	39	31	5	23	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	35	28	7	18	3	3	NAICS2012
2016	34	27	5	19	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	37	30	9	16	5	3	NAICS2017
2018	40	33	9	18	6	4	NAICS2017
2019	41	34	9	19	6	5	NAICS2017
2020	43	32	6	19	7	8	NAICS2017
2021	45	34	9	19	6	7	NAICS2017
2022	45	34	8	19	7	6	NAICS2022
2023	52	40	6	22	12	7	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85007. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
85003	0.7 mi	59	2023
85004	1.2 mi	126	2023
85009	2.2 mi	44	2023
85006	2.7 mi	57	2023
85041	4.3 mi	39	2023
85015	4.3 mi	66	2023
85012	4.4 mi	59	2023
85013	4.5 mi	58	2023
85034	4.5 mi	55	2023
85014	4.6 mi	65	2023
85040	4.7 mi	55	2023
85017	4.7 mi	54	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.