BMIE Market 85054
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,346 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,292 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,554 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±553 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 5,384 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,801 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $91,507 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,537 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,239 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±99 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $687,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±88,823 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85054 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 52.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +51.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +76.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +633.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +4,300.0% DERIVED: 1999 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 46 (range 41–51) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85054. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 73.6 | 74 | 40% | +29.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63.3 | 63 | 35% | +22.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 92.3 | 92 | 25% | +23.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,346 | 71 | 40% | +28.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 91,507 | 75 | 40% | +29.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,554 | 76 | 20% | +15.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 76 | 89 | 35% | +31.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 42.5 | 12 | 25% | +3.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,346 | 71 | 20% | +14.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 91,507 | 75 | 20% | +14.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 51.7 | 92 | 50% | +45.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 76 | 89 | 30% | +26.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 633.3 | 99 | 20% | +19.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (99)
By cuisine
American 14 · Coffee 10 · Japanese 8 · Pizza 6 · Seafood 6 · Sushi 6 · Asian 5 · Mexican 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Breakfast 4 · Steakhouse 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Italian 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Dessert 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Korean 2 · Brazilian 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 72 · Bar 28 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Casual dining 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 Degrees Neapolitan Pizzeria of Phoenix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Abuelo's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Athena Greek Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| AZ Kabob House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 7000 E Mayo Blvd Ste 1060 | open |
| B&b Aesthetics Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6930 E Chauncey Ln Ste 265 | open | |
| Blast & Brew | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom | Pizza · Sandwiches | 7000 E Mayo Blvd Ste 1002 | open |
| Blue 32 Sports Grill | Bar | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open | |
| Blue Agave Mexican Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Blue Martini | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5455 E High St Ste 101 | open | |
| Blue Sage Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 5350 E Marriott Dr | open |
| Bop and Roll | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Korean · Japanese | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Bourbon Jacks | Casual dining · Bar | 7000 E Mayo Blvd bldg 5 | open | |
| Breakfast Kitchen Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Breakfast · Coffee | 21001 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Buck & Rider Buck & Rider Camelback | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 7015 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Butters Pancakes & Cafe Butters Pancakes & Cafe | Café | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Cafepino Llc Dba Pino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7000 E Mayo Blvd Ste 1070 | open | |
| Cakes 'n' Pastries | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Canyon Springs Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 5220 E Marriott Dr | open |
| Carlos O'brien's Management L.l.c | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7000 E Mayo Blvd Bldg 21 | open | |
| Carlos O'Brien's Mexican Restaurant Carlos O'Brien's Mexican Restaurant | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Cars & Coffee Scottsdale | Coffee shop | Coffee | open | |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches | 7000 E Mayo Blvd Bldg 2 | open |
| Chicken Tender Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open | |
| Cien Agaves Tacos & Tequila- North Scottsdale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7000 E Mayo Blvd Ste 1072 | open | |
| Coconut's Fish Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Hawaiian / Pacific | 7000 E Mayo Blvd #1108 | open |
| Cook & Craft (high St.) | Bar | 5310 E High St | open | |
| Cowboys Saloon | Bar | 5310 East High Street | open | |
| Deboli Culinary Concepts Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7000 E Mayo Blvd Ste 1076 | open | |
| Denny's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Donatos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7000 E Mayo Blvd Bldg 3 | open |
| Dos Diablos Fine New Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 5415 E High St | open |
| Dr. G Coffee & Tea Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5410 E High St | open | |
| Elephant Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Federal American Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7000 E Mayo Boulevard, building 27 | open | |
| Federal American Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7000 E Mayo Boluevard#R##N#Building 27 | open | |
| Firehouse Subs | Other | Sandwiches | 5450 E High St Ste A-6107 | open |
| Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7000 East Mayo Blvd #5 | open |
| Frogurt 101 | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Gallery Bar | Bar | 5355 E High St Unit 121 | open | |
| Gin & Reel | Coffee shop · Bar | Coffee | 5415 E High St #103 | open |
| Gordon Biersch Brewery Restaurant | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 18545 N Allied Way | open | |
| Growler USA | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom | 5415 E High St Ste 101 | open | |
| High & Rye | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5310 E High St #100 | open | |
| High Street Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 5410 E High St | open |
| Hot N Juicy Crawfish Hot N Juicy Crawfish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| House Of Comedy Llp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5350 E High St Ste 105 | open | |
| Hula's Modern Tiki Hula's Modern Tiki | Bar | 5450 E High St | open | |
| Humble Oysters and Bubbles | Bar | Seafood | 5415 E High St #127 | open |
| Johnson Restaurant Group, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open | |
| Kanoki Sushi & Cocktails | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 5415 E High St | open |
| Kembara | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | Asian · American | 5350 E Marriott Dr | open |
| Knead Luv Bakery and Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 7000 E Mayo Blvd #1002 | open |
| Kona Grill - Phoenix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 5310 E High St #101 | open |
| La Bocca Wine Bar & Urban Kitchen | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5415 East High Street, Ste 127 | open | |
| La Reve Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7000 E Mayo Blvd Ste 1084 | open | |
| Lucky's Burgers & Hot Dog Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Marino's Italian Kitchen and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 21001 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Mayo Clinic Hospital Cafeteria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5777 E Mayo Blvd | open | |
| Mellow Mushroom Mellow Mushroom | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Pizza · Sandwiches · American | 5350 E High St | open |
| MERITAGE - an urban tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 5350 E Marriott Dr | open | |
| Mesquite Fresh Street Mex Mesquite Fresh Street Mex | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7000 E Mayo Blvd #1066 | open |
| Modern Margarita | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5410 E High St #115 | open |
| Nadu Phoenix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste 40-1360 | open |
| Nori Sushi & Asian Dining | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 5310 E High St Ste 101 | open |
| Northside Wine & Beer Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Pizza · Burgers | 7111 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Ocean Prime Ocean Prime | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood | 5455 E High St | open |
| Omkara Development Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7000 E Mayo Blvd Ste 1002 | open | |
| Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 7000 E. Mayo, Suite 1026 | open |
| Patio 54 Fusion Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5415 E High St Ste 101 | open | |
| PINO | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 7000 E Mayo Blvd #1070 | open |
| Pocha 54 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean | 5415 E High St Ste 101 | open |
| Poke Bar Poké Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Press Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5410 E High St #115 | open |
| Pressed Juicery | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 7000 E Mayo Blvd Ste 1020 | open |
| ProteinHouse Scottsdale Proteinhouse | Juice, smoothie, tea | Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegetarian · Juice / smoothies | 7077 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Rodizio Grill Brazilian Steakhouse North Scottsdale Rodizio Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Brazilian · Steakhouse · Latin American (other) | 7000 E Mayo Blvd #24 | open |
| Roy's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 5350 E Marriott Dr | open |
| Sakura Sushi & Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Soda Jerk Co. Milkshake Bar | Dessert · Bar | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5350 E High St #109 | open |
| Spicy Tuna Sushi Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 5350 E Pathfinder Dr | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7000 E Mayo Blvd Unit C 10 | open |
| Tea Light Cafe | Café | Vietnamese · Coffee · Asian | 7000 E Mayo Blvd #1084 | open |
| Tea2Go Desert Ridge Tea2go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5415 E High St | open | |
| The Boozy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 5450 E High St | open |
| The Compound Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| The Grove Artisan Cafe and Bakery | Café · Bar · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 5415 E High St #103 | open |
| The Henry The Henry | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open |
| The Mighty Axe - Phoenix The Mighty Axe | Bar | 5410 E High St | open | |
| The White Chocolate Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7000 E Mayo Blvd Bldg 6 | open |
| Tia Carmen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · American | 5350 E Marriott Dr | open |
| Toby Keith's I Love This Bar & Grill | Bar | High Street | open | |
| Torch Cigar Bar | Bar | 5450 E High St #115 | open | |
| twenty6 | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5350 E Marriott Dr | open | |
| Twisted Curry | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7000 E Mayo Blvd | open | |
| Umami BBQ & Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 7000 E Mayo Blvd #1090 | open |
| Yogis Grill | Quick service | 5450 E High St Ste 107 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 7 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 33 | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 30 | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 29 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 30 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 33 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 33 | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 34 | 30 | 18 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 33 | 29 | 16 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 37 | 32 | 19 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 37 | 32 | 19 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 38 | 33 | 21 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 43 | 37 | 25 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 48 | 44 | 27 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |