BMIE Market 85050

Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	33,118 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,353 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,755 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±440 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,736 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,333 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$139,836 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,821 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,377 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±134 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$618,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,315 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	14.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85050
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+73.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+2,150.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	47 (range 42–53) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.33) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	54 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85050. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.33, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	92.3	92	40%	+36.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.2	73	35%	+25.6
Market Momentum Score	54.4	54	25%	+13.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	33,118	91	40%	+36.3
Median household income (ACS)	139,836	95	40%	+37.9
Households (ACS)	12,755	90	20%	+18.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.4	62	35%	+21.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.6	58	25%	+14.5
Population (ACS)	33,118	91	20%	+18.1
Median household income (ACS)	139,836	95	20%	+19.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	18.4	62	30%	+18.5
20-year restaurant growth	73.1	75	20%	+15.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (94)

By cuisine

American 18 · Coffee 10 · Sandwiches 9 · Dessert 8 · Asian 7 · Pizza 7 · Bakery 6 · Juice / smoothies 6 · Mexican 6 · Burgers 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Japanese 4 · Vegetarian 4 · BBQ 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Indian 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Italian 2 · Korean 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 57 · Bar 21 · Casual dining 13 · Quick service 12 · Café 10 · Dessert 10 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aahwanam Regional Indian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	3130 E Union Hills Dr Ste 104 106	open
Artichoke Basille’s Pizza	Bar		21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste 40-1365	open
Auntie Anne's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21001 N Tatum Blvd Spc D-11	open
Bahama Breeze	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Barrio Queen Barrio Queen	Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	21001 N Tatum Blvd #98	open
BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse	Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Bar	American	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Break Free Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste 38-1350	open
Brooklyns Best Bagel & Deli	Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery · American	20910 N Tatum Blvd	open
Bruster's Real Ice Cream Bruster's Real Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4731 E Union Hills Dr	open
Burger King	Quick service		2439 East Union Hills	open
Café Allegro	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	4725 E Mayo Blvd	open
Café Zupas Cafe Zupas	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Coffee · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste. 34-1110	open
California Pizza Kitchen at Desert Ridge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21001 N Tatum Boulevard, Desert Ridge	open
CB Live	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Celsius Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	21050 N Tatum Blvd Ste 108	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	21001 N Tatum Blvd, Ste 36-1180	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	21001 N Tatum Blvd, Ste 36-1180	open
Cold Stone Creamery - Desert Ridge Arizona	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Comic X	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Copper Blues Live	Casual dining · Bar		21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Cornish Pasty	Bar		18725 N 32nd St Ste A-110	open
Cortado BC	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	3230 E Union Hills Dr Ste b 135	open
Cupbop Korean BBQ in a Cup	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean	21001 N Tatum Boulevard, Suite 34-1130	open
Dakshin Desert Ridge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	21050 N Tatum Blvd	open
Dirty Dough - Phoenix	Bakery	Bakery	21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste 34-1150	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste 80-1650	open
Fat Tuesday at Desert Ridge Marketplace Phoenix	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		21001 N Tatum Blvd., Suite 44-1395	open
Filibertos Mexican Food Filibertos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2439 E Union Hills Dr	open
Flower Child Flower Child	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Fly Bye Fly Bye To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste 74-1557	open
Foley Ranch, Boots & BBQ	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	21001 N Tatum Blvd Unit 93	open
Goodies by Max - Custom Cookies & Cookie Classes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
Grilled Expedition	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Humble Pie	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza · Italian	21050 N Tatum Blvd	open
Ike's Love and Sandwiches Ike's Sandwiches	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	20910 N Tatum Blvd Ste 190	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	21001 N. Tatum Blvd.	open
Islands Restaurant Phoenix Islands Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers · American	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
IT'SUGAR Desert Ridge IT'SUGAR	Dessert	Dessert	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sandwiches · Burgers	2420 E Beardsley Rd	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Other · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste 34-1115	open
Kajiken Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Keva Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Kona Grill Kona Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Main Course Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20645 N 28th St	open
Majerle's Sports Grill	Bar		21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste 96	open
Majerles Dr Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste 95	open
Marcel's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		3130 E Union Hills Dr	open
MidiCi The Neapolitan Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste 18-1010	open
Mimi's Cafe Mimi's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Moraya Development Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste 48-1520	open
Nautical Bowls Nautical Bowls	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste 80-1660	open
Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Coffee	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Nephews Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	20049 N 24th Way	open
Nori Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Office Restaurant & Bar Desert Ridge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American		open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chinese · Asian	21001 Tatum Blvd	open
Papa Murphy's \| Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3230 East Union Hills	open
Paradise Bakery & Cafe	Other · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Paris Rendez-Vous	Dessert	Dessert	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Pita Jungle Pita Jungle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	20910 N Tatum Blvd #140	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Asian	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Port of Subs Port of Subs	Juice, smoothie, tea · Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused · Bar	Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	21001 N Tatum Blvd Ste 78-1600	open
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory	Dessert	Dessert	21001 N Tatum Blvd, Ste 36	open
Romano's Macaroni Grill	Bar		21001 N Tatum Blvd, Ste 4	open
Rubio's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	21001 N. Tatum Blvd., Suite 34-1130	open
Sandbar Mexican Grill	Bar · Casual dining		21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Seven On Seven	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Sfizio Modern Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	21050 N Tatum Blvd #110	open
Sharetea Sharetea Malaysia	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Sid's Garage	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	21001 n Tatum Blvd ste 1540	open
Sizzle Korean Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · BBQ · Asian	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Slices	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Slingerz	Food truck		18629 N 25th Way	open
Smashburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Spitz - Desert Ridge Marketplace Spitz	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3230 E. Union Hills Dr. Suite B-125	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	20910 N Tatum Blvd Ste 190	open
Sushi On Tatum	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	20910 N Tatum Blvd	open
Sweet Tomatoes	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
T.G.I. Friday's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2430 E. Beardsley Rd.	open
The Bamboo Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
The Keg Steakhouse and Bar The Keg Steakhouse + Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
The Whining Pig Desert Ridge The Whining Pig Gilbert	Casual dining · Bar		21001 North Tatum Boulevard	open
Thirsty Lion Thirsty Lion	Casual dining · Bar	American	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Tikka Shack Tikka Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Indian · Middle Eastern	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Tryst Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	21050 N Tatum Blvd #108	open
Yard House Yard House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Asian · Vegetarian · BBQ	21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
yogurt plus	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	20910 N Tatum Blvd Ste 160	open
Yonutz Desert Ridge Phoenix AZ	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bakery	Juice / smoothies · Bakery	Desert Ridge Marketplace, 21001 N Tatum Blvd	open
Zoyo Neighborhood Yogurt Walmart	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	20910 N Tatum Blvd Ste 160	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	5	1	2	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	14	12	7	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	23	22	13	7	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	30	26	15	9	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	33	28	16	9	3	4	NAICS2002
2005	33	30	16	9	5	3	NAICS2002
2006	34	31	17	11	3	3	NAICS2002
2007	40	37	20	12	5	2	NAICS2002
2008	38	36	20	10	5	1	NAICS2007
2009	37	36	18	11	6	—	NAICS2007
2010	34	33	18	8	6	—	NAICS2007
2011	40	38	21	8	8	—	NAICS2007
2012	41	37	17	12	8	—	NAICS2012
2013	41	38	18	11	8	—	NAICS2012
2014	43	38	17	11	9	1	NAICS2012
2015	46	41	19	12	9	1	NAICS2012
2016	51	46	18	17	10	1	NAICS2012
2017	47	42	20	12	9	—	NAICS2017
2018	51	45	20	13	11	—	NAICS2017
2019	53	46	20	16	9	—	NAICS2017
2020	54	47	22	16	8	—	NAICS2017
2021	48	42	18	17	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	48	42	18	16	8	—	NAICS2022
2023	52	45	20	17	8	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85050. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
85024	2.6 mi	29	2023
85054	3.1 mi	44	2023
85032	4.3 mi	160	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.