BMIE Market 85024

Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	26,199 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,867 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,592 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±555 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,898 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,131 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$106,724 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,538 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,943 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±84 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$471,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85024
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+70.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+222.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+314.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	34 (range 30–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.67) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85024. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.67, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.8	86	40%	+34.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82.1	82	35%	+28.7
Market Momentum Score	77.6	78	25%	+19.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	26,199	86	40%	+34.4
Median household income (ACS)	106,724	85	40%	+34.0
Households (ACS)	10,592	87	20%	+17.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	70.6	88	35%	+30.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.1	68	25%	+17.0
Population (ACS)	26,199	86	20%	+17.2
Median household income (ACS)	106,724	85	20%	+17.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.4	64	50%	+32.2
10-year restaurant growth	70.6	88	30%	+26.4
20-year restaurant growth	222.2	95	20%	+19.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (61)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 8 · Sandwiches 6 · Pizza 5 · Asian 4 · Mexican 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Korean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Quick service 18 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 5 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angie's Prime Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	880 E Lone Cactus Dr	open
Bad Kitty Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Bar		23050 N 21st St	open
BoSa Donuts BoSa Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	710 E Union Hills Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2337 E Quail Ave	open
Cafe Balkan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · European	21043 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Cave Creek & 101 Salad and Go	Quick service		21060 N Cave Creek Rd, Phoenix, AZ 85024	open
Cobblestone Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20210 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Cousins Subs	Other	Sandwiches	710 E. Union Hills Dr.	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	20835 North Cave Creek Road	open
Cyber Mama - Desi Street Bytes	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	21031 N Cave Creek Rd Ste F2	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	761 E Union Hills Dr 761 E Union Hills Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	751 E Union Hills Dr	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	21043 N Cave Creek Rd Ste A2	open
Double D's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	18613 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Dragon Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	814 E Union Hills Dr C14	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	21250 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Federico's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	20350 N Cave Creek Rd #140	open
Gallaghers Sports Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		751 E Union Hills Dr	open
Gus's Ny Pizza & Bar Np	Bar		19401 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Hanover Roasting Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	18660 N Cave Creek Rd Apt 357	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		18441 N 7th St	open
Jak Brothers Food Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		814 E Union Hills Dr Ste C6	open
Jbdm Trust Llc Dba Yolk Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20811 N Cave Creek Rd Ste 101	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	20235 N Cave Creek Rd Ste. 109	open
Johnny Dog	Food truck · Catering	American	998 E Wescott Dr	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	21015 Cave Creek Rd	open
Larray's Loaded Mac	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21043 N Cave Creek Rd Ste A6	open
Larry's Cocktails	Bar		20027 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	822 E Union Hills Dr	open
Market Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		539 E Rockwood Dr	open
Maskadores Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	20235 N Cave Creek Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	20210 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Mi Pueblo Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	710 E Union Hills Dr Ste 16a	open
MidEast Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	814 E Union Hills Dr	open
Misha's Kosher Food Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	814 E Union Hills Dr C4	open
My Goodness Cakes	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	21043 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Nami Korean Kitchen & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	19401 N Cave Creek Rd Ste Suite 15-17	open
Native New Yorker	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	20235 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Native New Yorker	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	23010 N 20th Way	open
O2 Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	21043 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	2340 E Union Hills Dr	open
Quiznos Quiznos	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	21043 N Cave Creek Rd Ste A2	open
Restaurantowner.com	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20235 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Rochelli's Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21043 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Rose Garden Plaza Quiznos	Quick service	Sandwiches	21043 N Cave Creek Rd Ste A2	open
Rustic Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	20811 N Cave Creek Rd #104	open
Salad and Go Salad and Go	Quick service · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	21060 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Slate, a Cafe Cahlamer Experience	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	2725 E Mine Creek Rd	open
Southern Delights Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21043 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Sscs Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20235 N Cave Creek Rd Ste 111	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	810 E Union Hills Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2350 E Deer Valley Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	19401 N Cave Creek Rd, Ste 1, Cave Creek Plaza	open
Sunshine Breakfast Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	20811 N Cave Creek Rd	open
Swig Swig	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	20300 N Cave Creek Rd	open
The Burg Sports Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	751 E Union Hills Dr	open
The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf	Coffee shop	Coffee	20235 N Cave Creek Rd	open
The Lift - A Smoothie Bar & Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	802 E Union Hills Dr	open
Times Square Neighborhood Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	718 E Union Hills Dr	open
Upper Crust Pizza Patio & Wine Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	20235 N Cave Creek Rd #111	open
Viet Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	20235 N Cave Creek Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	15	12	2	9	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	16	13	4	8	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	16	13	4	8	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	3	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	16	13	6	7	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	13	9	4	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	17	13	6	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	12	8	3	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	21	16	7	8	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	18	15	5	9	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	17	14	2	11	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	15	12	1	9	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	17	13	2	9	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	20	16	7	8	1	4	NAICS2007
2012	20	18	7	10	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	20	17	3	12	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	25	21	5	14	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	31	27	7	15	5	3	NAICS2012
2016	30	26	5	16	5	3	NAICS2012
2017	26	24	5	16	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	27	7	16	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	32	28	8	15	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	33	27	8	14	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	34	27	7	17	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	34	30	7	19	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	34	29	3	20	6	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85024. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
85050	2.6 mi	45	2023
85027	3.4 mi	85	2023
85022	4.3 mi	79	2023
85023	4.7 mi	44	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.