BMIE Market 85023
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 35,034 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,557 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 14,243 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±852 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 31,274 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 13,690 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $77,369 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,175 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,577 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±79 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $391,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,735 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85023 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 17.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -13.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -6.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -32.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -42.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 48 (range 43–54) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 16 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85023. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 78.6 | 79 | 40% | +31.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 52.6 | 53 | 35% | +18.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 16.1 | 16 | 25% | +4.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 35,034 | 92 | 40% | +36.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 77,369 | 59 | 40% | +23.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 14,243 | 92 | 20% | +18.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.4 | 20 | 35% | +7.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.6 | 62 | 25% | +15.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 35,034 | 92 | 20% | +18.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 77,369 | 59 | 20% | +11.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 16 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -13.7 | 16 | 50% | +8.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.4 | 20 | 30% | +6.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -32.3 | 10 | 20% | +1.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (99)
By cuisine
American 18 · Mexican 14 · Coffee 11 · Sandwiches 8 · Bakery 7 · Burgers 6 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 6 · Chicken / wings 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · BBQ 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 59 · Quick service 22 · Café 10 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 7 · Bar 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A1 INDUSTRIES INC | Café | 18444 N 25TH Ave Ste 420 | open | |
| Alexi's Family Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 18450 N 19th Ave | open |
| Alpaugh Enterprises Llcdba Cybermark Int | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 18456 N 25th Ave | open | |
| Amelio's Pizza and More | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Pizza · American | 1726 W Bell Rd | open |
| Amigos Takos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2510 W Thunderbird Rd ste 9 | open |
| Atami Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 13849 N 19th Ave | open | |
| AZ Metro Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 18444 N 25th Ave | open |
| B7 Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 605 W. Bell Road | open |
| Barro's Pizza Barro's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2510 W Thunderbird Rd #6 | open |
| Bill Johnson's Big Apple Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 16810 N 19th Ave | open |
| Black Bear Diner | Casual dining | American | 2410 W Bell Rd | open |
| Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 320 W Bell Rd | open |
| Blimpie | Other | Sandwiches | 1901 W Bell Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1615 W. Bell Rd | open |
| Burger Mania | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 2302 W Bell Rd | open |
| Candy Cane Lane | Dessert | 820 W Moon Valley Dr | open | |
| Caramba Mexican Food Caramba Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2340 W Bell Rd | open |
| Caroun Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 18425 N 19th Ave #118 | open |
| Cave Creek Cafe | Café | Coffee | 15202 N 19th Ave | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 1825 W Bell Rd | open |
| Chino Bandido | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 310 W Bell Rd | open |
| Chino Bandido Development, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15414 N 19th Ave Ste K | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2450 W Bell Rd Ste 5 | open |
| Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 605 W. Bell Road | open |
| El Siner Tacos & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2510 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Emilio's Tacos & Hotdogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) · Hot dogs | 13803 N 19th Ave | open |
| Falafel King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Middle Eastern | 1930 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Filiberto's Mexican Food Filibertos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 17224 N 19th Ave | open |
| Finishline Sports Bar | Bar | 1724 W Bell Rd | open | |
| Food Dish Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1744 W Bell Rd | open | |
| Forks & Boards | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · American | 1818 W Bell Rd Ste 116 | open |
| Full Circle Warrior Arts | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2401 W Saint Moritz Ln | open | |
| Good Fellas Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Greek | 15414 N 19th Ave | open |
| Goodcents Goodcents | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 18413 N 19th Ave | open |
| Hong Kong Chinese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1920 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| Hostess Bakery Outlet | Bakery | Bakery | 18453 N 7th Ave | open |
| IHOP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 1920 W Bell Rd | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 1802 W Bell Rd | open | |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 1935 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| Jnt Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 18450 N 19th Ave | open | |
| Johnha, Llc Dba Banh Mi Bistro Vietnamese Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2340 W Bell Rd Ste 110 | open | |
| Jokers Ice Cream and Italian Ice | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 18400 N 19th Ave | open |
| Julioberto’s | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1832 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| Karinas Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1618 W Bell Rd | open | |
| King Donuts AZ | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 17238 N 19th Ave | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 18403 North 19th Avenue | open | |
| La salsita | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1920 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Lamar's Donuts And Coffee | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 2340 W Bell Rd Ste 138 | open |
| Long John Silver's Long John Silver's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1906 W Bell Rd | open |
| Louie's Cantina | Bar · Casual dining | Mexican | N 19th Dr | open |
| Lucky Donuts & Boba | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Dessert · Tea / bubble tea · Bakery | 2510 W Thunderbird Rd #1 | open |
| Lucky's Burgers & Shakes | Quick service | Burgers · American | 13849 N 19th Ave | open |
| Lulaá oaxacan street food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 13803 N 19th Ave | open |
| Macayo's Mexican Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1909 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Manuel's Mexican Restaurant & Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1111 W Bell Rd #1 | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 330 W Bell Rd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1851 W Bell Rd | open |
| Mi Yaquesita Hot Dogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 1612 W Bell Rd | open |
| NakedQ BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 2340 W Bell Rd | open |
| New Super China Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 601 W Bell Rd | open | |
| Ono Hawaiian BBQ Ono Hawaiian BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Hawaiian / Pacific | 660 W Bell Rd | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2340 W Bell Rd | open |
| Peace Cream | Dessert · Café | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 15414 N 19th Ave | open |
| Pho VN | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 1930 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Qdoba Mexican Eats | Quick service | 320 W Bell Rd Ste 102 | open | |
| Rally's Checkers and Rally's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 617 W Bell Rd | open |
| Ramiro's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1618 W Bell Rd | open |
| Room 13 | Casual dining · Bar | 405 W Fellars Dr | open | |
| Sammiches | Casual dining | 15414 N 19th Ave | open | |
| Samurai Sam's Samurai Sam's Teriyaki Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian | 550 W Bell Rd | open |
| Schlotzsky's | Other | Sandwiches | 1520 W Bell Rd | open |
| Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 1526 W Bell Rd | open |
| Shenanigan's Bar & Grill | Bar | 2244 W Bell Rd | open | |
| Sluggers Hot Dogs & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 35 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| Sonic Drive-in, Phoenix, Az, 19th Ave. #2, L.l.c | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 17238 N 19th Ave | open | |
| Stan's European Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · European | 1712 W Bell Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 13801 N 19th Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 2450 W Bell Rd | open |
| Steel Horse Saloon | Bar | 1818 W Bell Rd | open | |
| Streets of New York | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1930 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 13853 N 19th Ave Suite A | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1855 W Greenway Rd | open |
| Sugar and Lace Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 15414 N 19th Ave | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 419 W Bell Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Mexican | 2660 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| The Buffalo Spot The Buffalo Spot | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 320 W Bell Rd | open |
| The R3d Door | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | American · Bakery | 15414 N 19th Ave Suite O | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches | 320 Bell Rd Ste #101 | open |
| Urban Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 18425 N 19th Ave | open |
| Valley Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 15414 N 19th Ave | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 2516 W Bell Rd | open |
| Waldo's BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 13803 N 19th Ave | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1825 W Bell Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2640 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Wing Junkeez | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 1732 W Bell Rd | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1838 W. Bell Rd Suite #101 | open |
| Yi's Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1512 W Bell Rd Ste 7 | open |
| Kamana'wana Hawaiian Treats, Llc | Dessert | Dessert | 13825 N 19th Ave | closed |
| Panda King Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1512 W Bell Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 84 | 76 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 82 | 76 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 99 | 91 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 107 | 100 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 75 | 66 | 20 | 41 | 4 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 73 | 65 | 21 | 39 | 4 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 70 | 62 | 21 | 37 | 3 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 71 | 62 | 20 | 40 | 1 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 72 | 63 | 19 | 42 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 72 | 65 | 19 | 42 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 75 | 69 | 20 | 46 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 72 | 67 | 18 | 46 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 60 | 54 | 14 | 38 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 62 | 56 | 15 | 38 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 61 | 55 | 16 | 36 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 63 | 57 | 18 | 36 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 61 | 56 | 18 | 35 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 58 | 54 | 22 | 31 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 56 | 51 | 16 | 33 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 51 | 47 | 12 | 33 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 47 | 44 | 13 | 29 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 51 | 49 | 13 | 32 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 51 | 50 | 12 | 34 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 50 | 50 | 9 | 39 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 54 | 51 | 9 | 40 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 57 | 53 | 9 | 41 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 52 | 48 | 6 | 39 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 52 | 48 | 7 | 38 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 54 | 49 | 6 | 38 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 35 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |