BMIE Market 85029

Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	49,683 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,523 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	18,938 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	43,233 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	18,508 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$64,556 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,313 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,455 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±69 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$345,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,563 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	54 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85029
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+31.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-23.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	67 (range 56–78) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	40 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85029. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.3	73	40%	+29.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.4	69	35%	+24.3
Market Momentum Score	40.3	40	25%	+10.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	49,683	97	40%	+38.7
Median household income (ACS)	64,556	38	40%	+15.2
Households (ACS)	18,938	97	20%	+19.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	31.7	72	35%	+25.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.9	69	25%	+17.2
Population (ACS)	49,683	97	20%	+19.4
Median household income (ACS)	64,556	38	20%	+7.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.9	21	50%	+10.6
10-year restaurant growth	31.7	72	30%	+21.6
20-year restaurant growth	12.5	41	20%	+8.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (123)

By cuisine

American 22 · Mexican 20 · Sandwiches 12 · Burgers 11 · Asian 8 · Bakery 7 · Chicken / wings 7 · Pizza 7 · Chinese 6 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Seafood 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Italian 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Japanese 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Cuban 1 · Filipino 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 78 · Quick service 32 · Bakery 9 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 7 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3 · Catering 2 · Fast casual 2 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All Seasons Preschool	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12622 N 28th Dr	open
Anzio's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	12418 N 28th Dr #1	open
Arizona School Of Locksmith Training - Phoenix	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10723 N 19th Ave	open
Ashleigh's Cafe	Café	Coffee	11225 N 28th Dr Ste A110	open
Blimpie Subs & Sandwiches	Other	Sandwiches	12419 N 28th Dr	open
Bucca De Beppo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza		open
Bull Shooters	Bar · Casual dining		3337 W Peoria Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2755 W. Peoria Avenue	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	13635 North 35th Avenue	open
Buzz Beans	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee		open
C&c Auto License	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12450 N 35th Ave Ste 15	open
Café Zupas Café Zupas	Quick service		3225 West Peoria Avenue	open
Captain Bill's Submarine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	10645 N 35th Ave A	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3111 W Peoria Ave	open
China Harvest Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	12407 N 28th Dr	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3039 W Peoria Ave Ste C105	open
Chronic Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3121 W Peoria Ave Ste 104	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	12040 N. 35th Avenue	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1840 W. Peoria Avenue	open
Cloud Nine Restaurant Ruins-Phoenix North Mountain Preserve	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	11399 N 15th Ave	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2815 W Peoria Ave, Ste 104	open
Country Boys Restaurant Country Boys Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3508 W Cactus Rd	open
Country Rose, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2425 W Desert Cove Ave	open
Cuban Foods Bakery & Restaurant	Bakery	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Bakery	10649 N 43rd Ave	open
Cube Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	11725 N 19th Ave	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	12456 N 28th Dr 12456 N 28th Dr	open
Delicias Latinas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	10641 N 16th Ave	open
Desert Canyon Claims Svc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2421 W Peoria Ave	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit Dickey's Barbecue Pit National	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2815 W Peoria Ave Ste 101	open
Downside Up	Bar		12820 N 19th Ave	open
Dynamic Counseling And Coaching Solutions	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13201 N 35th Ave	open
Eden's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	12450 N 35th Ave Ste 95	open
eegee's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3510 W Peoria Ave	open
El Indio	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2001 W Peoria Ave	open
El patrón mariscos AZ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican	10832 N 42nd Ave	open
Filiberto's Mexican Food Filibertos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4212 W Cactus Rd	open
Fishermans Choice Pro Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13615 N 35th Ave Ste 10	open
Garcia's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3301 W Peoria Ave	open
George's Lunchbox	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2432 W Peoria Ave	open
Georgio's Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4212 W Cactus Rd #1107	open
Hsa Llc Dba H&amp S Automotive	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2259 W Shangri La Rd Ste 3a	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	2770 W. Peoria Ave.	open
Islands Fine Burgers & Drinks Restaurant	Quick service	American · Burgers	2770 W Peoria Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		10621 N 43rd Ave	open
Jenny & Mom’s cakes & pastries	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	35 Avenida Y Cactus	open
Jenny cake's	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Filipino	3121 W Cactus Rd	open
Jessica's Place	Bakery · Catering	Bakery	2194 W Sharon Ave	open
Julioberto's Mexican Food	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Mexican	2855 W Cactus Rd	open
Kalra Management Services Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12456 N 28th Dr	open
Kingberto's Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Mexican · Coffee	4204 W Cactus Rd	open
Kingbertos Mexican Food Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4212 W Cactus Rd Ste 1112	open
La Parrilla Suiza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3508 W Peoria Ave	open
Lakeside Hideout Cafe	Café	Coffee	11225 N 28th Dr	open
Lenny's Burger Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	13616 N 35th Ave	open
Let's Do Lunch	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	2320 W Peoria Ave	open
Little Asia Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	4212 W Cactus Rd	open
Little J A Caribbean Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	11725 N 19th Ave Ste 12	open
Los Arbolitos De Cajeme	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	3508 W Peoria Ave	open
Mariscos El Flako	Food truck	Seafood	2020 W Cactus Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3455 W Peoria Ave	open
Menchie's	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3121 W Peoria Ave	open
Metro Crumbl Cookies	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	2827 W Peoria Ave, Phoenix, Arizona 85029	open
Metro-center Whataburger	Quick service		3301 West Peoria Avenue	open
Ming's Pagoda Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	12019 N 19th Ave	open
Mkl Black Canyon Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11025 N Black Canyon Hwy	open
MOD Pizza MOD Pizza	Quick service · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	3121 W Peoria Ave #101	open
Mr. Wong	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	10627 N 19th Ave	open
New Hope For Living Inc	Bakery	Bakery	2432 W Peoria Ave	open
Octane Design, Llc Dba Copper S.t	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11225 N 28th Dr Ste D209	open
Oliver's Fried Bread	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3220 W ALTADENA AVENU	open
Our Place	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		12820 N 19th Ave	open
Panda Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	3448 W Peoria Ave	open
Pappadeaux Seafood Kitchen Pappadeaux Seafood Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	11051 N Black Cyn Hwy	open
Pappy's Sports Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		11801 N 19th Ave	open
Peoria - Ave Potbelly	Quick service	Sandwiches	3121 W Peoria Avenue	open
PIZZA DIVINO	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	3550 W Cactus Rd	open
Pizza Patrón Pizza Patrón	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2815 W Peoria Ave	open
Potbelly Potbelly Sandwich Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	3121 W Peoria Ave	open
Prestige Hookah Lounge	Bar		13601 N 19th Ave	open
Proper Eats Catering & Events	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering · Casual dining	American	12814 N 28th Dr #130	open
Puram Hospitality Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12456 N 28th Dr	open
Que Voz Church Food Sale	Quick service	Mexican · Latin American (other)	North Phoenix Pawn, 10620 N 19th Ave	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	4212 W Cactus Rd Ste 1107	open
Rainbow Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Sandwiches · Bakery	2855 W Cactus Rd	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2715 West Peoria Ave	open
Rinconcito Tapatio Az	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	13241 N 33rd Ave	open
Rocket Burger & Subs	Casual dining	Burgers · Sandwiches · American	12038 N 35th Ave #2	open
Rolando's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	10639 N 35th Ave	open
Rozi Food Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10643 N 43rd Ave	open
Salad and Go Salad and Go	Quick service · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	3337 W Peoria Ave	open
Samurai Sam's Samurai Sam's Teriyaki Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	3039 W Peoria Ave Ste 103	open
Sardella's Pizza & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4212 W Cactus Rd	open
Sardella's Pizza & Wings Sardella's Pizza & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4212 W Cactus Rd	open
SEOUL BBQ & SUSHI	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · BBQ · Asian	11025 N Black Cyn Hwy	open
Shangri-la Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2855 W Cactus Rd Ste 6	open
Smashburger Smashburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	3121 W Peoria Ave	open
Sports Fever	Bar		2025 W Peoria Ave	open
Stackers Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2855 W Cactus Rd Unit 24	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3135 W Peoria Ave	open
Stine Enterprises, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10851 N Black Canyon Hwy Ste 850	open
Stine Enterprises, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10621 N 43rd Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2815 W Peoria Ave Suite 114	open
Sugar Mama's Cakeshop Llc	Bakery	Bakery	13201 N 35th Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3507 W. Peoria Ave.	open
Taco Chingon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	12838 N 19th Ave	open
Taco Night & Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3121 W Peoria Ave	open
TACOS Javi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	12602 N 28th Dr	open
Tacos Nantli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	11801 N 19th Ave Ste 4	open
Thai Breeze Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	10639 N 19th Ave	open
The Habit Burger Grill The Habit Burger Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	4125 West Thunderbird Rd.	open
The Joint Metro Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3121 W Peoria Ave	open
Tikka N Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	11001 N 19th Ave	open
Tofu King Phoenix 臭豆腐大王	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chinese · American	2855 W Cactus Rd Ste 2	open
Tortillería El Gallo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1926 W Cactus Rd	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bar	Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches	2815 W. Peoria Avenue, Suite #116	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3025 W Peoria Ave	open
Whataburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3301 West Peoria Avenue	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	2815 W Peoria Ave, Ste 118	open
Wingstreet Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	13624 N 35th Ave	open
Yaki Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho	10605 N 43rd Ave	open
Yogis Grill Yogis Grill Teriyaki & Roll	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	3121 W Peoria Ave #105	open
Sinagoga De Restauracion Para Las Naciones	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10618 N 19th Ave	closed
The Human Bean	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11420 N 19th Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	80	71	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	71	67	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	69	63	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	71	65	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	60	53	24	26	2	5	NAICS1997
1999	58	51	23	25	2	5	NAICS1997
2000	60	53	29	22	2	6	NAICS1997
2001	61	55	29	23	1	5	NAICS1997
2002	55	46	21	24	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	57	48	18	26	2	6	NAICS2002
2004	56	48	18	26	2	5	NAICS2002
2005	50	45	17	24	3	3	NAICS2002
2006	51	45	14	27	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	53	45	15	23	4	5	NAICS2002
2008	49	43	13	24	3	4	NAICS2007
2009	43	39	11	23	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	47	41	14	22	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	45	40	14	23	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	43	40	11	27	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	43	41	10	27	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	40	37	10	23	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	45	43	12	27	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	57	54	14	35	4	3	NAICS2012
2017	61	57	15	38	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	61	58	16	38	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	62	59	15	38	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	58	55	14	36	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	59	55	14	37	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	61	56	14	38	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	61	54	10	38	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85029. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
85021	2.5 mi	52	2023
85053	2.7 mi	47	2023
85023	2.8 mi	44	2023
85051	2.9 mi	62	2023
85020	3.7 mi	58	2023
85304	4.0 mi	16	2023
85022	4.1 mi	79	2023
85306	4.2 mi	48	2023
85302	4.4 mi	59	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.