BMIE Market 85306
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 24,911 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,211 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,258 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±465 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 24,191 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,641 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $84,779 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,463 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,730 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $392,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,529 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 48 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85306 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 11.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +41.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +65.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +60.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 54 (range 48–59) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.2 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85306. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 78.0 | 78 | 40% | +31.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67.6 | 68 | 35% | +23.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 71.1 | 71 | 25% | +17.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 24,911 | 85 | 40% | +34.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 84,779 | 68 | 40% | +27.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,258 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 41.2 | 78 | 35% | +27.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 19.3 | 39 | 25% | +9.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 24,911 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 84,779 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 9.1 | 66 | 50% | +33.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 41.2 | 78 | 30% | +23.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 65.5 | 73 | 20% | +14.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (82)
By cuisine
American 16 · Coffee 12 · Mexican 12 · Burgers 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Pizza 6 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Asian 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Greek 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Italian 3 · Middle Eastern 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Korean 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 43 · Quick service 21 · Café 9 · Bar 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Buffet 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaya's Fresh Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5830 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Angie's Lobster and Prime Grill Angie's Lobster | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 4326 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Arby's Arby's | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 4906 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| bageldaddiesaz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 14021 N 51st Ave | open | |
| Bangkok Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 13828 N 51st Ave | open |
| Barro's Pizza Barro's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 13971 N 59th Ave | open |
| Boba Cucue Bubble Tea Cafe - N. Glendale Boba CuCue Bubble Tea House | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 5930 W Greenway Rd | open |
| Bonitas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4920 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Browers Brownies Brownie Encino | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 5909 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Brushfire Tacos y Tapas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Spanish / tapas | 14240 N 43rd Ave Bldg 300 | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5841 West Th-Bird Road | open |
| Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr. | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5105 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Carolina’s Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5920 W Greenway Rd | open |
| Casa De Falafel Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 4920 W Thunderbird Rd Ste #119 | open |
| Charcoal Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Steakhouse | 5830 W Thunderbird Rd suite b-14 | open |
| Charley's Place | Casual dining · Bar | American | 4324 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches | 5908 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 4701 W Thunderbird Rd Poly-West Campus | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5880 W Thunderbird Rd Ste 1 | open |
| Cjy Enterprise Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4920 W Thunderbird Rd Ste 117 | open | |
| Clean Eatz Clean Eatz | Café | American · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 5870 W Thunderbird Rd Ste A4 | open |
| Copper Door Sports Bar | Bar | 13818 N 51st Ave | open | |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 5930 W Greenway Rd | open |
| Denny's | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · Sandwiches · Coffee · American | 5161 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Desi Bites | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Vegetarian | 15224 N 59th Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 13887 N 59th Ave | open |
| Eat & Go Mediterranean Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Mediterranean · Greek | 4354 W THUNDERBIRD Rd | open |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches | 5894 W Thunderbird Rd Ste A | open |
| Erawan Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15615 N 59th Ave | open | |
| Golden Dragon Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15615 N 59th Ave | open | |
| Golden Rice Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5835 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Goodcents Goodcents | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4920 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Greek Palace Mediterranean | Coffee shop | Greek · Middle Eastern · Coffee | 15612 N 32nd St,suit #6 | open |
| Home | Bar | open | ||
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 5104 W Thunderbird Ave | open | |
| Jalapeños Sonora Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 15224 N 59th Ave | open |
| Jamba Jamba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 4701 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 5890 W Thunderbird Rd Ste. 103 | open |
| Krunch Protein Spot | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 15224 N. 59 Ave. Suite 9 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 16874 N 59th Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4302 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5060 W Cactus Rd | open |
| Moaks Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Caribbean | open | |
| Nothing Bundt Cakes of Glendale | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Dessert · Coffee | 5890 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Ohya Sushi, Korean Kitchen and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Korean · Japanese | 4920 W Thunderbird Rd #117 | open |
| Paesano Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4356 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5830 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Peter Piper Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5843 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Pho Avina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 4920 W Thunderbird Rd Ste 110 | open |
| Pho Saigon Pearl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5843 W Thunderbird Rd Ste 7 | open | |
| Phoenix Phresh | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 5830 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Pita Kabob Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 13971 N 59th Ave | open |
| Pullanos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 13848 N 51st Ave | open |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4701 West Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 5959 West Thunderbird Road | open |
| Ray's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 15603 N 59th Ave | open |
| Rayners Uk Cafe | Café | Coffee | 14021 N 51st Ave Ste 106 | open |
| Sana Management Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5830 W Thunderbird Rd Ste B9 | open | |
| Shaghf Cafe | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Middle Eastern | 4920 W Thunderbird Rd #115 | open |
| Smashburger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5870 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4701 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 5894 W Thunderbird Rd #2 | open |
| Streets of New York | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5843 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5830 W Thunderbird Rd Suite B 2 | open |
| Sushi Plus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 5830 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 4950 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Taco Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 15224 N 59th Ave Ste 1 | open |
| The Nest North Sports Grill | Bar · Casual dining | American | 5843 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| The Taco Spot - Glendale The Taco Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 13971 N 59th Ave #200 | open |
| The V Lounge | Bar | 4340 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| Tony's Cocktail Lounge | Bar | 5930 W Greenway Rd #5 | open | |
| Tortas Cm | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 13971 N 59th Ave | open |
| Verde Dining Pavilion | Buffet | 4781 W University Way N | open | |
| Village Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5959 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 13885 N 59th Ave | open |
| Wienerschnitzel Wienerschnitzel | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 6030 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 5833 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Yang Sweeny Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4920 W Thunderbird Rd Ste 110 | open | |
| Yogurtini Self Serve Yogurtini | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 5870 W Thunderbird Rd Suite A-3 | open |
| Zero One Ice | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 5830 W Thunderbird Rd Ste B-11 | open |
| Barwinkles | Casual dining · Bar | 5930 W Greenway Rd Ste 27 | closed | |
| Los Patos Mexican Food #2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 15224 N 59th Ave Ste 1 # Suit | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 33 | 30 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 35 | 33 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 36 | 32 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 34 | 30 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 39 | 30 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 41 | 32 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 39 | 31 | 11 | 17 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 41 | 30 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 40 | 31 | 8 | 19 | 4 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 38 | 29 | 4 | 22 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 36 | 29 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 39 | 32 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 38 | 33 | 7 | 21 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 44 | 31 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 40 | 29 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 38 | 27 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 39 | 28 | 7 | 16 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 19 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 50 | 37 | 8 | 22 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 48 | 34 | 8 | 20 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 46 | 33 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 25 | 6 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 54 | 42 | 10 | 27 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 55 | 44 | 12 | 26 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 26 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 49 | 41 | 11 | 25 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 48 | 41 | 10 | 26 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 54 | 47 | 11 | 30 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 55 | 48 | 9 | 32 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2022 |