BMIE Market 85381
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 27,650 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,752 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,551 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±558 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 24,249 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,231 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $96,746 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,837 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,762 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $447,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,090 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 48 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85381 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +26.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +182.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 49 (range 44–55) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85381. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.7 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68.3 | 68 | 35% | +23.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 77.4 | 77 | 25% | +19.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 27,650 | 87 | 40% | +34.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 96,746 | 79 | 40% | +31.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,551 | 87 | 20% | +17.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 26.3 | 69 | 35% | +24.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.4 | 45 | 25% | +11.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 27,650 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 96,746 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 20 | 77 | 50% | +38.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 26.3 | 69 | 30% | +20.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 182.4 | 91 | 20% | +18.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (103)
By cuisine
American 15 · Asian 14 · Coffee 14 · Pizza 11 · Mexican 9 · Dessert 7 · Chicken / wings 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Chinese 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Bakery 4 · Japanese 4 · Sushi 4 · Vietnamese 4 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · BBQ 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Greek 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 61 · Quick service 21 · Café 12 · Dessert 10 · Coffee shop 8 · Bakery 7 · Bar 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Casual dining 4 · Food truck 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angry Crab Shack Angry Crab Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Asian | 7608 W Cactus Rd | open |
| ATL Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 13875 N 83rd Ave Ste 105 | open |
| Back East Pizza & Subs | Food truck | 6710 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| Ballpark Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 7615 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Ballpark Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | open | |
| Barro's Pizza Barro's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8390 W Cactus Rd | open |
| Bee Happy Boba Tea & Pho | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Vietnamese · Asian | 7558 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Big J's Fried Fish | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | American | NW Corner of 67th Ave. and Thunderbird | open |
| BIGGIES Cookies & Cream | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery | 8411 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Bikini Beans Coffee Bikini Beans Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 12315 N 75th Ave | open |
| Biscuits Cafe Biscuits Cafe Inc | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 8877 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Boba Tea Heaven | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea | Bakery · Tea / bubble tea · Chinese | 7575 W Cactus Rd | open |
| Bomboba | Café | Coffee | 7521 W Cactus Rd | open |
| BoSa Donuts BoSa Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee | 7446 W Cactus Rd | open |
| Breakfast Burritos | Juice, smoothie, tea | Mexican · Juice / smoothies | 6710 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Brushfire Tacos Y Tapas | Bar | Spanish / tapas · Mexican | 8395 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8425 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Carvers Steaks & Chops | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8258 W Thunderbird Rd Ste 206 | open | |
| China Grill China Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 7518 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 7410 W. Cactus Road | open |
| Crispy Crust Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7558 W Thunderbird Rd #6 | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8271 W. Ludlow Drive | open |
| D & V Moore Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8360 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| Daily Donut | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee | 9133 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Dillon's KC BBQ Thunderbird | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 8706 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 7440 W Cactus Rd # A 2 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 8386 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 8387 W. Thunderbird Rd. | open |
| El Gordo Mexican Grill El Gordo Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 6730 W Cactus Rd | open |
| Everbowl Everbowl | Juice, smoothie, tea | Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies | 8402 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Filiberto's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 13972 N 83rd Ave | open |
| Fratellos Cafe and Catering | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 13560 N 94th Dr | open |
| Funugyz Sports Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8378 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| Fuzzy’s Sports Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Sandwiches | 8378 W Thunderbird Rd Ste 101 | open |
| Galley of the Sun | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 8380 W Emile Zola Ave | open | |
| Garlic Jims | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7557 W Greenway Rd Ste 102 | open |
| Gyros Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · American | 8378 W Thunderbird Rd # 106 | open |
| Haymaker Thunderbird Haymaker | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 8706 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| hope kee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 7575 W Cactus Rd | open |
| Hungry Howie's Pizza Hungry Howie's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8345 W. Thunderbird #110 | open |
| IBake by shell | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 7142 W Redfield Rd | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 7425 W Cactus Rd | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service | 8378 W Thunderbird Rd Ste B-105 | open | |
| Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7518 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 13875 N 83rd Ave Ste. 100 | open |
| Jin Sushi & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 8345 W Thunderbird Rd #111 | open |
| JnT's Pub | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 13021 N 75th Dr | open | |
| Julioberto's Mexican Food | Quick service | 7446 W Cactus Rd | open | |
| Kabuki Sushi & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 8378 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Chicken / wings | 7541 W Thunderbird Road | open |
| Le Rhone Supper Club | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9401 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| Lee's Sandwiches Lee's Sandwiches | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 13686 N 75th Ave | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7521 W Cactus Rd SUITE 103 | open |
| Long Wong's Hot Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 8345 W Thunderbird Rd Ste B-105 | open |
| Luana's Coffee Yar | Coffee shop · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 7137 W Surrey Ave | open |
| Mariscos el molcajete | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other) | 7420 W Cactus Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8452 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Meatballz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7557 W Greenway Rd | open | |
| Mochinut Peoria | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 7549 W Cactus Rd #109 | open |
| My Office Space | Café | Coffee | 14050 N 83rd Ave | open |
| Nagoya Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7557 W Greenway Rd | open |
| New Chen Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 7445 W Cactus Rd | open |
| Original #1 Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7440 W Cactus Rd Ste A15 | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 7521 W. Cactus Road Space 104 | open |
| Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7465 West Cactus Road STE 101 | open |
| PeiWei Asian Dinner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | open | |
| Peoria , AZ (83rd) Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 13929 N 83rd Ave | open |
| Pho Tan Thanh | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 7575 W Cactus Rd | open |
| Pho-licious | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Vietnamese · Asian · American | 7582 W Cactus Rd B5 | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 8327 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Rapha Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 8411 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Restaurant Time Arizona | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15212 N 90th Ave | open | |
| Rex Pizza Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7465 W Cactus Rd Ste 101 | open | |
| Salad And Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8220 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| Salad World | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 8390 W Cactus Rd Ste 109 | open |
| Sluggers Hot Dogs & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7473 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| Snovets Shaved Ice | Dessert · Food truck | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 8521 W Port Au Prince Ln | open |
| Someburros | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8200 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 13916 N. 67Th Ave. | open |
| Star Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7420 W Cactus Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 8160 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7549 W Cactus Road Suite 113 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 8345 W Thunderbird Rd Suite B-113 | open |
| Sushi Yuki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 8345 W Thunderbird Rd #111 | open |
| Swig Swig | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 8320 W Cactus Rd | open |
| Taco Flav Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6730 W Cactus Rd | open |
| Tacos Calafia Tacos Calafia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 8258 W Thunderbird Rd Unit 206 | open |
| Tacos Tijuana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6710 W Thunderbird Rd | open |
| The Leffah Place | Food truck | 8271 W Thunderbird Rd | open | |
| The Sign Lab, LLC | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 7440 W. Cactus Rd. #A-17 | open |
| Thunderbird & 83rd Ave Salad and Go | Quick service | 8220 W Thunderbird Rd, Peoria, AZ 85381 | open | |
| Tim's Football Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 13631 N 70th Dr | open | |
| Twist Hot Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 8386 W Thunderbird Rd Ste 103 | open |
| Twisted Cultures | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 83rd AVE AND THUNDERBIRD | open |
| Union Coffee Co | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 6750 W Thunderbird Rd b109 | open |
| Water and Ice | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 8390 W Cactus Rd #5206 | open |
| Water'n Ice | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7435 W Cactus Rd | open |
| Westside Les's Too | Bar | 1618 W. Olive | open | |
| Wing Hing | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 7420 W Cactus Rd #B16 | open |
| Đồng Quê | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 7420 W Cactus Rd B 9 | open |
| Fomo Mountain Ltd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8345 W Thunderbird Rd Ste B-105 | closed |
| Fox Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6730 W Cactus Rd | closed |
| Heidi's Brooklyn Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 8360 W Thunderbird Rd # C105 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 7 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 31 | 27 | 10 | 16 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 29 | 27 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 40 | 38 | 12 | 24 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 42 | 41 | 12 | 27 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 37 | 36 | 11 | 23 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 32 | 31 | 9 | 20 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 37 | 36 | 10 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 38 | 35 | 9 | 23 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 41 | 38 | 10 | 23 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 33 | 9 | 20 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 41 | 38 | 11 | 23 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 47 | 43 | 16 | 23 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 43 | 40 | 15 | 20 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 40 | 14 | 20 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 45 | 42 | 13 | 22 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 44 | 40 | 13 | 21 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 43 | 40 | 12 | 22 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 48 | 46 | 13 | 25 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 51 | 48 | 12 | 29 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |