BMIE Market 85249
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 48,746 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,951 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 17,057 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±588 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 36,908 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 13,667 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $153,633 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,972 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,392 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±114 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $660,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,982 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 14.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 50 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85249 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +22.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +525.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +2,400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 46 (range 39–53) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 96 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85249. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 96.4 | 96 | 40% | +38.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 75.7 | 76 | 35% | +26.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 75.6 | 76 | 25% | +18.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 96 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 48,746 | 97 | 40% | +38.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 153,633 | 97 | 40% | +38.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 17,057 | 96 | 20% | +19.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 11.1 | 55 | 35% | +19.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.3 | 71 | 25% | +17.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 48,746 | 97 | 20% | +19.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 153,633 | 97 | 20% | +19.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 22.0 | 79 | 50% | +39.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 11.1 | 55 | 30% | +16.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 525 | 99 | 20% | +19.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (77)
By cuisine
Coffee 14 · Pizza 10 · Mexican 8 · American 7 · Asian 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Chinese 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Latin American (other) 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Quick service 22 · Coffee shop 11 · Café 10 · Bar 9 · Dessert 9 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Delivery-focused 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen's Home Cooking Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2975 E Ocotillo Rd Ste 12 | open | |
| Arizona Ave & Chandler Heights Salad and Go | Quick service | 4965 S Arizona Ave, Chandler, AZ 85248 | open | |
| Barro's Pizza Barro's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 950 E Riggs Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2865 E Ocotillo Rd | open |
| Cafe Rio Cafe Rio Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 4095 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Cafe Rio Ocotillo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4095 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Chen's Chinese Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 990 E Riggs Rd | open |
| Cork & Craft | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4920 S Gilbert Rd | open | |
| Creole Cajun Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5070 S Gilbert Rd Ste 400 | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4021 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 4085 South Gilbert Road Suite 7 | open |
| DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill | Quick service | 4021 S Gilbert Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 4225 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 990 E Riggs Rd | open |
| Fat Willy's Chandler | Bar | 4850 S Gilbert Rd Ste 4 | open | |
| Grill 61 | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1200 E St Andrews Blvd | open |
| Grubstak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4165 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| High Tide Chandler | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 5045 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Hong Kong Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 4990 S Gilbert Rd Ste 8 | open |
| Horizon Room | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6250 S Sunbird Blvd | open |
| In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2910 E. Germann Rd. | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 955 E Riggs Rd | open | |
| Java Original Coffee | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 4960 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5045 South Gilbert Rd. Suite B-100 | open |
| K-Cakes Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4202 E Coconino Pl | open | |
| Koibito Poke - The Plant Shopping Center | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls | 4041 S Gilbert Rd Ste 1 | open |
| Kwality Ice Cream Kwality Foods | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4990 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| La Casa Blanca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 24605 S McQueen Rd | open |
| Little Caesar's Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 985 E Riggs Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2975 E Ocotillo Rd | open |
| Los Favoritos Taco Shop Los Favoritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4850 S Gilbert Rd #8 | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2750 E Germann Rd | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3020 East Riggs Road | open | |
| Modern Margarita | Bar | Mexican | 4165 S Gilbert Rd #5 | open |
| My House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2975 E Ocotillo Rd Suite 12 | open |
| Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 4041 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 975 E. Riggs Rd Space 1 | open |
| Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1075 E Riggs Rd | open |
| Performance Management Consulting Services Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4960 S Gilbert Rd | open | |
| Pita Jungle Pita Jungle | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mediterranean · American | 5025 S Gilbert Rd Ste 8 | open |
| Pizza Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 950 E Riggs Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 4970 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches | 4170 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Rapha - Boba Tea & Rolled ice cream house | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 5025 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Red White & Brew Chandler | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4850 S Gilbert Rd | open | |
| Rush Street Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2925 E Riggs Rd Ste 7 | open |
| Someburros Someburros | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5095 S Gilbert Rd Ste 1 | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 4940 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 4940 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4095 S. Gilbert Road, Suite 1 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 40 E Riggs Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | Gilbert & Ocotillo | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 985 E Riggs Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2935 E Riggs Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2975 E Ocotillo Road Suite 7 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 2945 E Riggs Rd Ste 13 | open |
| Subway Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 975 E Riggs Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 4080 S Gilbert Rd. | open |
| Taco Del Mar | Quick service | 4850 S Gilbert Rd Ste 8 | open | |
| Teriyaki Madness | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 4225 S Gilbert Rd Ste 1 | open |
| The Aguilar Smokeyard Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | open | ||
| The Cove Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5070 S Gilbert Rd Ste 400 | open | |
| The Grille at Lone Tree Golf Club | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 6262 S Mountain Blvd | open | |
| The Honey Baked Ham Company The Honey Baked Ham Company | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering | Sandwiches | 2975 E Ocotillo Rd #3 | open |
| The Paleta Bar Chandler The Paleta Bar | Dessert | Dessert · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4990 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| The Parlay Kitchen + Cocktails The Parlay Kitchen + Cocktails | Casual dining · Bar | American | 4850 S Gilbert Rd #4 | open |
| Top One Hot Pot & Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4990 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Toscany's Coal Oven Pizza | Bar | Pizza · Italian | 4960 S Gilbert Rd B10 | open |
| Tryst Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Coffee | 4205 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Vero Chicago Pizza Vero Chicago Pizza - North Chandler | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5070 S Gilbert Rd #400 | open |
| Water and Ice | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 2945 E Riggs Rd | open |
| Zen Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2945 E Riggs Rd Ste 16 | open |
| Zoyo Neighborhood Yogurt Walmart | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4165 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Яicon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6871 S Justin Way | open | |
| The Wild Vine Uncorked | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4920 S Gilbert Rd Ste 3 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 25 | 24 | 10 | 14 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 23 | 21 | 12 | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 38 | 36 | 16 | 15 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 36 | 34 | 14 | 16 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 38 | 37 | 16 | 17 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 35 | 35 | 15 | 17 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 38 | 37 | 14 | 17 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 40 | 39 | 14 | 18 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 48 | 45 | 15 | 22 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 45 | 42 | 15 | 21 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 42 | 39 | 12 | 22 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 45 | 41 | 12 | 21 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 47 | 45 | 14 | 22 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 41 | 14 | 21 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 40 | 40 | 15 | 20 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 42 | 40 | 16 | 18 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 46 | 40 | 15 | 19 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 48 | 44 | 17 | 20 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 53 | 50 | 20 | 22 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |