BMIE Market 85250
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,394 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,363 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,307 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±620 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 15,906 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,669 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $95,761 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 49.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,898 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±112 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $583,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51,902 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85250 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 20.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -9.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -5.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +11.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +58.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 37 (range 32–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85250. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 78.4 | 78 | 40% | +31.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 45.2 | 45 | 35% | +15.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 23.9 | 24 | 25% | +6.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,394 | 77 | 40% | +30.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 95,761 | 78 | 40% | +31.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,307 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -5 | 21 | 35% | +7.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 24.7 | 27 | 25% | +6.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,394 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 95,761 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -9.5 | 19 | 50% | +9.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -5 | 21 | 30% | +6.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 11.8 | 40 | 20% | +8.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (90)
By cuisine
American 16 · Coffee 12 · Pizza 11 · Sandwiches 8 · Asian 7 · Mexican 6 · Dessert 5 · Italian 5 · Japanese 5 · Sushi 5 · Burgers 4 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 3 · Steakhouse 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Vegan 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 54 · Quick service 15 · Bar 14 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Specialty food shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4th Floor Grille & Sports Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5001 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| 5 & Diner | Casual dining | American | 9069 E Indian Bend Rd | open |
| Angry Crab Shack Angry Crab Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 8909 E Talking Stick Wy | open |
| Applied Cleaning Technologies, Inc | Brewery / taproom | 5815 N 82nd St | open | |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9049 E Indian Bend Rd | open |
| Arizona BBQ Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 8471 E McDonald Dr | open |
| Babbo Italian Eatery Babbo Italian Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 8840 E Talking Stick Wy | open |
| Barro's Pizza Barro's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8940 E Indian Bend Rd | open |
| Bink's Scottsdale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6107 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Blazin' Mongolian BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · BBQ | 9120 E Talking Stick Wy E-8 | open |
| Blimpie Blimpie America's Sub Shop | Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 9120 E Talking Stick Wy Ste E5-6 | open |
| Blue Wasabi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 6137 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Born & Bred, Scottsdale | Bar | American · Pizza | 6149 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Bottled Blonde Tent 18th Hole WM Phoenix Open | Bar | 16800 N Hayden | open | |
| Bouchon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · French · Latin American (other) · American | 5401 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 8870 East Indian Bend Road Pavilions at Talking Stick North Lakes | open |
| Buzzberry | Café | Coffee | 5959 N Granite Reef Rd | open |
| Calistro California Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6107 N Scottsdale Rd #110 | open | |
| Casella's Italian Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Italian | 5905 N Granite Reef Rd | open |
| Cezar's | Bar | 5101 N Scottsdale Rd | open | |
| Chapparel Banquet Hall | Bar | open | ||
| Charley's Grilled Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9120 E Indian Bend Rd | open | |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8991 East Talking Stick Way | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9010 E Talking Stick Way | open |
| Chopsticks Cravings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | open | |
| Cookies by Design | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 8455 E Mcdonald Dr | open |
| Crust Pizza & Wine Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6989 N Hayden Rd | open |
| Dcg Mccormick Ranch Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6953 N Hayden Rd | open | |
| Desert Island Restaurants, Llc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6263 N Scottsdale Rd Ste 374 | open | |
| Detroit Coney Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 6953 N Hayden Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 6929 N Hayden Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 7908 E Chaparral Rd | open |
| Donatos Pizza Red Robin Gourmet Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American · Burgers | 8990 E Talking Stick Way | open |
| Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 8975 N 90th Street | open |
| Filiberto's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 9150 E Indian Bend Rd | open |
| First Watch First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Breakfast · Coffee | 6149 N. Scottsdale Rd. | open |
| Fleming’s Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar | Bar | Steakhouse · American | 6333 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Forum Cafe | Café | Coffee | 6263 N Scottsdale Rd Ste 155 | open |
| Goldmans Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 6929 Hayden Rd Ste C2 | open |
| Granada Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 5001 N Scottsdale Rd | open | |
| Handel's Homemade Ice Cream Handel's Homemade Ice Cream | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | 6137 North Scottsdale Road, Scottsdale, Arizona 85250 | open |
| Houston's Houston's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Steakhouse | 6113 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Humble Pie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6149 N Scottsdale Rd Ste 101 | open |
| hustons steak house | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 6113 North Scottsdale Road, Scottsdale, Arizona 85250, United States | open |
| It's Just Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 8991 East Talking Stick Way | open |
| Killer Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 6977 N Hayden Rd | open |
| Los Favoritos Taco Shop Los Favoritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 8489 E McDonald Dr | open |
| Mad Greens | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegan | 6137 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Marble Slab Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6941 N Hayden Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 9140 E Talking Stick Way | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · Breakfast | 5998 N Granite Reef Rd | open |
| Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 6137 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Oasis Bar & Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 6333 N Scottsdale Rd 1st Floor | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 9164 E. Talking Stick Way | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7001 N Scottsdale Rd Ste D | open |
| Papi Chulo's Mexican Grill And Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5101 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Pati's Rum Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 8455 E McDonald Dr | open |
| Pick N' Roll | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 9120 East E Talking Stick Wy Ste E-6 | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 9121 East Indian Bend Road | open |
| Ra Sushi Corporate Office | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 6263 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Randy Cole Enterprises Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7904 E Chaparral Rd Ste 101 | open | |
| Randy's Restaurant & Ice Cream | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7904 E Chaparral Rd | open |
| Renegade Coffee Company | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 5959 N Granite Reef Rd | open |
| See's Candies | Dessert | Dessert | 5401 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Shawarma Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 6987 N Hayden Rd | open |
| Sierra Bloom Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 8975 N 90th Street | open |
| Silverado Grill | Bar | 7605 E Indian Bend Rd | open | |
| Slanted Rice Vietnamese Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 6149 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Sourdough & Co. Sourdough & Co. Modesto H Street | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery | Sandwiches · Bakery | 7908 E Chaparral Rd #104 | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 24442 N Scottsdale | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 9051 E Indian Bend Road, Scottsdale Pavilions | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 6137 N. Scottsdale Rd. #B-114 | open |
| Starbucks Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian | 6965 N Hayden Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 7920 E Chaparral Rd | open |
| State_48_Brewery | Bar | 5600 N Hayden Rd | open | |
| Stayshons | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 8823 E Chaparral Rd | open |
| Straight Up | Bar | 5101 N Scottsdale Rd | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6987 N Hayden Rd Suite A-5 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 7908 E Chaparral Rd Ste B-104 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 9059 E Indian Bend Rd | open |
| Tacos y Huaraches El Gordo, Scottsdale Az. El Gordo Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Hot dogs · Pizza | 8418 E McDonald Dr | open |
| Tallyho Cocktail Lounge | Bar | 8479 E McDonald Dr | open | |
| The Peach Cobbler Factory Peach Cobbler Factory Detroit | Dessert | Dessert | 8969 E Talking Stick Wy | open |
| Tran-chu Llc Dba Slanted Rice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6149 N Scottsdale Rd Ste 105 | open | |
| Uncle Sals Italian Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 8402 E Redwing Rd | open |
| Veneto Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 6137 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Wildhorse Grille | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 9998 E Indian Bend Rd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7920 E Chaparral Rd | open |
| Demarco's Italian Ice & Creams | Dessert | Dessert | 6929 N Hayden Rd | closed |
| Taphouse Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6137 N Scottsdale Rd Ste 108 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 27 | 24 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 22 | 19 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 27 | 25 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 27 | 24 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 31 | 28 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 32 | 29 | 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 15 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 30 | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 37 | 30 | 11 | 14 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 41 | 34 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 36 | 31 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 35 | 31 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 39 | 35 | 13 | 15 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 42 | 38 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 41 | 37 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 38 | 35 | 13 | 15 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 38 | 37 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 41 | 40 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 40 | 39 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 40 | 39 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 48 | 45 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 42 | 39 | 20 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 42 | 21 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 43 | 41 | 17 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 43 | 40 | 19 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 45 | 38 | 18 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 40 | 35 | 13 | 17 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 42 | 38 | 14 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |