BMIE Market 85256
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 3,504 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±528 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 1,016 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±157 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 4,974 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 1,854 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $44,844 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,615 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 30.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $564 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $190,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±110,154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 34.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85256 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +200.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 10 (range 4–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 36 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85256. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 35.7 | 36 | 40% | +14.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58.3 | 58 | 35% | +20.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 41.9 | 42 | 25% | +10.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 36 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 3,504 | 55 | 40% | +21.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 44,844 | 10 | 40% | +3.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 1,016 | 50 | 20% | +10.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 200 | 97 | 35% | +34.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.1 | 46 | 25% | +11.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 3,504 | 55 | 20% | +11.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 44,844 | 10 | 20% | +1.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -40 | 7 | 50% | +3.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 200 | 97 | 30% | +29.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 20 | 46 | 20% | +9.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (33)
By cuisine
American 11 · Coffee 7 · Mexican 4 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Breakfast 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 9 · Café 6 · Casual dining 6 · Quick service 4 · Dessert 3 · Buffet 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anita's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mexican | 4302 N Country Club Dr | open |
| Blue Coyote Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9800 E Talking Stick Wy | open |
| CAZ Sports Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 524 N 92nd St | open | |
| Cholla Prime Steakhouse & Lounge | Bar | Steakhouse · American | 524 N 92nd St | open |
| City Market Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 7500 N Dobson Rd | open |
| Coffee Cove | Café | Coffee | 9500 E Via De Ventura Ste A200 | open |
| Denny's | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · Sandwiches · Coffee · American | 9160 E Indian Bend Rd | open |
| Eagles Buffet | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 524 N 92nd St | open | |
| El Encanto | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 9500 E Via de Ventura | open |
| Everything koolaid | Dessert | Dessert | 3131 N Alma School Rd | open |
| Frozen Penguin | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 9500 East Vía de Ventura | open |
| G.M | Bakery | Bakery | 3284 N Country Club Dr | open |
| Johnny Rockets Johnny Rockets | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9500 East Vía de Ventura | open |
| Kingston's BarNGrill | Bar | Steakhouse | open | |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 1601 N Beeline Hwy | open |
| Mark Priebe Investments Llc Dba The Reef Snackbar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9500 E Via De Ventura Bldg G | open | |
| Modern Grove Views | Bar | American · Middle Eastern | 9500 E Via de Ventura | open |
| Nitha’s Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 9641 E Palm Ln | open | |
| Opa Life Greek Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café · Bar | Greek · American · Coffee | 9500 E Via de Ventura | open |
| Orange Sky | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 9800 East E Talking Stick Wy | open |
| Palo Verde Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet · Bar · Café | Seafood · Coffee · Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 9800 E Indian Bend Rd | open |
| Peet's Coffee & Tea | Coffee shop | Coffee | 9800 E Indian Bend Rd | open |
| Polar Play Ice Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9500 E Via De Ventura Ste E104 | open |
| Retro Muse Coffee House at Scottsdale Community College | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 9000 E Chaparral Rd | open |
| Rez Eats | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 10748 E Virginia Ave | open |
| Round House Café | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | open | |
| Sugar Drop Candy Shop | Dessert | Dessert | 9500 East Vía de Ventura E-140 | open |
| Tash | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 9800 E Talking Stick Wy | open |
| The Artichoke Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 9000 E Chaparral Rd | open |
| The Stand | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3996 N Alma School Rd | open |
| The Willows Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 524 N 92nd St | open |
| Udupi Indian Vegetarian & Vegan Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 1636 N Scottsdale Rd | open |
| Lighthouse Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 9500 E Via De Ventura Ste A100 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 15 | 10 | 6 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 15 | 11 | 6 | — | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 13 | 9 | 4 | — | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 10 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 9 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 10 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |