BMIE Market 85259
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,670 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,266 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,540 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±602 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 21,422 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,270 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $137,895 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,021 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 51.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,878 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,011,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±58,122 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 20.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85259 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +25.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +47.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +70.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +277.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 37 (range 32–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.59) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85259. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.59, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.8 | 88 | 40% | +35.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 75.9 | 76 | 35% | +26.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 79.6 | 80 | 25% | +19.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,670 | 83 | 40% | +33.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 137,895 | 95 | 40% | +37.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,540 | 85 | 20% | +16.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 47.8 | 80 | 35% | +27.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 15.7 | 50 | 25% | +12.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,670 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 137,895 | 95 | 20% | +18.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 25.9 | 82 | 50% | +40.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 47.8 | 80 | 30% | +23.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 70 | 75 | 20% | +14.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (43)
By cuisine
Coffee 7 · Pizza 7 · American 6 · Italian 5 · Bakery 4 · Asian 3 · Mexican 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · French 2 · Japanese 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Thai 2 · Chinese 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Quick service 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Café 4 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Bar 2 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL HAMRA (VIA LINDA) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern | 11219 E Via Linda Ste D1 | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 11054 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd | open |
| Bcc Queen Creek Marketplace Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11672 E Shea Blvd | open | |
| Bcc Tempe Marketplace, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11672 E Shea Blvd | open | |
| Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 10683 N 116th St | open |
| Blue Adobe Santa Fe Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 10885 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd | open |
| By The Bucket - Scottsdale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11162 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd Ste E3 | open | |
| Casa Mia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Casual dining | Italian · Pizza · Bakery · American | 11485 N 136th St Ste 107 | open |
| Coeur de Sucre | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 11545 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd | open |
| Cold Beers & Cheeseburgers Cold Beers & Cheeseburgers | Bar · Casual dining | Burgers | 10767 N 116th St | open |
| d'Lite Healthy On The Go | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11307 E Vía Linda | open | |
| Dairy Queen Treat - Orange Julius Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 11219 E Vía Linda | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 11445 E Via Linda | open |
| Du Jour Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · French | 10585 N 114th St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 11218 N Frank Lloyd Wright Bvd | open |
| En Blum Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11236 N 120th Pl | open | |
| Filiberto's Mexican Food Filibertos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 11054 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd | open |
| First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 11162 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd. | open |
| George & Son's Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 11291 E Vía Linda | open |
| Gina's Homemade | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 10953 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd | open |
| Khao Thai and Sushi at Scottsdale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Italian · Sushi · Japanese | 10855 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd | open |
| Lior The Baker | Bakery | Bakery | 10953 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd Ste 105 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 11425 E Via Linda | open |
| Mountainside Office Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10767 N 116th St | open | |
| Osha Thai Cafe | Café | Thai · Coffee · Asian | 10953 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd | open |
| Over Easy Over Easy Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 11162 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 11300 E Via Linda | open |
| Pars Persian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 11144 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 11291 E Via Linda Ste 128 | open |
| Rosati's Pizza Rosati's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 10855 N 116th St | open |
| Spinato's Pizzeria and Family Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 11108 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd # 118 | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 11275 E Via Linda # 1126 | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Bakery · Asian | 11475 E Vía Linda | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 11339 Via Linda E Suite C 3 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 11072 No Frank Lloyd Wright | open |
| Teaspressa | Coffee shop | Coffee | 12621 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd | open |
| Tesoro Ristorante Italiano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 11219 E Via Linda Dr | open |
| Trailhead Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 10700 N 124th St | open |
| Vicinos Local Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 10999 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd | open |
| Viola Bistro, Scottsdale, Arizona | Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Zingara Restaurant Scottsdale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French · Spanish / tapas | 11475 N 136th St | open |
| Zipps Sports Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 14148 N 100th St | open | |
| Dive | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10885 N Frank Lloyd Wright Blvd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 13 | 12 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 11 | 11 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 23 | 20 | 10 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 25 | 25 | 18 | 7 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 27 | 26 | 20 | 6 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 21 | 21 | 12 | 9 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 27 | 12 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 28 | 27 | 12 | 14 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 30 | 28 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 25 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 23 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 25 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 30 | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 31 | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 30 | 29 | 18 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 29 | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 26 | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 32 | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 39 | 37 | 18 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 35 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |