BMIE Market 85297
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 37,475 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,088 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,728 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±598 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 26,979 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,740 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $130,755 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,582 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,302 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±163 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $600,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,589 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 10.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 55 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85297 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +189.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +1,275.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +5,400.0% DERIVED: 2002 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 79 (range 72–86) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +4.0 per year, r² 0.94) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85297. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +4.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.94, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 92.1 | 92 | 40% | +36.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 84.3 | 84 | 35% | +29.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 89.1 | 89 | 25% | +22.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 37,475 | 93 | 40% | +37.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 130,755 | 93 | 40% | +37.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,728 | 89 | 20% | +17.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 189.5 | 96 | 35% | +33.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.7 | 54 | 25% | +13.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 37,475 | 93 | 20% | +18.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 130,755 | 93 | 20% | +18.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 25 | 81 | 50% | +40.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 189.5 | 96 | 30% | +28.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 1,275 | 100 | 20% | +19.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (97)
By cuisine
Coffee 21 · American 16 · Sandwiches 9 · Pizza 8 · Burgers 7 · Asian 5 · Mexican 5 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Japanese 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Bakery 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Italian 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Seafood 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Quick service 30 · Café 17 · Coffee shop 15 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3 · Fast casual 2 · Food truck 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Applebees | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 3843 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Arby's | Quick service | 4710 E Germann Rd | open | |
| Arby's Arby's | Quick service | 4710 E Germann Rd | open | |
| Asian City | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 8490 S Power Rd | open |
| Bahama Buck's Bahama Buck's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3306 S Higley Rd | open |
| Barro's Pizza Barro's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4636 S Higley Rd | open |
| Bella Restaurant Investments | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3321 E Queen Creek Rd Ste 101 | open | |
| Bojangles Bojangles | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3765 S Val Vista Dr | open |
| Cafe Zupas Cafe Zupas | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls | 3877 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr. | Quick service | Burgers · American | 85 E Germann Rd | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3917 S. Gilbert Road | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3785 S Val Vista Dr | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican | 3757 S Gilbert Rd Ste 110 | open |
| Cold Beers & Cheeseburgers Cold Beers & Cheeseburgers | Bar · Casual dining | Burgers | 4604 S Higley Rd | open |
| Coming Soon - Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 4733 E Germann Rd | open | |
| Crave Protein Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls | 143 E Germann Rd #108 | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3610 S Val Vista Dr | open |
| Dagobah Diner, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 75 E Rivulon Blvd | open | |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3303 E Queen Creek Rd Ste A 101 3303 E Queen Creek Rd Ste A 101 | open |
| Denny's | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · Sandwiches · Coffee · American | 3971 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3670 S Val Vista Dr | open |
| E Pecos Rd Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 4580 E Pecos Rd | open |
| E Queen Creek Rd Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3038 E Queen Creek Rd | open |
| Eegee's eegee's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3640 S Val Vista Dr | open |
| El Pollo Loco El Pollo Loco | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4091 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Elbows Mac N' Cheese | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3757 S Gilbert Rd Ste 106 | open |
| Filibertos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3050 E Queen Creek Rd | open |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4764 S Higley Rd | open |
| First Watch First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 3971 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Frenchie Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3765 S Gilbert Rd | open | |
| Geno's Giant Slice- Gilbert | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3317 S Higley Rd | open |
| Gilbert - S. Val Vista Dr. Farmer Boys | Quick service | 3309 Val Vista Dr. | open | |
| Ginger Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3310 S Higley Rd c104 | open |
| Gravity Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 3939 S Val Vista Dr | open |
| Handel's Homemade Ice Cream Handel's Homemade Ice Cream | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | 3984 South Val Vista Drive, Gilbert, Arizona 85297 | open |
| Hapn Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3757 S Gilbert Rd Ste 106 | open | |
| Hooked Seafood Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | open | |
| Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3126 South Higley Road #108 | open |
| Ike's Sandwiches - Gilbert, AZ Ike's Lair | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3765 S Gilbert Rd | open | |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 3270 S Higley Rd | open | |
| Jamba | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 7494 S Power Rd # 104 | open |
| Jeff And Joyce Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3310 S Higley Rd Unit C104 | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 75 E Rivulon Blvd | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 1981 E Pecos Rd Ste. 103 | open |
| Matty G's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3373 E Queen Creek Rd | open |
| Maui Wowi Hawaiian Coffees & Smoothies | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 3778 S Ponderosa Dr | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4740 E Queen Creek Rd | open |
| Menchie's Frozen Yogurt | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3757 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Mugsy Dogs | Quick service | Hot dogs · Burgers | 3160 E Queen Creek Rd #101 | open |
| My Pie Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3765 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Nick The Greek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 3755 S Gilbert Rd Ste 109 | open |
| Osaka Japanese Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 3843 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 3765 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service | 1576 E Melrose St. | open | |
| Petersen's Ice Cream and Cafe | Dessert · Café | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 4764 S Higley Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3931 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Port of Subs Port of Subs | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3570 S Val Vista Dr #111 | open |
| Power & Germann Salad and Go | Quick service | 7480 S Power Rd, Gilbert, AZ 85297 | open | |
| Press Coffee Press Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 355 E Germann Rd | open |
| Red Lobster Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 3845 South Gilbert Road, 202 AND GILBERT ROAD | open |
| Rolling Cones | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3507 S Ranch House Pkwy | open |
| Rosati's Pizza Rosati's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8490 S Power Rd | open |
| Ryans House Of Love | Bar | 3760 S Star Canyon Dr | open | |
| Saeko Japanese AZ Realtor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 7400 S Power Rd | open |
| Salad and Go Salad and Go | Quick service · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 7480 S Power Rd | open |
| Sauce Pizza & Wine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 75 E Rivulon Blvd | open |
| Sauce Pizza & Wine Sauce Pizza & Wine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 75 E Rivulon Blvd | open |
| Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 3038 E Queen Creek Rd | open |
| Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 4580 E Pecos Rd | open |
| Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4075 S Higley Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 6470 S Higley Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 7656 S Power Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 3765 S Gilbert Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3635 S Val Vista Dr | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 8454 S Power Rd | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 15065-15199 E Queen Creek Rd. | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3317 S Higley Road | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 8490 S Power Rd Ste 108 | open |
| Sushi Rock & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 3306 S Higley Rd #105 | open |
| Tacos N More Mexican Grill Tacos N More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4622 S Higley Rd | open |
| Tailgaters Grill | Bar | 4658 S Higley Rd | open | |
| The Kolache Cafe The Kolache Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · German / Eastern European · Coffee | 3635 S Val Vista Dr #107 | open |
| The Marshmallow Moon | Coffee shop · Food truck | Coffee | 425 E Germann Rd | open |
| The Nook | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 3321 E Queen Creek Rd | open |
| Thirsty Lion Thirsty Lion | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 2212 E Williams Field Rd #112 | open |
| Uncle Bear's Brewery, Taproom & Yard | Brewery / taproom | 612 E Germann Rd | open | |
| Uncle Bears Brewery Uncle Bear's Grill & Tap Queen Creek | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 612 E Germann Rd | open | |
| Val Vista, AZ Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3670 S Val Vista DR. | open |
| Valley Taproom | Bar | 75 E Rivulon Blvd #107 | open | |
| Vinyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom | open | ||
| Vito and Nick's II | Bar | 3321 E Queen Creek Rd | open | |
| Welzien Bar And Grill - Arizona Location | Casual dining · Bar | American | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 84 E. Germann Road | open |
| Wildflower Wildflower - Restaurant & Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 75 E Rivulon Blvd | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 3757 S Gilbert Rd Ste 104 | open |
| Yogis Grill Yogis Grill Yuma | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 75 E Rivulon Blvd Ste 108 | open |
| Dangerzone Arcade | Casual dining · Bar | 614 E Germann Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 5 | 3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 23 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 26 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 24 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 35 | 31 | 7 | 21 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 44 | 41 | 9 | 29 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 46 | 44 | 8 | 34 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 47 | 44 | 8 | 34 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 50 | 46 | 8 | 34 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 54 | 50 | 11 | 35 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 58 | 55 | 10 | 33 | 12 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 58 | 55 | 10 | 36 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |