BMIE Market 85340
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 40,919 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,014 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 13,256 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±778 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 26,262 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,587 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $122,323 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,025 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,072 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±162 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $547,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,836 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 31.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 53 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85340 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 7.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +60.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +89.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +562.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +960.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 58 (range 51–65) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.2 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 93 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85340. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 92.4 | 92 | 40% | +37.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 83.6 | 84 | 35% | +29.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 92.9 | 93 | 25% | +23.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 40,919 | 94 | 40% | +37.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 122,323 | 91 | 40% | +36.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 13,256 | 91 | 20% | +18.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 89.3 | 90 | 35% | +31.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.0 | 61 | 25% | +15.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 40,919 | 94 | 20% | +18.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 122,323 | 91 | 20% | +18.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 93 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 60.6 | 92 | 50% | +46.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 89.3 | 90 | 30% | +26.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 562.5 | 99 | 20% | +19.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (85)
By cuisine
Coffee 13 · American 12 · Mexican 11 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Chinese 6 · Asian 5 · Burgers 5 · Italian 4 · Tea / bubble tea 4 · Dessert 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 24 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 11 · Coffee shop 10 · Café 9 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Fast casual 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aioli Gourmet Burgers - Fry's Location | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 13730 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Alebrijes Cafe & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4900 N Litchfield Rd Bldg B | open |
| Anthem Coffee & Tea | Litchfield Park | Coffee shop | Coffee | 19425 W Indian School Rd Ste 101 | open |
| Barro's Pizza Barro's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5135 N Dysart Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 12309 W. Camelback RD | open |
| Cafe Rio Fresh Modern Mexican | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 19550 W Indian School Rd Ste 140 | open |
| Carl’s Jr. | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 13025 W Camelback Rd | open | |
| Casablanca's Hookah Lounge | Bar | 5122 N Dysart Rd | open | |
| China Red Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 13000 W Indian School Rd A-1 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 5245 N Dysart Rd | open | |
| Chop Chop Chinese Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 5104 N Dysart Rd | open |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 13144 W. Camelback Road | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4734 N Litchfield Knl S | open |
| Dd's Desert Delights, Llc | Dessert | 5115 N Dysart Rd | open | |
| Denny's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4865 N. Dysart Rd | open |
| Desert Burn Hot Chicken | Bar · Coffee shop · Casual dining | Coffee | open | |
| Dillon's KC BBQ at Wildlife World Zoo Dillon's at Western Trails Ranch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 16335 W Northern Ave | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 19445 W. Indian School Road Ste 101 | open |
| Famous Johnny B's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 13000 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Federico's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 13132 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Filiberto's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 19445 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5122 N. Dysart Rd. Ste. 100 | open |
| Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5125 N Dysart Rd | open |
| Hot Bagels and Deli Number 1 | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 13760 W Camelback Rd #20 | open |
| Indian School & Jackrabbit Salad and Go | Quick service | 19485 W Indian School Rd, Litchfield Park, AZ 85340 | open | |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 13860 W Camelback Rd | open | |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 19395 W. Indian School Road | open | |
| Joes Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5122 N Dysart Rd Ste 105 | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 13006 W Indian School Road | open |
| La Bona Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 13321 W Indian School Rd | open |
| La Loma Mexican Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4900 N Litchfield Road Byp | open |
| Lazy Palm Sports Grill | Bar · Casual dining | American | 76 N Old Litchfield Rd | open |
| Litchfield Perk | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4870 N Litchfield Rd | open |
| Litchfield's | Casual dining · Bar | American · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 300 E Wigwam Blvd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 13760 W Camelback Rd Ste 40 | open |
| LP Boba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 5115 N Dysart Rd #216 | open |
| Macayo's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 19355 W Indian School Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 13018 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Milk and Honey Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 107 W Honeysuckle St | open |
| MOD Pizza MOD Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 19550 W Indian School Rd Suite 105 | open |
| Mr. Seoul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Asian | 5115 N Dysart Rd | open |
| Oasis Water and Ice Thrifty Ice Cream | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 13000 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Old Pueblo Cafe | Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 102 N Old Litchfield Rd | open |
| OzDogs Vending & Catering Services | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 19710 W Meadowbrook Ave | open |
| Panda Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 13880 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Papa Paul's Brick Oven Pizza & Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 118 N Old Litchfield Rd | open |
| Park Cafe Park Cafe | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 44 N Old Litchfield Rd | open |
| Peoria Artisan Brewery, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 107 W Honeysuckle St | open | |
| Pick Up Stix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 13000 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 19365 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Proof Bread Proof | Bakery | Bakery | 13331 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Purple Elephant Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 13331 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Red's Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | American | 300 E Wigwam Blvd | open |
| Reds Grill At Wigwam Resort | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | open | |
| Ribbons Tea House | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 111 W Honeysuckle St | open |
| Rice Garden-inside Bashas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 5115 N Dysart Rd | open |
| Robeks Fresh Juices & Smoothies Robeks | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 5104 N Dysart Rd | open |
| S & P Bakery and Coffee | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 13973 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Sabatinos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4860 N Litchfield Rd | open | |
| Salad and Go Salad and Go | Quick service · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 19485 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Sedona Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 5110 N Dysart Rd Ste 154 | open |
| Senor Taco Señor Taco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 12958 W Indian School Rd # B1 | open |
| SIP N GO | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Tea / bubble tea | 5115 N Dysart Rd # B | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 13710 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 5104 N Dysart Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 5115 N Dysart Rd Ste 150 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5115 N Dysart Rd Spc A-100 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service | Sandwiches | 15112 W. Camelback Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 12958 W Indian School Rd Unit B2 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 4955 N. Dysart Road | open |
| Tailgaters and Il Primo Tailgaters Sports Grill & IL Primo Pizza & Wings Surprise | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 5110 N Dysart Rd | open |
| Tap Savvy | Bar | 13000 W Indian School Rd A-6 | open | |
| Taps Signature Cuisine & Bar | Bar | 76 N Old Litchfield Rd | open | |
| Tasty Asian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 5115 N Dysart Rd | open |
| Teacup Boba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 13000 W Indian School Rd | open |
| The Craftsman Cocktails & Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 19580 W Indian School Rd | open | |
| The Green Olive Bar and Grill (Mediterranean Food & Pizza) | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mediterranean | 4860 N Litchfield Rd #103-104 | open |
| The Meltdown | Other | Sandwiches | N Dysart Road | open |
| The Wet Clam | Bar | Seafood | open | |
| Times Square Litchfield Park Times Square Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 13760 W Camelback Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5114 N Dysart Rd | open |
| Wigwam Bar Wigwam Resort | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | 300 E Wigwam Blvd | open | |
| Yogis Grill Yogis Grill Teriyaki & Roll | Quick service | Japanese · Asian | 5104 N Dysart Rd | open |
| Yogurtini Yogurtini | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 19580 W Indian School Rd | open |
| Ground Control Craft Food & Drink | Casual dining · Bar | 4860 N Litchfield Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 7 | 5 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 17 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 19 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 18 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 20 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 24 | 13 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 24 | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 32 | 32 | 10 | 16 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 29 | 28 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 31 | 30 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 34 | 31 | 11 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 17 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 42 | 38 | 12 | 21 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 40 | 36 | 10 | 21 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 48 | 44 | 14 | 22 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 48 | 45 | 16 | 21 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 57 | 53 | 17 | 28 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |