BMIE Market 85355

Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,460 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,419 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,745 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±417 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,745 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,060 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$123,055 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,491 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,477 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±283 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$494,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,256 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	34.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	Not published for this ZIP 2015 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2015 detail (NAICS2012) · by USPS ZIP 85355
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2001, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 5 years ahead	Not enough history to project
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	90 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85355. Not enough history for a projection.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 86 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.7	82	40%	+43.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89.9	90	35%	+42.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,460	76	40%	+30.4
Median household income (ACS)	123,055	91	40%	+36.5
Households (ACS)	4,745	74	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 90 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	0.7	100	25%	+38.5
Population (ACS)	14,460	76	20%	+23.4
Median household income (ACS)	123,055	91	20%	+28.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (11)

By cuisine

Bakery 2 · Mexican 2 · American 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 4 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arizona Hotdog	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	Olive & 175th Ave	open
Burova Properties, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7000 N Cotton Ln # 651	open
Burrito Barn	Quick service · Food truck	Mexican	17256 W Maryland Ave	open
EcoScape Constructors	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	9229 N 183rd Dr	open
Gran Victoria Pupusas	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	W Olive Ave @ N Litchfield Rd	open
Mark Anthony Brewing	Brewery / taproom		9601 N Reems Rd	open
Shell's Piscina Cantina	Bar	Mexican		open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	8200 N. Sarival Ave	open
The Corral at White Tank Ranch	Casual dining · Bar		20300 W Olive Ave	open
The Whipped Kitchen	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	18217 W Eva St	open
White Tank Brewing	Brewery / taproom		20300 W Olive Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
2001	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2011	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2013	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85355. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
85388	2.4 mi	34	2023
85340	4.4 mi	53	2023
85379	4.9 mi	34	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.