BMIE Market 85715
Pima County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 19,198 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,736 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,052 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±691 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,702 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,953 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $85,069 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,931 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 48.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,432 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±94 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $370,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,555 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 53 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85715 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 27.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +15.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +17.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +20.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -10.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 54 (range 50–59) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85715. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 76.3 | 76 | 40% | +30.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56.9 | 57 | 35% | +19.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 64.2 | 64 | 25% | +16.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 19,198 | 81 | 40% | +32.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 85,069 | 68 | 40% | +27.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,052 | 84 | 20% | +16.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 17.8 | 61 | 35% | +21.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 27.6 | 23 | 25% | +5.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 19,198 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 85,069 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 15.2 | 73 | 50% | +36.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 17.8 | 61 | 30% | +18.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 20.5 | 46 | 20% | +9.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (95)
By cuisine
Coffee 13 · Mexican 11 · Pizza 11 · American 10 · Sandwiches 10 · Italian 8 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Asian 4 · BBQ 4 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Breakfast 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Steakhouse 3 · French 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 56 · Quick service 16 · Bar 12 · Café 11 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Casual dining 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Catering 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baskin-Robbins | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7856 E Wrightstown Rd | open |
| Bistro 44 | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 6761 E Tanque Verde Rd | open | |
| Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 6393 E Grant Rd | open |
| Bonchon Bonchon Chicken Philippines | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Chicken / wings · Asian | 6310 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Bosa Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 6872 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Boston Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6610 E Grant Rd | open |
| Brawley's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 7848 E Wrightstown Rd | open |
| Brueggers Bagels Bruegger's Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches | 7127 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| By The Bucket | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2130 N Kolb Rd | open | |
| BZ’s Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7856 E Wrightstown Rd | open |
| Cafe Francais | Bakery · Café | Bakery · French · Coffee | 7831 E Wrightstown Rd | open |
| Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr. | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6301 E Grant Rd | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches | 6675 E Grant Rd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 6501 E Grant Rd Ste 141 Ste 141 | open |
| Chocolate Depot | Dessert | Dessert | 6541 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Classy Sweets & Party Supplies | Dessert | Dessert | 7051 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Coffee X Change | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 6841 E Camino Principal | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 7113 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Cowpony Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 6510 E Tanque Verde Rd | open | |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers | 6780 E Tanque Verde Rd 6780 E Tanque Verde | open |
| Dakota Cafe & Catering Co. | Café · Catering | Coffee · American | 6541 E Tanque Verde Rd Ste 7 | open |
| Dickey's Barbecue Pit Dickey's Barbecue Pit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 6612, East Tanque Verde Road | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 7073 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Eclectic Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Mexican · Latin American (other) · Coffee | 7053 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| eegee's | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches | 6810 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| El Molinito El Molinito Restaurant | Catering | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2323 N Pantano Rd | open |
| Fire N Smoke BBQ & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6502 E Tanque Verde Rd | open | |
| Fito's Taco Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 7878 E Wrightstown Rd | open |
| Fontana Properties Llc Dba Nypd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6546 E Tanque Verde Rd Ste 110 | open | |
| Frost Gelato Frost Gelato | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 7301 E Tanque Verde Rd #191 | open |
| Fuego Restaurant Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6958 E Tanque Verde Rd | open | |
| Grandma Tony's Pizza Grandma Tony's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7878 E Wrightstown Rd Unit 150 | open |
| Gusto Osteria Gusto! | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 7153 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Ha Long Bay | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 7245 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Habanero’s Steak & Wings | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6910 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 7031 E Tanque Verde Rd | open | |
| Jamba Jamba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 6601 E Grant Rd | open |
| Jamba Jamba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches | 7155 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Jason's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2400 N Pantano Rd | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 6501 E. Grant Road Unit 111 | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 6310 E Tanque Verde Rd Ste. 100 | open |
| KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6872 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| King D BBQ | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 7025 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Lasagna And More | Café | Coffee | 7856 E Wrightstown Rd | open |
| Le Delice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 7245 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Magpies Gourmet Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7159 E Tanque Verde Rd | open | |
| Mamas Hawaiian BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Hawaiian / Pacific | 6310 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 6651 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Montana Avenue Zinburger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 6390 E Grant Rd | open |
| Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6601 E Grant Rd | open |
| Mr Nature's Music Garden | Bar | 9631 E Rand Pl | open | |
| Nimbus Bistro | Brewery / taproom | 6464 E Tanque Verde Rd | open | |
| NYPD New York Pizza Department New York Pizza Department | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6546 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Olive Tree Greek Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7000 E Tanque Verde Rd | open | |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 7111 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 7245 E Tanque Verde Road | open |
| Pinnacle Peak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 6541 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6500 E Grant Rd | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Poco and Moms Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7000 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches | 6565 E Grant Rd | open |
| Prep & Pastry Prep & Pastry | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Breakfast · Coffee | 6450 E Grant Rd | open |
| Public Taphouse | Bar | 6720 E Camino Principal | open | |
| Pure Poke and Prep | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls | 6501 E Grant Rd Unit 121 | open |
| Que Chulada! Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6910 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Renee's Tucson | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 7065 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Risky Business Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1988 N Kolb Rd | open | |
| Saddlehorn Saloon | Bar | 6300 E Tanque Verde Rd | open | |
| Sakura Teppan Steak & Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 6534 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Sam-Witches And Such | Other | Sandwiches | 6502 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Sauce Pizza & Wine Sauce Pizza & Wine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 6450 E Grant Rd | open |
| Savaya Coffee Market - Tanque Verde | Coffee shop | Coffee | 6540 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Scented Leaf Tea House | Café | Coffee | 6612 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Seis Kitchen Seis Kitchen Tanque Verde | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6530 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Silver Dollar Saloon | Bar | American | open | |
| Slice & Ice | Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches | 6810 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 6630 Grant Road | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7245 E Tanque Verde Rd Suite 110 | open |
| Sweet Bake - Cupcakes | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 6616 E Grant Rd | open |
| The Canyon's Crown Restaurant and Pub | Casual dining · Bar | British / Irish pub food | 6958 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| The Cork Tucson | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · Seafood | 6320 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| The Hog Pit Smokehouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 6910 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| The Venice Restaurant & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 7848 E Wrightstown Rd | open |
| Thirsty's Neighborhood Grill and Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American | 2422 N Pantano Rd | open |
| Tino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6610 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Tucson Tamale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7159 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| UnCork'd Kitchen & Bar | Bar | 6300 E Tanque Verde Rd | open | |
| Vitality Bowls | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 7155 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Western Showcase Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6622 E Tanque Verde Rd | open | |
| Whitmer Enterprises, Inc. Dba Milli Es West Pancake Haus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 6530 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Bakery · Asian | 7177 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Zio Peppe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza · American | 6502 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Zona 78 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mediterranean · Italian | 7301 E Tanque Verde Rd | open |
| Smr Restaurant Corporation Dba Renee's Organic Oven | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7065 E Tanque Verde Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 62 | 59 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 51 | 48 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 59 | 56 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 61 | 57 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 52 | 47 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 49 | 44 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 52 | 48 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 52 | 48 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 50 | 43 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 52 | 44 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 54 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 55 | 48 | 23 | 16 | 9 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 53 | 48 | 21 | 16 | 11 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 53 | 48 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 54 | 49 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 54 | 49 | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 55 | 49 | 25 | 19 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 52 | 47 | 23 | 20 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 49 | 43 | 21 | 18 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 50 | 45 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 48 | 42 | 22 | 16 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 47 | 41 | 20 | 17 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 49 | 43 | 21 | 18 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 47 | 42 | 19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 52 | 46 | 20 | 20 | 6 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 52 | 46 | 20 | 19 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 53 | 47 | 21 | 19 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 51 | 45 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 57 | 51 | 22 | 21 | 8 | 4 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 58 | 53 | 22 | 22 | 9 | 3 | NAICS2022 |