BMIE Market 85750
Pima County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 24,886 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,452 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 12,269 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±577 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 24,161 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 13,194 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $102,836 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,653 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 56.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,566 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±144 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $585,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,565 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 18.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85750 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +5.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +150.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 20 (range 17–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85750. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 85.1 | 85 | 40% | +34.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65.9 | 66 | 35% | +23.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 52.4 | 52 | 25% | +13.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 24,886 | 85 | 40% | +34.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 102,836 | 83 | 40% | +33.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 12,269 | 90 | 20% | +17.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 8.0 | 80 | 25% | +20.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 24,886 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 102,836 | 83 | 20% | +16.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 11.1 | 69 | 50% | +34.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 5.3 | 37 | 20% | +7.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (39)
By cuisine
American 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sushi 2 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24HR Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 5755 E River Rd | open |
| Arizona Pizza Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4955 N Sabino Canyon Rd | open |
| Banhdicted | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Sandwiches · Asian | 6878 E Sunrise Dr Ste 150 | open |
| Bill's Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Burgers | 7000 N Resort Dr | open |
| Blue Ice Gelato | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 6878 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Caffe Torino in the Foothills | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5605 E River Rd Ste 121 | open | |
| Commoner & Co | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6960 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Deserto Frozen Yogurt & Café | Dessert · Café · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 5635 E River Rd | open |
| Dog House Cigar | Bar | 6866 E Sunrise Dr Ste 150 | open | |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 6875 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| El Charro Cafe El Charro Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6910 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Everbowl - Tucson | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 5635 E River Rd Ste 101 | open |
| Flying V | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 7000 N Resort Dr | open |
| Ginza Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 5425 N Kolb Rd #115 | open |
| Inca's Peruvian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | 6878 E Sunrise Dr #130 | open |
| Island Plate Lunch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific | 3699 N Campbell Ave | open |
| Jimmy's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5655 E River Rd #111 | open |
| Jpmorgan Chase & And Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 6960 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Nico's Mexican Food Nico's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4960 N Sabino Canyon Rd | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6860 E Sunrise Dr Ste 116 | open |
| Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6960 E Sunrise Dr Ste 170 | open |
| Piazza Gavi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 5415 N Kolb Rd | open |
| Revive Fresh Bowls & Creamery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 6890 E Sunrise Dr #140 | open |
| Risky Business Restaurant & Bar | Bar | 6866 E Sunrise Dr | open | |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 6900 E Sunrise Dr (Bashas' Tucson #71) | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 5655 E River Rd | open |
| Sunrise Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6878 E Sunrise Dr Ste 160 | open | |
| Sushi Zona | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 5655 E River Rd | open |
| Terra Alta Bistro | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| The French Loaf Bakery & Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6878 E Sunrise Dr | open | |
| The Greens at Ventana Canyon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5855 N Kolb Rd | open | |
| The Hills Tucson | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6960 E Sunrise Dr | open | |
| Three Canyon Beer and Wine Garden | Casual dining · Bar | American | 4999 N Sabino Canyon Rd | open |
| Tinajas Wine & Beer | Bar | 6960 E Sunrise Dr | open | |
| Tm Zona Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5655 E River Rd Ste 151 | open | |
| WFM Coffee & Juice Bar | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Coffee | 5555 E River Rd | open |
| Wilhelm Family Vineyards Tasting & Tapas at Ventana | Bar | 5425 N Kolb Rd Ste 119 | open | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 6878 E Sunrise Dr Ste 150 | closed |
| The Hidden Grill2go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls · Chinese · Chicken / wings | 4955 N Sabino Canyon Rd Ste 113 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 15 | 15 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 18 | 17 | 12 | 4 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 22 | 18 | 12 | 5 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 19 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 20 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 20 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 20 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 23 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 22 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 28 | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 24 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 19 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 19 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 21 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 21 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 21 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |