BMIE Market 85718
Pima County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 28,125 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,571 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 13,293 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±744 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 27,367 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 15,037 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $114,892 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,869 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 53.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,289 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $712,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,278 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 23.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 46 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85718 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 17.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -2.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +31.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +24.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 45 (range 42–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85718. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.7 | 89 | 40% | +35.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 59.5 | 59 | 35% | +20.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 33.6 | 34 | 25% | +8.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 28,125 | 88 | 40% | +35.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 114,892 | 89 | 40% | +35.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 13,293 | 91 | 20% | +18.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 16.4 | 48 | 25% | +12.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 28,125 | 88 | 20% | +17.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 114,892 | 89 | 20% | +17.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -2.1 | 25 | 50% | +12.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 31.4 | 53 | 20% | +10.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (104)
By cuisine
American 16 · Coffee 14 · Mexican 11 · Bakery 9 · Italian 8 · Dessert 6 · Latin American (other) 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Steakhouse 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 4 · European 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Pizza 4 · Seafood 4 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · French 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 65 · Bar 11 · Café 11 · Dessert 11 · Coffee shop 10 · Bakery 9 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Food truck 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Slice Of Heaven | Bakery | Bakery | 4280 N Campbell Ave | open |
| Acacia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3001 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Acacia At St Philips | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4340 N Campbell Ave Ste 103 | open |
| Anthony's In The Catalinas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6440 N Campbell Ave | open |
| Arizona Wine Collective | Bar | 4280 N Campbell Ave | open | |
| Aroi Thai Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | open | ||
| Baskin-Robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4736 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Bazil's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 4777 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Bear Track Bistro & Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 4743 E Sunrise Dr | open | |
| Benihana Tucson | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2905 E Skyline Dr Ste 289 | open | |
| Bisbee Breakfast Club Bisbee Breakfast Club | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Breakfast | 4811 E Sunrise Dr Ste 165 | open |
| Blake's Lotaburger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3560 N Craycroft Rd | open |
| Breakout Studios | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4340 N Campbell Ave | open | |
| Brueggers Bagels Bruegger's Bagels | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 5665 N Swan Rd | open |
| Bubbe's Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 1865 E River Rd Ste 111 | open |
| Cafe@ The J | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3800 E River Rd | open | |
| Casa 71 Tequila Lounge | Bar | 3800 E Sunrise Dr | open | |
| Chantilly Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 4525 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Chill on Sunrise | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4777 E Sunrise Dr #139 | open |
| Chill-N Ice Cream Catalina Foothills Chill-N Nitrogen Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 4776 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Choice Greens | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 1825 E River Rd | open |
| Churros Inzunza | Food truck | 4502 N 1st Ave | open | |
| Churros Inzunza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Mexican · Bakery | 4502 N 1st Ave | open |
| Coming Soon - Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 4746 E Sunrise Dr | open | |
| Contigo Latin Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Spanish / tapas · Mexican | 3770 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Courtside Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3800 E Sunrise Dr | open | |
| Cowboy Joe & Wilde Rose Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 4300 N Campbell Ave | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4810 N 1st Ave | open |
| DAO'S INVESTMENT INC. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 4829 N Louis River Way | open |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 4708 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| El Cisne Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4717 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| El Corral El Corral | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2201 E River Rd | open |
| ELIF Gozleme | Café · Quick service | Middle Eastern · Coffee | 4502 N 1st Ave | open |
| Fiamme Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 4706 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Fini's Landing | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Mexican | 5689 N Swan Rd | open |
| Firebirds Wood Fired Grill Firebirds Wood Fired Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 2985 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Five Palms Steak & Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Steakhouse | 3500 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Fleming’s Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar | Bar | Steakhouse · American | 6360 N Campbell Ave | open |
| Flying Leap Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 4320 N Campbell Ave | open | |
| Fresh Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2404 E River Rd Ste 132 | open | |
| Frida American Brasserie | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 2905 E Skyline Dr | open | |
| Frost Frost Gelato | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2905 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Golden Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4704 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Humble Pie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2905 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Janos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 3770 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Jasper Neighborhood Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6370 N Campbell Ave | open | |
| Ke Hospitality Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3770 E Sunrise Dr | open | |
| Laroccas Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5689 N Swan Rd | open | |
| Lorraine Patisserie | Dessert | Dessert | 4280 N Campbell Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5640 N Swan | open |
| Mgt Restaurant Concepts,llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2890 E Skyline Dr | open | |
| Mona's Danish Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery | 4777 E Sunrise Dr #113 | open |
| Mutts Premium Hot Dogs and Sausages | Catering | Hot dogs · American | 4502 N 1st Ave | open |
| Mystery & Magic Dinner Theater Playhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3500 E Sunrise Dr | open | |
| Nekter Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 2905 E Skyline Dr | open |
| North Italia North Italia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 2995 E Skyline Dr | open |
| North Restaurant La Encantada Mall North Italia - The Woodlands | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mexican · Italian · Latin American (other) | 2995 E Skyline Dr | open |
| North Restaurant, Tucson Az | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · American | open | |
| Nox Kitchen + Cocktails | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6370 N Campbell Ave | open | |
| P.F. Chang's P.F. Chang's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1805 E River Rd | open |
| Peacock Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 2905 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Pin Flour | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 4626 N Campbell Ave | open |
| Posto Sano Foods | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 6370 N Campbell Ave | open |
| Proof Artisanal Pizza & Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4340 N Campbell Ave | open |
| Pure Love Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 1980 E River Rd | open |
| Queen Cake | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery | 6421 N Tierra de las Catalinas | open |
| R & R Family Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1745 E River Rd | open |
| RA Sushi Bar Restaurant RA Sushi Bar Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 2905 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Reforma Modern Mexican | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4340 N Campbell Ave Ste 101 | open |
| Ren Bakery and Espresso Bar | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 4300 N Campbell Ave Ste #12 | open |
| Ren Coffeehouse | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4300 N Campbell Ave | open |
| Sabino's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean | La Paloma Country Club, 3660 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Salazar Enterprise Llc Dba Villa Peru | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1745 E River Rd Ste 165 | open | |
| Savaya Coffee Market-la Encantada Mall | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2905 E Skyline Dr Ste 287 | open |
| Sazerac Creole Kitchen & Cocktails | Bar | 4340 N Campbell Ave | open | |
| Seis Cantina at Joesler Village Seis Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1765 E River Rd #131 | open |
| Shlomo & Vitos Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches | 2870 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 1825 E River Rd Ste 119 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4700 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 6370 N Campbell Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 4768 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Sullivan's Steakhouse Sullivan's Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 1785 E River Rd | open |
| Sweet Arizona | Dessert | 4280 N Campbell Ave | open | |
| Sweet Lizard Frozen Yogurt & Custard | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6360 N Campbell Ave #110 | open |
| Taqueria el Cheke | Food truck | Mexican | 6530 S Camino De Oeste | open |
| Taqueria Porfis | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | open | |
| Tavolino Ristorante Italiano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 2890 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Teavana | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 2905 E Skyline Dr #148 | open |
| Texas Star Steakhouse & Saloon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1785 E River Rd | open | |
| The Grill At Hacienda Del Sol | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5501 N Hacienda del Sol Rd | open | |
| Trattoria Pina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 5541 N Swan Rd | open |
| Trucking Good Cupcakes | Dessert | Dessert | 2870 E Skyline Dr | open |
| True Food Kitchen True Food Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls · American | 2905 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Union Public House | Casual dining · Bar | American | 4340 N Campbell Ave | open |
| Villa Peru | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Seafood · Latin American (other) | 1745 E River Rd | open |
| Vintabla | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2890 E Skyline Dr | open | |
| Vivace Restaurant Vivace Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 6440 N Campbell Ave | open |
| Wild Garlic Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · French | 2870 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Wild Garlic Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1sT Street | open | |
| Xocolatl Mexican Chocolate | Dessert | Dessert | 4502 N 1st Ave | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 4752 E Sunrise Dr | open |
| Zinburger Zinburger | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 1865 E River Rd | open |
| Innovative Wine Cellar Designs | Bar | 3001 E Skyline Dr Ste 109 | closed | |
| The Living Room Wine Cafe & Lounge | Bar | 2905 E Skyline Dr Ste 168 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 38 | 37 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 37 | 36 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 31 | 30 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 36 | 34 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 31 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 31 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 28 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 30 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 37 | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 36 | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 48 | 44 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 53 | 49 | 34 | 8 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 54 | 50 | 32 | 11 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 47 | 44 | 29 | 7 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 50 | 45 | 32 | 6 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 47 | 44 | 30 | 6 | 8 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 51 | 48 | 31 | 9 | 8 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 55 | 52 | 32 | 10 | 10 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 51 | 48 | 31 | 9 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 50 | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 52 | 49 | 33 | 9 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 50 | 47 | 32 | 9 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 47 | 45 | 30 | 8 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 47 | 44 | 30 | 6 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 50 | 47 | 30 | 6 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 48 | 45 | 27 | 7 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 49 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 49 | 47 | 25 | 10 | 12 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 47 | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 47 | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | — | NAICS2022 |