BMIE Market 85718

Pima County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,125 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,571 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	13,293 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±744 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,367 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	15,037 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$114,892 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,869 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,289 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$712,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,278 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	46 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85718
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-2.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+31.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+24.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	45 (range 42–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85718. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.7	89	40%	+35.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.5	59	35%	+20.8
Market Momentum Score	33.6	34	25%	+8.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,125	88	40%	+35.0
Median household income (ACS)	114,892	89	40%	+35.4
Households (ACS)	13,293	91	20%	+18.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.4	48	25%	+12.0
Population (ACS)	28,125	88	20%	+17.5
Median household income (ACS)	114,892	89	20%	+17.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-2.1	25	50%	+12.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	31.4	53	20%	+10.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (104)

By cuisine

American 16 · Coffee 14 · Mexican 11 · Bakery 9 · Italian 8 · Dessert 6 · Latin American (other) 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Steakhouse 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 4 · European 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Pizza 4 · Seafood 4 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · French 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 65 · Bar 11 · Café 11 · Dessert 11 · Coffee shop 10 · Bakery 9 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Food truck 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Slice Of Heaven	Bakery	Bakery	4280 N Campbell Ave	open
Acacia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3001 E Skyline Dr	open
Acacia At St Philips	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4340 N Campbell Ave Ste 103	open
Anthony's In The Catalinas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6440 N Campbell Ave	open
Arizona Wine Collective	Bar		4280 N Campbell Ave	open
Aroi Thai Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other			open
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4736 E Sunrise Dr	open
Bazil's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4777 E Sunrise Dr	open
Bear Track Bistro & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		4743 E Sunrise Dr	open
Benihana Tucson	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2905 E Skyline Dr Ste 289	open
Bisbee Breakfast Club Bisbee Breakfast Club	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	4811 E Sunrise Dr Ste 165	open
Blake's Lotaburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3560 N Craycroft Rd	open
Breakout Studios	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4340 N Campbell Ave	open
Brueggers Bagels Bruegger's Bagels	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	5665 N Swan Rd	open
Bubbe's Bagels	Bakery	Bakery	1865 E River Rd Ste 111	open
Cafe@ The J	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3800 E River Rd	open
Casa 71 Tequila Lounge	Bar		3800 E Sunrise Dr	open
Chantilly Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	4525 E Skyline Dr	open
Chill on Sunrise	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	4777 E Sunrise Dr #139	open
Chill-N Ice Cream Catalina Foothills Chill-N Nitrogen Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4776 E Sunrise Dr	open
Choice Greens	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	1825 E River Rd	open
Churros Inzunza	Food truck		4502 N 1st Ave	open
Churros Inzunza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Mexican · Bakery	4502 N 1st Ave	open
Coming Soon - Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		4746 E Sunrise Dr	open
Contigo Latin Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Spanish / tapas · Mexican	3770 E Sunrise Dr	open
Courtside Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3800 E Sunrise Dr	open
Cowboy Joe & Wilde Rose Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4300 N Campbell Ave	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4810 N 1st Ave	open
DAO'S INVESTMENT INC.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	4829 N Louis River Way	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	4708 E Sunrise Dr	open
El Cisne Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4717 E Sunrise Dr	open
El Corral El Corral	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2201 E River Rd	open
ELIF Gozleme	Café · Quick service	Middle Eastern · Coffee	4502 N 1st Ave	open
Fiamme Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	4706 E Sunrise Dr	open
Fini's Landing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mexican	5689 N Swan Rd	open
Firebirds Wood Fired Grill Firebirds Wood Fired Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	2985 E Skyline Dr	open
Five Palms Steak & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	3500 E Sunrise Dr	open
Fleming’s Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar	Bar	Steakhouse · American	6360 N Campbell Ave	open
Flying Leap Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		4320 N Campbell Ave	open
Fresh Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2404 E River Rd Ste 132	open
Frida American Brasserie	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2905 E Skyline Dr	open
Frost Frost Gelato	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2905 E Skyline Dr	open
Golden Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4704 E Sunrise Dr	open
Humble Pie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2905 E Skyline Dr	open
Janos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	3770 E Sunrise Dr	open
Jasper Neighborhood Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6370 N Campbell Ave	open
Ke Hospitality Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3770 E Sunrise Dr	open
Laroccas Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5689 N Swan Rd	open
Lorraine Patisserie	Dessert	Dessert	4280 N Campbell Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5640 N Swan	open
Mgt Restaurant Concepts,llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2890 E Skyline Dr	open
Mona's Danish Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery	4777 E Sunrise Dr #113	open
Mutts Premium Hot Dogs and Sausages	Catering	Hot dogs · American	4502 N 1st Ave	open
Mystery & Magic Dinner Theater Playhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3500 E Sunrise Dr	open
Nekter Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2905 E Skyline Dr	open
North Italia North Italia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	2995 E Skyline Dr	open
North Restaurant La Encantada Mall North Italia - The Woodlands	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican · Italian · Latin American (other)	2995 E Skyline Dr	open
North Restaurant, Tucson Az	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American		open
Nox Kitchen + Cocktails	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6370 N Campbell Ave	open
P.F. Chang's P.F. Chang's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1805 E River Rd	open
Peacock Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2905 E Skyline Dr	open
Pin Flour	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4626 N Campbell Ave	open
Posto Sano Foods	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	6370 N Campbell Ave	open
Proof Artisanal Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4340 N Campbell Ave	open
Pure Love Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	1980 E River Rd	open
Queen Cake	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery	6421 N Tierra de las Catalinas	open
R & R Family Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1745 E River Rd	open
RA Sushi Bar Restaurant RA Sushi Bar Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2905 E Skyline Dr	open
Reforma Modern Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4340 N Campbell Ave Ste 101	open
Ren Bakery and Espresso Bar	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	4300 N Campbell Ave Ste #12	open
Ren Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4300 N Campbell Ave	open
Sabino's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean	La Paloma Country Club, 3660 E Sunrise Dr	open
Salazar Enterprise Llc Dba Villa Peru	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1745 E River Rd Ste 165	open
Savaya Coffee Market-la Encantada Mall	Coffee shop	Coffee	2905 E Skyline Dr Ste 287	open
Sazerac Creole Kitchen & Cocktails	Bar		4340 N Campbell Ave	open
Seis Cantina at Joesler Village Seis Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1765 E River Rd #131	open
Shlomo & Vitos Delicatessen	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	2870 E Skyline Dr	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1825 E River Rd Ste 119	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4700 E Sunrise Dr	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	6370 N Campbell Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	4768 E Sunrise Dr	open
Sullivan's Steakhouse Sullivan's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	1785 E River Rd	open
Sweet Arizona	Dessert		4280 N Campbell Ave	open
Sweet Lizard Frozen Yogurt & Custard	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6360 N Campbell Ave #110	open
Taqueria el Cheke	Food truck	Mexican	6530 S Camino De Oeste	open
Taqueria Porfis	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American		open
Tavolino Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	2890 E Skyline Dr	open
Teavana	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	2905 E Skyline Dr #148	open
Texas Star Steakhouse & Saloon	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1785 E River Rd	open
The Grill At Hacienda Del Sol	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5501 N Hacienda del Sol Rd	open
Trattoria Pina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	5541 N Swan Rd	open
Trucking Good Cupcakes	Dessert	Dessert	2870 E Skyline Dr	open
True Food Kitchen True Food Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · American	2905 E Skyline Dr	open
Union Public House	Casual dining · Bar	American	4340 N Campbell Ave	open
Villa Peru	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Seafood · Latin American (other)	1745 E River Rd	open
Vintabla	Winery / distillery / taproom		2890 E Skyline Dr	open
Vivace Restaurant Vivace Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	6440 N Campbell Ave	open
Wild Garlic Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · French	2870 E Skyline Dr	open
Wild Garlic Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1sT Street	open
Xocolatl Mexican Chocolate	Dessert	Dessert	4502 N 1st Ave	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4752 E Sunrise Dr	open
Zinburger Zinburger	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	1865 E River Rd	open
Innovative Wine Cellar Designs	Bar		3001 E Skyline Dr Ste 109	closed
The Living Room Wine Cafe & Lounge	Bar		2905 E Skyline Dr Ste 168	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	38	37	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	37	36	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	31	30	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	36	34	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	31	28	17	6	5	2	NAICS1997
1999	31	27	16	6	5	2	NAICS1997
2000	28	25	15	5	5	1	NAICS1997
2001	30	27	15	6	6	1	NAICS1997
2002	37	35	20	8	7	—	NAICS1997
2003	36	35	21	9	5	—	NAICS2002
2004	48	44	28	10	6	2	NAICS2002
2005	53	49	34	8	7	1	NAICS2002
2006	54	50	32	11	7	1	NAICS2002
2007	47	44	29	7	8	1	NAICS2002
2008	50	45	32	6	7	2	NAICS2007
2009	47	44	30	6	8	—	NAICS2007
2010	51	48	31	9	8	—	NAICS2007
2011	55	52	32	10	10	—	NAICS2007
2012	51	48	31	9	8	—	NAICS2012
2013	50	46	29	9	8	—	NAICS2012
2014	52	49	33	9	7	—	NAICS2012
2015	50	47	32	9	6	—	NAICS2012
2016	47	45	30	8	7	—	NAICS2012
2017	47	44	30	6	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	50	47	30	6	11	—	NAICS2017
2019	48	45	27	7	11	—	NAICS2017
2020	49	46	27	9	10	—	NAICS2017
2021	49	47	25	10	12	—	NAICS2017
2022	47	46	25	9	12	—	NAICS2022
2023	47	46	26	10	10	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85718. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
85704	4.1 mi	96	2023
85750	4.6 mi	20	2023
85712	4.6 mi	90	2023
85719	4.9 mi	148	2023
85716	4.9 mi	80	2023
85705	5.0 mi	126	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.