BMIE Market 85755

Pima County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,560 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,025 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,403 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±451 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,107 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,907 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$113,831 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,885 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	61.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,151 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±436 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$486,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,418 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	33.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85755
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+71.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+140.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,100.0% DERIVED: 2005 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 10–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	94 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85755. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.7	84	40%	+33.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88.6	89	35%	+31.0
Market Momentum Score	94.2	94	25%	+23.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,560	80	40%	+32.0
Median household income (ACS)	113,831	88	40%	+35.3
Households (ACS)	8,403	82	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	140	95	35%	+33.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.5	86	25%	+21.6
Population (ACS)	18,560	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	113,831	88	20%	+17.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 94 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	71.4	94	50%	+58.5
10-year restaurant growth	140	95	30%	+35.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

American 4 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Coffee 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Café 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Az Plate Restaurant Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1846 E Innovation Park Dr Ste 100	open
Cheers To You Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	12152 N Rancho Vistoso Blvd #130	open
Desert Rain Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	1551 E Tangerine Rd	open
Flavor of India	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	12112 N Rancho Vistoso Blvd	open
Fork & Fire	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	969 W Hesperaloe Ct	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	11545 N. Oracle Road	open
Mali Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	12142 N Rancho Vistoso Blvd	open
McDonalds	Quick service		2150 E Tangerine Rd	open
Rosati's Pizza Sports Pub Rosati's Pizza	Bar	Pizza	12152 N Rancho Vistoso Blvd #C170	open
Sahuaro Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	12142 N Rancho Vistoso Blvd	open
The Chicago Dawg House	Food truck		1846 E Innovation Park Dr	open
The Views Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1555 E Rancho Vistoso Blvd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2150 E Tangerine Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian	12122 N Rancho Vistoso Blvd	open
비추는 별	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Italian	경기도 수원시 장안구 율전동 433-95 2층	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2005	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	2	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	3	1	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	6	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	7	3	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	9	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	12	8	—	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85755. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
85737	4.2 mi	41	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.