BMIE Market 89433

Washoe County, Nevada · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,016 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,631 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,214 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,188 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,934 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$75,984 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,983 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,266 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±131 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$349,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 89433
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+266.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+120.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,000.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 13–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	90 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 89433. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Nevada and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 137, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.1	72	40%	+28.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85.8	86	35%	+30.0
Market Momentum Score	90.3	90	25%	+22.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,016	84	40%	+33.5
Median household income (ACS)	75,984	57	40%	+22.7
Households (ACS)	7,214	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	266.7	99	35%	+34.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.8	92	25%	+23.1
Population (ACS)	23,016	84	20%	+16.8
Median household income (ACS)	75,984	57	20%	+11.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	37.5	87	50%	+43.4
10-year restaurant growth	266.7	99	30%	+29.7
20-year restaurant growth	120	86	20%	+17.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

Mexican 9 · American 4 · Coffee 4 · Latin American (other) 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Bar 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alfredo's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Mexican · Coffee	5400 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Bob & Lucy's Bar	Bar		5055 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Carniceria Mendoza	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Mexican · Sandwiches	5055 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Churros Huesos	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	5425 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	4850 Sun Valley Blvd	open
El Gordo	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5330 Torobie Dr	open
El Korita Restraunt	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5200 Sun Valley Blvd	open
El Paisano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	125 E 2nd Ave	open
El Sonorense	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	4880 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Hobey's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	5195 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Jalisco Panaderia	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	5458 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Kaliman hot dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Hot dogs · American	5365 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Kelly's Sun Valley Bar	Bar		5544 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5190 Sun Valley Blvd	open
La Casita Antojitos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	5425 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Littlel Angel Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5055 Sun Valley Blvd Ste 200	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	140 W 1st Ave	open
MENDOZAS COFFEE SHOP	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	5425 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Mendozas Food Truck	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5425 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Panda House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5055 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Pelons	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		5408 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5690 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Primos food truck reno	Food truck	Burgers · American	5430 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Silver Moon	Bar		5465 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	5055 Sun Valley Blvd Ste 300	open
Super Carniceria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5360 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	4978 Sun Valley Blvd	open
Tamale Bros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5476 Sun Valley Blvd, 585 East Moana Lane	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	1	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	4	1	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	9	3	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	7	2	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	6	2	—	2	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	5	3	1	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	6	3	1	2	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	7	3	1	2	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	6	3	—	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	5	3	1	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	9	7	1	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	9	6	1	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	10	7	2	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	11	7	2	5	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	10	6	1	5	—	4	NAICS2007
2010	9	5	—	5	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	8	5	—	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	9	6	—	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	6	3	—	3	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	8	5	1	4	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	8	5	—	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	10	7	2	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2017	10	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	8	3	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	13	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	11	—	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	11	—	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 89433. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
89512	3.4 mi	28	2023
89436	4.2 mi	53	2023
89557	4.3 mi	3	2023
89431	4.4 mi	89	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.