BMIE Market 89703

Carson City, Nevada · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,738 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±893 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,801 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±370 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,714 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,751 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$85,230 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,755 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,203 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±158 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$626,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,873 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	44.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 89703
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.55) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 89703. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.55, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Nevada and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 137, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.8	71	40%	+28.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.2	79	35%	+27.7
Market Momentum Score	64.8	65	25%	+16.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,738	72	40%	+28.8
Median household income (ACS)	85,230	68	40%	+27.3
Households (ACS)	4,801	74	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.6	90	25%	+22.4
Population (ACS)	10,738	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	85,230	68	20%	+13.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	-40	7	20%	+1.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Casual dining 3 · Bar 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4h Ohana, Llc. Chick-fil-A	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4751 Cochise St	open
Appion Way Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	211 W Appion Way	open
Bamboo Garden Bamboo Garden Restaurant - Blenheim, New Zealand	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4250 Cochise St	open
Bulldog Cyber Cafe Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		251 Jeanell Dr Ste 9	open
Carson Medical Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1475 Medical Pkwy	open
Cucina Lupo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	308 N Curry St	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	211 W Appion Way	open
L.A. Bakery Cafe	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast	1280 N Curry St	open
Michoacana Pedir de Boca Michoacan a pedir de boca	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Latin American (other)	4250 Cochise St unit #50	open
Midtown Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	775 Fleischmann Way 1st Floor	open
Moondance Chocolates	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	449 W King St	open
Old Globe Saloon	Bar		407 N Curry St	open
Old World Coffee Roasters Old World Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	301 N Curry St	open
Our Daily Bread	Bakery	Bakery	216 W William St	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	4881 Cochise Street	open
Squeeze In \| Breakfast & Lunch Squeeze In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	308 N Curry St Ste 102	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1600 Medical Pkwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	100 Winnie Ln W	open
Westside Pour House	Food truck · Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	110 W Telegraph St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	7	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	10	6	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	7	4	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	9	5	1	4	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	6	2	—	2	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	6	3	—	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	13	9	2	5	2	3	NAICS1997
2002	9	5	—	3	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	13	10	4	3	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	14	9	4	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	14	11	5	3	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	14	10	2	6	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	13	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	13	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	12	7	3	3	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	12	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	9	4	1	2	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	9	4	1	2	1	3	NAICS2012
2014	8	4	1	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	9	5	1	2	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	7	4	1	1	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	6	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	5	—	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	13	8	3	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	11	7	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 89703. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
89705	3.7 mi	16	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.