BMIE Market 89705

Douglas County, Nevada · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,935 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±504 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,215 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±231 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,969 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,082 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$79,901 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,724 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,441 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±159 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$470,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,930 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 89705
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	30.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+166.7% DERIVED: 2004 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 15–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 89705. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Nevada and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 137, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.4	61	40%	+24.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.2	41	35%	+14.4
Market Momentum Score	24.3	24	25%	+6.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,935	60	40%	+24.1
Median household income (ACS)	79,901	62	40%	+24.8
Households (ACS)	2,215	63	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	32.4	18	25%	+4.5
Population (ACS)	4,935	60	20%	+12.0
Median household income (ACS)	79,901	62	20%	+12.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 24 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	50%	+11.1
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+13.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

Bakery 6 · Asian 5 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Coffee 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Pizza 2 · American 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bakery 7 · Quick service 6 · Dessert 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Buffet 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All Star Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		924 Mica Dr	open
B & G Foods Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		931 Jacks Valley Rd Ste A	open
Bowls'N Go	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Burgers · Noodles / ramen / pho · Hot dogs · Asian	963 Topsy Ln Ste 318	open
Carson Valley Cleaners	Restaurant (service type not stated)		963 Topsy Ln	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3784 US HWY 395 S.	open
China Jade Horse \| Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	963 Topsy Ln	open
Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	963 Topsy Ln Ste 318	open
Crumbl Cookies Crumbl	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	963 Topsy Lane suite 308	open
Del Taco	Quick service		3780 Hwy 395	open
Ganbaru Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	963 Topsy Ln	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	957 Topsy Ln	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3784 US HWY 395 S.	open
Jamba Juice Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	921 Topsy Ln #412	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	956 Topsy Lane Suite 102	open
Khristopher's Cafe & Floral Vineyard	Restaurant (service type not stated)		939 Mica Dr Ste 20	open
King Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	3790 US-395	open
King Buffet	Buffet		3790 US Highway 395 S	open
La Salsa Grill Restaurant La Salsa	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Spanish / tapas · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	963 Topsy Ln #316	open
Mott Canyon Tavern and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		939 Mica Dr	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	963 Topsy Lane Ste 302 Suite D-1	open
Nozzleman pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3770 US-395	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	921 Topsy Lane SUITE #414, SUITE #414,	open
Pokedoke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Seafood · Healthy / salads / bowls	963 Topsy Ln	open
Port of Subs Port of Subs	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	931 Jacks Valley Rd	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	961 Topsy Ln	open
Roy's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	939 Mica Dr Ste 20	open
See’s Candies Seasonal Pop Up Shop See's Candies	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert	911 Topsy Lane, Suite #230, Suite #230	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	921 Topsy Ln	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	910 Jacks Valley Rd	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches	3790 Highway 395 South, #409	open
Sweet Georgia Brownies	Bakery	Bakery	854 Meadow Vista Dr	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3770 US Highway 395 S	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	2	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	13	11	3	3	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	16	14	3	7	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	15	15	3	9	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	14	14	3	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	15	4	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	12	3	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	17	3	8	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	16	16	4	8	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	17	17	4	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	18	18	4	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	16	16	4	8	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	19	19	5	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	18	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	17	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	18	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	18	5	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	17	4	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	16	5	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 89705. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
89703	3.7 mi	6	2023
89413	4.8 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.