BMIE Market 92602

Orange County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,261 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,166 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,713 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±659 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,871 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,764 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$161,620 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,602 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,008 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±206 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,502,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±115,015 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	15.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	70 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92602
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+84.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+141.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+6,900.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	84 (range 77–90) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.9 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92602. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	90.9	91	40%	+36.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75	75	35%	+26.3
Market Momentum Score	83.4	83	25%	+20.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,261	88	40%	+35.0
Median household income (ACS)	161,620	97	40%	+38.9
Households (ACS)	9,713	85	20%	+17.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	84.2	89	35%	+31.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.8	27	25%	+6.8
Population (ACS)	28,261	88	20%	+17.5
Median household income (ACS)	161,620	97	20%	+19.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20.7	78	50%	+39.0
10-year restaurant growth	84.2	89	30%	+26.8
20-year restaurant growth	141.4	88	20%	+17.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (99)

By cuisine

Coffee 16 · Asian 13 · American 11 · Bakery 9 · Mexican 7 · Chinese 5 · Dessert 5 · Korean 5 · Breakfast 4 · Burgers 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Japanese 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Sushi 4 · BBQ 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Pizza 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Brazilian 2 · Italian 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Thai 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 71 · Café 15 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 10 · Coffee shop 9 · Dessert 8 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Fast casual 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
399 Vietnamese Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	13254 Jamboree Rd	open
August Moon Cakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Irvine Blvd	open
Baja Fresh	Quick service		13248 Jamboree Rd	open
BB.Q Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Chicken / wings · Asian	3901 Irvine Blvd	open
Bengong’s Tea Irvine	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	13238 Jamboree Rd	open
BJ's Restaurants BJ's Restaurant & Brewhouse	Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Bar	American	13130 Jamboree Road	open
Blk Dot Coffee BLK dot Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	13788 Jamboree Rd	open
Bluberry Social	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	3955 Irvine Blvd	open
Brueggers Bagels Bruegger's Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	3991 Irvine Blvd	open
California Fish Grill California Fish Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	13780 Jamboree Rd	open
Cha Cha's Latin Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	13126 Jamboree Rd	open
Chai Lan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Korean · Chinese	3951 Irvine Blvd	open
Champagne French Bakery Café Northpark	Café	Coffee	3901 Irvine Blvd.	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	13490 Jamboree Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3911 Irvine Blvd	open
Class 302	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	13252 Jamboree Rd	open
Cooking 101	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	13274 Jamboree Rd	open
Corner Bakery Cafe Corner Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast	13652 Jamboree Rd	open
Corporation Tesas De Brzil Irvine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Brazilian · Latin American (other)	13772 Jamboree Rd	open
Daphne's California Greek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	13250 Jamboree Rd #113	open
DönerG Turkish & Mediterranean Grill - The Market Place DonerG Turkish & Mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	13256 Jamboree Rd	open
Donut Star Donut Star	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	3907 Irvine Blvd	open
Ezo Noodle Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13256 Jamboree Rd	open
Famous Dave's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	13122 Jamboree Rd	open
Fresh Brothers Irvine Market Place	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13258 Jamboree Rd	open
G Burger - Irvine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	13256 Jamboree Rd	open
Golden Spoon	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3935 Portola Pkwy	open
Gooyi92	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · BBQ · Asian	3959 Irvine Blvd	open
Gt3 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13390 Jamboree Rd	open
H2O Poke & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	13262 Jamboree Rd	open
Handel's Homemade Ice Cream Irvine Market Place Handel's Homemade Ice Cream - York, PA	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	13786 Jamboree Rd	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	13126 Jamboree Rd	open
Irvine & Jamboree	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other)	13266 Jamboree Rd	open
It's Boba Time -Irvine It's Boba Time	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3905 Irvine Blvd	open
JA Jiaozi Authentic Dumplings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	13776 Jamboree Rd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	3911 Irvine Blvd	open
Jade Palace Chinese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3951 Irvine Blvd	open
Jerry's Wood-Fired Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	13786 Jamboree Rd	open
Jinbei	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3915 Portola Pkwy	open
Kiyo Sushi & Sake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3957 Irvine Blvd	open
Koki's Teppan and Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3957 Irvine Blvd	open
Krispy Kreme	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	13672 Jamboree Rd	open
L& Ds Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3953 Irvine Blvd	open
La Sirena Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3931 Portola Pkwy	open
Lazy Dog Restaurant & Bar Lazy Dog Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	13290 Jamboree Rd	open
Luigi Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2926 Whispering Trl	open
Luna Grill Luna Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	13774 Jamboree Rd	open
Mas Veggies Vegan Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	13786 Jamboree Rd	open
Mendocino Farms	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	13786 Jamboree Rd Ste 4	open
Mini Pay Fridge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		410 Exchange	open
Mobius Lounge	Bar		330 Estancia	open
MooMoo Hot Pot	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet	Chinese	3967 Irvine Blvd	open
Nara Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	3931 Portola Pkwy	open
Natraj's Tandoori	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	13246 Jamboree Rd	open
Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	3959 Portola Pkwy	open
Northpark Clubhouse	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		10 Meadow Vly	open
Paik’s Noodle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean	3931 Irvine Blvd	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	13266 Jamboree Rd.	open
Pandor Artisan Bakery & Café Pandor Artisan Bakery & Café	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	13124 Jamboree Rd	open
PANDORBAKERY.COM Leonidas	Dessert	Dessert	Jamboree Road 13124	open
Peet's Coffee Peet's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3927 Portola Pkwy	open
Pieology The Market Place, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13786 Jamboree Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3939 Portola Parkway Orange	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	13252 Jamboree Rd	open
Ren Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3935 Portola Pkwy	open
Restaurante Jacinto	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	De La Iglesia 2	open
Romano's Macaroni Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	13652 Jamboree Rd	open
Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3953 Irvine Blvd	open
Sauced BBQ & Spirits	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	13122 Jamboree Rd	open
sb Bake	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	53 Diamond Flats	open
Shake Shack Shake Shack	Quick service	Burgers · American	13656 Jamboree Rd	open
Shandong Style Food Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3935 Portola Pkwy	open
Skippy's Spot	Casual dining · Bar		20 Riverside	open
Specialty's Cafe	Café	Coffee	350 Commerce	open
Spiritea	Café	Coffee	13238 Jamboree Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	13200 Jamboree Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3997 Irvine Blvd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3901 Portola Pkwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3909 Irvine Blvd	open
Sushi Rev	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	13262 Jamboree Rd	open
Taco Rosa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	13792 Jamboree Rd	open
Tang N Tang Irvine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	3953 Irvine Blvd	open
TAPS Fish House & Brewery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	13390 Jamboree Rd	open
Texas de Brazil Texas de Brazil	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Latin American (other) · Brazilian	13772 Jamboree Rd	open
Thai Spice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	13254 Jamboree Rd	open
The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	13786 Jamboree Rd	open
Thirty Four Bar & Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13300 Jamboree Rd	open
Tortilla Beach Irvine Marketplace Islands Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers · American	13762 Jamboree Rd	open
Tous Les Jours	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3931 Irvine Blvd	open
Tustin Market Place Shake Shack	Quick service		13656 Jamboree Rd	open
Urban Plates Urban Plates	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	13380 Jamboree Rd	open
Vegan Bowls For All	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	13786 Jamboree Rd	open
Wara Bistro	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	350 Commerce #150	open
Wasa Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	13124 Jamboree Rd	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13250 Jamboree Rd Unit 113	open
Yalda’s Bakery	Bakery · Dessert · Catering	Bakery		open
Yogurtland The Market Place Yogurtland	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	13260 Jamboree Rd	open
Yoshiharu Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho	3935 Portola Pkwy	open
Zov's Zov's Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3915 Portola Pkwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	1	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	13	2	8	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	16	16	5	8	3	—	NAICS1997
2002	26	26	10	9	7	—	NAICS1997
2003	29	29	9	13	7	—	NAICS2002
2004	33	33	8	17	8	—	NAICS2002
2005	32	31	9	17	5	1	NAICS2002
2006	31	30	11	15	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	37	36	12	17	7	—	NAICS2002
2008	42	41	14	18	9	—	NAICS2007
2009	43	43	17	16	10	—	NAICS2007
2010	44	44	17	17	10	—	NAICS2007
2011	38	38	16	12	10	—	NAICS2007
2012	36	35	16	15	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	40	38	17	17	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	47	46	24	14	8	—	NAICS2012
2015	45	44	22	15	7	—	NAICS2012
2016	50	47	26	17	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	59	57	31	18	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	61	58	28	21	9	—	NAICS2017
2019	62	59	27	23	9	—	NAICS2017
2020	62	58	29	21	8	—	NAICS2017
2021	63	59	29	23	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	73	69	33	23	13	—	NAICS2022
2023	74	70	34	24	12	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92602. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
92620	2.4 mi	82	2023
92705	3.6 mi	141	2023
92782	3.6 mi	69	2023
92869	4.4 mi	66	2023
92604	4.4 mi	99	2023
92618	4.8 mi	173	2023
92780	4.9 mi	165	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.