BMIE Market 92694

Orange County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,764 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,583 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,915 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±497 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,944 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,933 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$189,966 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,048 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,454 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±223 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,127,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53,708 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	40.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	48 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92694
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+54.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+118.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+500.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,100.0% DERIVED: 2001 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	52 (range 46–58) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.9 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	94 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	94 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92694. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	94.1	94	40%	+37.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85.9	86	35%	+30.1
Market Momentum Score	94.1	94	25%	+23.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 94 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,764	92	40%	+36.8
Median household income (ACS)	189,966	99	40%	+39.5
Households (ACS)	11,915	89	20%	+17.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	118.2	95	35%	+33.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.4	59	25%	+14.7
Population (ACS)	35,764	92	20%	+18.4
Median household income (ACS)	189,966	99	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 94 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	54.8	92	50%	+46.0
10-year restaurant growth	118.2	95	30%	+28.4
20-year restaurant growth	500	99	20%	+19.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (83)

By cuisine

Coffee 13 · Sandwiches 12 · American 8 · Bakery 8 · Healthy / salads / bowls 8 · Asian 6 · Mexican 6 · Japanese 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Pizza 5 · Burgers 4 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Sushi 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Thai 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Quick service 14 · Café 10 · Coffee shop 10 · Bakery 8 · Bar 8 · Dessert 6 · Specialty food shop 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Winery / distillery / taproom 5 · Other 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Fast casual 2 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A & A Restaurant Enterprise Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		27742 Antonio Pkwy Ste K7	open
Albertsons Albertsons	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	27702 Crown Valley Pkwy Suite B	open
Bagel Bistro	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	30889 Gateway Pl	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	27642 Antonio Pkwy Unit H1	open
Blk Burgrz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	27742 Antonio Pkwy	open
Board & Brew Board & Brew	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	25606 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Brueggers Bagels Bruegger's Bagels	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	27702 Crown Valley Pkwy Unit F3	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	27702 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Canyon Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	75B Esencia Dr	open
Canyon Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	90 Lindura St	open
Canyon Coffee by Blue Hummingbird	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	75B Esencia Dr	open
Casa Ranchero	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	25606 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	27712 Antonio Pkwy	open
Choya Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	25612 Crown Valley Pkwy L-1	open
Cinnamon Productions Bakery Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	25672 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Corky's Kitchen & Bakery Corky's Kitchen & Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · American	27522 Antonio Pkwy	open
Creative Side Cookie Company	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
Crumbl - Ladera Ranch	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	25642 Crown Valley Pkwy Ste D-4	open
Custom Wine Cellar	Winery / distillery / taproom		35 Hallcrest Dr	open
Diho Siam Diho Siam Thai and Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Chinese · Asian	27702 Crown Valley Pkwy E3	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1501 Corporate Drive Suite B4	open
Flying Leap Vineyards & Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Forte Mediterranean Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Asian	1701 Corporate Dr	open
Frisby Winery and Brewing	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom · Bar		28522 Airoso St	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	30655 Gateway Pl.	open
It's A Grind	Coffee shop	Coffee	1101 Corporate Dr	open
Jalapenos Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	27602 Antonio Pkwy G-2	open
Jerry's Wood Fired Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	1701 Corporate Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	27702 Crown Valley Parkway Suite F-2	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	30859 Gateway Pl	open
Joe's Italian Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	25672 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Juice It Up!	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1101 Corporate Dr	open
Kanpai Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	27742 Antonio Pkwy Ste K6	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	27622 Antonio Pkwy	open
Ladera Community Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	25672 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Lahaina MAI Tai Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		29 Pisano St	open
Lemon & Life Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	27742 Antonio Pkwy K-6	open
Lola's Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	1101 Corporate Dr a1	open
Maggie Moo's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	25679 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Mama's Comfort Food & Cocktails - Ladera Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25606 Crown Valley Pkwy Ste K-2	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	27612 Antonio Parkway	open
Morena's Mexican Cuisine Morena's Mexican Cuisine Huntington Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican · Latin American (other)	30885 Gateway Pl	open
Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	25672 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	30893 Gateway Pl Ste. F-3	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	27412 Antonio Parkway	open
OniGuru Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	25642 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Pacific Whey	Café	Coffee	25672 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Panda Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	27602 Antonio Pkwy	open
Paris Baguette	Coffee shop	Coffee	25612 Crown Valley Pkwy Ste L-9	open
Picante	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25606 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
PokeBowlz and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Seafood · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls	27602 Antonio Pkwy	open
Pokeworks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	25642 Crown Valley Pkwy Ste E-3	open
Project Pie	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	25606 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Rancho Capistrano Winery LR Rancho Capistrano Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		25682 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
San Juan Capistrano Wine Cellar	Winery / distillery / taproom		8 Waltham Rd	open
Scarlet Kitchen and Lounge	Bar		30865 Gateway Pl	open
Selma's Chicago Pizzeria and Tap Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	27702 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Simply Perfect Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	19 Dennis Ln	open
Sourdough & Co. Sourdough & Co. Modesto H Street	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	27642 Antonio Pkwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	25636 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	27702 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	30835 Gateway Pl	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	27642 Antonio Pkwy Ste H2	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches		open
Taco Mesa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	27702 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Tacos & Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	27412 Antonio Pkwy Ste R5	open
Ten Mile Brewing Ten Mile Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		25662 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Thai Fix	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	25606 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
The Counter The Counter Custom Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	27742 Antonio Pkwy Ste K-7	open
The Great Greek Mediterranean Grill - Ladera Ranch, CA The Great Greek Mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean	27522 Antonio Pkwy #2	open
The Hilltop Bar	Bar		65 Esencia Dr	open
The Ranch Sports Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	27412 Antonio Pkwy	open
TJ's Firewood Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	KinderCare Learning Centers, 1000 Corporate Dr	open
Toastique Toastique	Café · Coffee shop	Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	27642 Antonio Pkwy	open
TOGO'S Sandwiches	Other	Sandwiches	27702 Crown Valley Pkwy Ste F2	open
Trader Joe's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		27542 Antonio Pkwy	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches	27412 Antonio Pkwy	open
Whealthy	Restaurant (service type not stated)		27412 Antonio Pkwy Ste R6	open
Which Wich Superior Sandwiches	Other	Sandwiches	25662 Crown Valley Pkwy	open
Xclusive Taqueria Moderna	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1701 Corporate Dr Ste C8	open
Yogurtland Mission Viejo Yogurtland	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	30841 Gateway Pl	open
Dickeys Barbecue Pit	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · BBQ	25606 Crown Valley Pkwy	closed
Zpizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	25672 Crown Valley Pkwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2001	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	1	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	1	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	13	4	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	17	15	6	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	19	19	11	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	23	22	9	8	5	—	NAICS2002
2008	24	23	7	10	6	—	NAICS2007
2009	24	22	8	10	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	28	26	9	12	5	—	NAICS2007
2011	28	25	9	11	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	28	25	9	12	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	25	22	7	12	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	28	26	8	13	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	33	31	8	16	7	1	NAICS2012
2016	30	30	11	12	7	—	NAICS2012
2017	33	33	11	15	7	—	NAICS2017
2018	32	31	10	17	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	38	36	13	15	8	—	NAICS2017
2020	39	36	14	15	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	38	35	14	14	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	43	40	13	18	9	—	NAICS2022
2023	52	48	15	23	10	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92694. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
92673	3.8 mi	44	2023
92675	4.3 mi	79	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.