BMIE Market 93625

Fresno County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,778 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±664 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,748 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±280 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,313 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,416 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$72,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,971 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,321 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±172 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$392,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,305 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 93625
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+266.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+175.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 93625. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.1	61	40%	+24.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.3	62	35%	+21.8
Market Momentum Score	46.3	46	25%	+11.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,778	69	40%	+27.5
Median household income (ACS)	72,500	51	40%	+20.4
Households (ACS)	2,748	66	20%	+13.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	35%	+22.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.5	62	25%	+15.6
Population (ACS)	8,778	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	72,500	51	20%	+10.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-15.4	15	50%	+7.6
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	30%	+19.5
20-year restaurant growth	266.7	96	20%	+19.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

Mexican 12 · American 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Latin American (other) 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Pizza 3 · Dessert 2 · Filipino 2 · Italian 2 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Indian 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Quick service 9 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 2 · Dessert 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ana's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	121 E Merced St Ste B	open
Banda Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	160 N 10th Street	open
Belladonna Baking Co.	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	114 S 5th St A	open
Big Rigz BBQ	Catering	BBQ · American		open
Burger Stop And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	2810 Manning Ave	open
Canales Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	121 E Merced St Ste B	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	326 E Merced St	open
China Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	119 E Merced St	open
Cocula's Taquería	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	Manning Ave	open
Cocula's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	220 E Merced St	open
El Mexicano Restaurant El Mexicano Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2833 Manning Ave	open
Fowler Crossroads Quiznos	Quick service	Sandwiches	216 W Merced St, Ste 104	open
Fowler's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	115 E Merced St	open
India Express	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	208 N 8th St	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		206 S 10th St	open
Jocy's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	228 S 8th St	open
Kabab City Kabab City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	106 E Merced St	open
Las Princesas Taqueria	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Mexican · Sandwiches	204 E Merced St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	216 W Merced St Ste 102	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	327 W Merced	open
Mi Favorito Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	115 N 6th St	open
Mom’s Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American		open
Naynay's Filipino Fusion	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino	317 S 4th St	open
Pizza Factory Pizza Factory, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	133 S 6th St	open
Popsie's Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	203 E Main St	open
Port of Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2747 E Manning Ave	open
Quiznos Quiznos	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	216 W Merced St #104	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	216 W Merced St	open
Station 48 Taproom	Bar	Spanish / tapas	127 S 6th St	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	124 N Sumner Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	105 S. 10th Street	open
The Fratello's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza · Filipino	121 E Merced St	open
Bobby Salazar's Mexican Restaurant & Cantina, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2810 San Antonio Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	7	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	5	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	12	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	12	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	12	—	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	11	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 93625. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
93725	3.3 mi	14	2023
93616	4.8 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.