BMIE Market 93725

Fresno County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24,575 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,068 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,647 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±491 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	24,979 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,974 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$72,232 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,830 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,299 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±179 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$281,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,536 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	67.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 93725
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+27.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+55.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+133.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+250.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 93725. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.9	70	40%	+28.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.2	79	35%	+27.7
Market Momentum Score	84.1	84	25%	+21.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24,575	85	40%	+34.0
Median household income (ACS)	72,232	51	40%	+20.2
Households (ACS)	6,647	79	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	55.6	85	35%	+29.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.7	89	25%	+22.3
Population (ACS)	24,575	85	20%	+17.0
Median household income (ACS)	72,232	51	20%	+10.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	27.3	82	50%	+41.0
10-year restaurant growth	55.6	85	30%	+25.6
20-year restaurant growth	133.3	88	20%	+17.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (51)

By cuisine

Mexican 19 · Latin American (other) 7 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Bakery 3 · Sandwiches 3 · American 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Indian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Pizza 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 36 · Quick service 6 · Food truck 5 · Bar 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 Amigos Taco Truck	Food truck	Mexican	2588 S Maple Ave	open
Bimbo Bakeries Usa Bimbo Bakeries USA	Bakery	Bakery	3292 S Willow Ave	open
Birrieria Michoacan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4002 E Jensen Ave	open
Buttery Buns	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Sandwiches	1456 E North Ave Ste 102	open
Camaron Pelao \| Tacos Y Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sushi · Japanese	4618 E Church Ave	open
Carnitas La Piedad Taquería	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4123 E Jensen Ave	open
Coca-cola Bottling Co Consolidate	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3220 E Malaga Ave	open
Corona's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Mexican · Juice / smoothies	4618 E Church Ave	open
Curry House Indian Bistro & Bar #2 West & Ashlan	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5189 S Cedar Ave	open
Daana Paani \| Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	3135 E Central Ave	open
Dreyer's Grand Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4065 E Therese Ave	open
El Dorado Taqueria y Botanas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4545 E Church Ave	open
El Mexicano Taqueria El Mexicano Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	348 Manning Ave	open
El Ramy - Fresno	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4049 E Jensen Ave	open
Flick's Candy	Dessert		4185 E Jefferson Ave	open
Fresno wholesale food	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2961 S Angus Ave	open
Golden State Hops	Brewery / taproom · Bar		8570 S Cedar Ave	open
Grapevine	Bar		5007 S Clovis Ave	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7010 E North Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		3085 E Central Ave	open
Kraft Foods Plant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		2494 S Orange Ave	open
La Acapulquena 1	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3355 S Maple Ave	open
La Elegante Taco Truck	Food truck	Mexican	2373-2399 E Muscat Ave	open
La Esmeralda Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4145 E Jensen Ave	open
Las Rosas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2982 E Central Ave	open
Malaga Food Concepts, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4131 S Chestnut Ave	open
Mansmann Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		5716 E Jensen Ave	open
McCoy's Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4131 S Chestnut Ave	open
Meyao's Master Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4099 E Jefferson Ave	open
Miller Milling Company	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		2908 S Maple Ave	open
Moga Mandi	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7580 S Maple Ave	open
Nitaann's Edible Creations	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2575 S Willow Ave	open
Panda Express	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1432 E North Ave	open
Ponce's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2381 S Peach Ave	open
Pressed Juicery Pressed Juicery	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	3530 E Church Ave	open
Punjabi Dhaba	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	3767 S Golden State Blvd	open
Pupuseria Anita	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		2456 S Boyd Ave	open
Restaurant Charapan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1155 Fulton mall Suite #102	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1456 E North Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3115 E Central Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2621 S Chestnut Ave Suite 101	open
Sunnyland Bulgur Wheat	Quick service		4469 E Annadale Ave	open
Taco Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	4807 E Jensen Ave	open
Tacos Juanito's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4287 E Church Ave	open
Tagins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2590 S Maple Ave Ste 104	open
Taqueria Jaliscience	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3115 E Central Ave	open
Taqueria Las Plebes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4107 E Jensen Ave	open
Tonys Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3694 S Bagley Ave	open
Trails End Bar	Bar		4807 E Jensen Ave	open
Victoria's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4145 E Jensen Ave	open
Vie-Del Company	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		11903 S Chestnut Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	4	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	7	4	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	10	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	7	1	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	7	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	7	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	7	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	1	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	3	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	2	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	3	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	12	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	13	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	13	3	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	14	—	9	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 93725. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
93625	3.3 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.