BMIE Market 94065

San Mateo County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,673 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±774 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,569 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±270 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,359 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,943 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$215,955 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,324 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,811,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±139,565 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94065
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-40.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-35.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-7.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+62.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 1–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -1.2 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	10 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94065. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -1.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.5	83	40%	+33.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.4	54	35%	+19.1
Market Momentum Score	9.5	10	25%	+2.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,673	73	40%	+29.2
Median household income (ACS)	215,955	99	40%	+39.7
Households (ACS)	4,569	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-35	9	35%	+3.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.1	68	25%	+17.0
Population (ACS)	11,673	73	20%	+14.6
Median household income (ACS)	215,955	99	20%	+19.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 10 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-40.9	7	50%	+3.4
10-year restaurant growth	-35	9	30%	+2.6
20-year restaurant growth	-7.1	18	20%	+3.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

Coffee 10 · American 6 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · European 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Café 9 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 3 · Catering 3 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
77 Social Club Redwood City	Bar	Spanish / tapas	200 Redwood Shores Pkwy	open
Bagel Street Cafe Bagel Street Cafe - Blackhawk	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	254 Redwood Shores Pkwy	open
Bay Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	French · American	223 Twin Dolphin Dr	open
Baysport Physical Therapy	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Redwood Shores Pkwy	open
Bon Appetit 500 Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	500 Oracle Pkwy	open
Bon Appetit at Oracle	Café · Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Bakery · European · Dessert · Coffee	300 Oracle Pkwy	open
Bovcontrol	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Redwood Shores Pkwy	open
Cafe 400	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 Oracle Pkwy	open
Chef’s Counter	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	300 Oracle Pkwy	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	224 Redwood Shores Pkwy	open
Ea Sports HQ	Bar · Casual dining			open
Falafel Tazah Redwood City Falafel Tazah	Quick service	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	256 Redwood Shores Pkwy	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	238 Redwood Shores Parkway	open
Gluten Free Pizza Garden (Redwood Shores) Amici's East Coast Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Pizza · Juice / smoothies · Italian	226 Redwood Shores Pkwy	open
Jamba Juice Redwood Shores	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	220 Redwood Shores Pkwy,	open
Mendocino Farms Mendocino Farms	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Catering	Sandwiches	242 Redwood Shores Pkwy	open
Mistral Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	370 Bridge Pkwy Ste 6	open
Oracle Cafés	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Coffee	100 Oracle Pkwy	open
Oracle Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	500 Oracle Pkwy	open
Oracle Redwood Shores	Restaurant (service type not stated)		300 Oracle Pkwy	open
Otoko Sushi OTOKO SUSHI	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	240 Redwood Shores Pkwy	open
Rendezvous	Café · Catering	Coffee · American	350 Twin Dolphin Dr	open
Specialty's Cafe & Bakery	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Sandwiches	1100 Island Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	264 Redwood Shores Pkwy Redwood Shores Marketplace	open
Steve's Cafe & Catering	Café · Catering	Coffee · Sandwiches	303 Twin Dolphin Dr #110	open
SweetU Cafe & Catering	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Dessert	1201 Radio Rd	open
The Counter	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2039 Seabrook Ct	open
The Grill House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	246 Redwood Shores Pkwy	open
The Hollo Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	1100 Island Dr Ste 150	open
The Spot Asian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	240 Redwood Shores Pkwy	open
TOGO'S Sandwiches	Other	Sandwiches	242 Redwood Shores Pkwy	open
UNA MAS	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	224 Redwood Shores Pkwy	open
Ventana Del Mar Hoa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican	350 Baltic Cir	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	14	9	5	1	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	16	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	19	14	8	3	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	16	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	16	13	5	4	4	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	14	7	3	4	1	NAICS2002
2004	15	11	4	3	4	1	NAICS2002
2005	16	10	4	3	3	2	NAICS2002
2006	12	9	4	2	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	29	15	7	4	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	32	17	7	5	5	1	NAICS2007
2009	30	16	7	5	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	30	17	7	5	5	—	NAICS2007
2011	32	19	7	6	6	—	NAICS2007
2012	32	18	7	8	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	32	20	7	10	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	33	21	9	8	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	37	25	12	9	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	37	23	10	9	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	35	21	7	8	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	36	22	8	8	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	32	16	6	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	32	15	5	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	28	12	5	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	27	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 94065. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
94404	1.8 mi	69	2023
94070	2.8 mi	105	2023
94002	2.9 mi	50	2023
94403	3.1 mi	112	2023
94063	4.1 mi	136	2023
94402	4.4 mi	24	2023
94401	4.8 mi	165	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.