BMIE Market 94303
Santa Clara County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 46,879 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,113 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 14,466 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±564 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 45,467 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 14,551 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $151,609 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,205 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,771 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±215 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,826,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±174,240 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94303 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -5.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +19.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +54.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +23.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 33 (range 27–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 96 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94303. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 95.6 | 96 | 40% | +38.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 80.5 | 81 | 35% | +28.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 43.7 | 44 | 25% | +10.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 96 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 46,879 | 96 | 40% | +38.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 151,609 | 96 | 40% | +38.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 14,466 | 93 | 20% | +18.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 19.4 | 62 | 35% | +21.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.9 | 81 | 25% | +20.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 46,879 | 96 | 20% | +19.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 151,609 | 96 | 20% | +19.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -5.1 | 23 | 50% | +11.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 19.4 | 62 | 30% | +18.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 54.2 | 69 | 20% | +13.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (75)
By cuisine
Mexican 17 · Coffee 11 · American 7 · Pizza 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Asian 4 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 4 · Dessert 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · European 1 · Filipino 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Quick service 17 · Café 11 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Bar 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Casual dining 2 · Catering 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ada's Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 3700 Middlefield Rd | open |
| AeroPress | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1121 San Antonio Rd | open |
| Baylands Cafe Restaurant & Banquets | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee · American | 1875 Embarcadero Rd | open |
| Cafe Campana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25 Newell Rd Apt 3 | open | |
| Chef Zhao Kitchen | Catering | Chinese | 2180 W Bayshore Rd #120 | open |
| Chinese Academy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1950 University Ave | open |
| Cloud9 Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1901 Embarcadero Rd | open |
| Continental Caterers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 918 Industrial Ave | open | |
| Country Time Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2200 University Ave | open | |
| Coupa | Café · Quick service · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1035 California Ave | open |
| Deja Vu | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3921 Fabian Way | open |
| Dohatsuten Ramen and Tapas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 799 San Antonio Rd | open |
| El PATAS | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2398 University Ave | open |
| El Sabor Michoacano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2398 University Ave | open |
| El Taco Ranchero El Taco Ranchero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 920 Commercial St | open |
| Emmanuel's Pizza & Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1435 E Bayshore Rd | open |
| Festive Occasions | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 107 Verbena Dr | open | |
| Fuel Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 1950 University Ave | open |
| Green Elephant Gourmet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southeast Asian (other) · Chinese · Asian | 3950 Middlefield Rd | open |
| Holy Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 3921 Fabian Way | open |
| House of Bagels House of Bagels - San Francisco | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 2190 W Bayshore Rd | open |
| Jamba Jamba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1765 E Bayshore Rd B | open |
| Just Lunch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1950 University Ave Ste 100 | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 1493 E Bayshore Rd | open | |
| La Estrellita Market and Deli La Estrellita Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Mexican · Sandwiches · Latin American (other) | 2387 University Ave | open |
| La Michoacanita Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2194 University Ave | open |
| Las Delicias | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2398 University Ave | open |
| Las michoacanitas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2373 University Ave | open |
| LeQuy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 3906 Middlefield Rd | open |
| Los Delicios Paleteria East Palo Alto | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican | 2382 Cooley Ave | open |
| Maria's Kitchen in EPA | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Filipino | Stevens Suite | open |
| Mariscos el paraíso | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2398 ave University | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1721 E Bayshore Avenue | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2401 University Ave | open |
| Mi Pueblo Food Center | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1731 E Bayshore Rd | open |
| Ming's Chinese Cuisine and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1700 Embarcadero Rd | open |
| Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3918 Middlefield Rd | open |
| Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1765 E Bayshore Rd | open |
| Nourish Cafe by Tony Caters | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 3921 Fabian Way | open |
| Palo Alto Golf Course Club House & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1875 Embarcadero Rd | open | |
| Panda Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1741 Bayshore Rd | open | |
| Peet's Coffee Peet's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3904 Middlefield Rd | open |
| Pepreka | Catering | Indian | 1183 Amarillo Ave | open |
| Pupusas El Torogoz | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Latin American (other) | 2338 Clarke Ave | open |
| Quattro Restaurant and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian · European | 2050 University Ave | open |
| Rainbow Ice Cream Truck | Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 2271 Euclid Ave | open |
| Rick's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3946 Middlefield Rd | open |
| Riley's House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 345 Maine St | open |
| Rojoz Wraps | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood | 3906 Middlefield Rd | open |
| Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 702 Colorado Ave | open |
| San Francisco Soup | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1950 University Ave | open | |
| Seniore’s Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Chicken / wings · Burgers | 1491 E Bayshore Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1745 East Bayshore Blvd. Ravenswood @ 101 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 2190 West Bayshore Road Ste. 180 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3962 Middlefield Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 910 E. Charleston Road | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Mexican | 1701 E Bayshore Rd. | open |
| Tacos De Canasta En San José California y East palo alto CLAUS | Bakery · Specialty food shop | Bakery | 2397 Palo Verde Ave | open |
| Tacos y Hamburguesas Toluco Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Burgers | 2150 University Ave | open |
| Taqueria El Jarocho | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 2395 University Ave | open |
| Taqueria La Cazuela | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2390 Clarke Ave | open |
| Tarsis taqueria LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | pulgas ave, Bay Rd | open |
| The Matriarch Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3921 Fabian Way | open | |
| The Stevens Suite | Bar | 1 Way to Have Fun | open | |
| Three Brothers Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1760 W Bayshore Rd | open |
| Three Brothers Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2220 University Ave | open |
| Togo's TOGO'S Sandwiches | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Dessert · Quick service | Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1765 E Bayshore Rd Ste. A2 | open |
| Vie Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 765 San Antonio Rd | open | |
| Villa Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2380 Cooley Ave | open | |
| Wild Onion Bistro and Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 750 San Antonio Rd | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1765 E Bayshore Rd Ste 101 | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 3922 Middlefield Rd | open |
| Zoomcaffe | Café | Coffee | 2452 Watson Ct | open |
| [esc] | Café | Coffee | 2050 University Ave | open |
| Good Earth Cafe & Bakery | Café | Coffee | 1058 Elwell Ct | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 34 | 30 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 33 | 29 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 36 | 31 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 33 | 29 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 33 | 26 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 34 | 29 | 11 | 14 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 32 | 29 | 11 | 15 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 15 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 34 | 28 | 9 | 16 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 29 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 35 | 28 | 6 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 27 | 8 | 13 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 33 | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 29 | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 32 | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 34 | 29 | 6 | 16 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 36 | 31 | 6 | 18 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 44 | 38 | 8 | 20 | 10 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 43 | 37 | 8 | 20 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 41 | 35 | 5 | 21 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 45 | 36 | 5 | 23 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 48 | 39 | 6 | 24 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 46 | 37 | 5 | 23 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 41 | 34 | 4 | 21 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 40 | 32 | 4 | 20 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 38 | 29 | 3 | 18 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 20 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |