BMIE Market 94542
Alameda County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 14,871 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,936 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±385 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,717 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,595 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $133,734 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,692 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,676 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±200 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,148,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43,368 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94542 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 3.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +83.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +175.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +175.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +175.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 17 (range 14–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 94 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94542. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 82.9 | 83 | 40% | +33.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 88.3 | 88 | 35% | +30.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 93.9 | 94 | 25% | +23.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 14,871 | 77 | 40% | +30.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 133,734 | 94 | 40% | +37.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,936 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 175 | 96 | 35% | +33.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.4 | 83 | 25% | +20.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 14,871 | 77 | 20% | +15.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 133,734 | 94 | 20% | +18.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 94 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 83.3 | 94 | 50% | +47.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 175 | 96 | 30% | +28.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 175 | 90 | 20% | +18.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (14)
By cuisine
Coffee 4 · Bakery 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Breakfast 2 · Pizza 2 · American 1 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 5 · Café 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Buffet 1 · Dessert 1 · Quick service 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bronco Billy's Pizza Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 26775 Hayward Blvd | open |
| Cal State East Bay Dining Commons | Buffet | 1901 Harder Rd | open | |
| China Best Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | University Plaza, 26775 Hayward Blvd | open |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast | 25800 Carlos Bee Blvd | open |
| Fresh Fuel Juicery | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 26775 Hayward Blvd | open |
| Jamba Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 25800 Carlos Bee Blvd, | open |
| Mini's Bake Studio | Bakery | Bakery | 2667 Oakes Dr | open |
| Nieves la unica | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 26775 Hayward Blvd | open |
| Panda Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 25800 Carlos Bee Blvd | open |
| PEARL'S | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Breakfast | 26775 Hayward Blvd | open |
| Pizza Hut Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 25800 Carlos Bee Blvd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 25800 Carlos Bee Blvd | open |
| Taco Bell | Quick service | 25800 Carlos Bee Blvd | open | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 26775 Hayward Blvd Ste I | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 5 | 4 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 7 | 4 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 6 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 7 | 4 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 7 | 4 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 7 | 5 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 9 | 6 | — | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 8 | 5 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 8 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 21 | 8 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 19 | 9 | — | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 22 | 11 | — | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |