BMIE Market 94599

Napa County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,348 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±83 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,491 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,875 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,021 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,310 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,372 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,283 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	65.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,376 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±367 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$808,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±124,676 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94599
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	49.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+40.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.33) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	33 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94599. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.33, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	57.8	58	40%	+23.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	33.5	33	35%	+11.7
Market Momentum Score	42.0	42	25%	+10.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,348	54	40%	+21.6
Median household income (ACS)	80,372	63	40%	+25.0
Households (ACS)	1,491	56	20%	+11.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-6.7	20	35%	+7.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	41.8	13	25%	+3.2
Population (ACS)	3,348	54	20%	+10.8
Median household income (ACS)	80,372	63	20%	+12.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.7	65	50%	+32.4
10-year restaurant growth	-6.7	20	30%	+6.0
20-year restaurant growth	-6.7	18	20%	+3.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (84)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 8 · French 7 · European 6 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Winery / distillery / taproom 40 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Bar 15 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
ad hoc & addendum	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6476 Washington St	open
Arnyca Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		6505 Washington St	open
Beau Vigne	Winery / distillery / taproom		6795 Washington St Ste O	open
Bistro Jeanty	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	6510 Washington St	open
Blankiet Estate	Winery / distillery / taproom		2360 California Dr	open
Boisset Family Estates	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		6505 Washington St	open
Bottega Gran Fondo	Winery / distillery / taproom		6525 Washington St	open
Bottega Napa Valley Bottega	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	6525 Washington St	open
Bouchon Bakery Bouchon Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · French · Coffee	6528 Washington St	open
Buchon Cafe, Yountville, Ca Bouchon Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Coffee shop	French · Coffee · European	6523 Washington St	open
Burgers and Half Bottles Bouchon Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · Burgers · European	6518 Washington St	open
Chandon	Winery / distillery / taproom		1 California Dr	open
Chiarello Family Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		6525 Washington St	open
Ciccio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	6770 Washington St	open
Clementine Yountville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · European	6525 Washington St	open
Cliff Lede Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1473 Yountville Cross Rd	open
Compadres Mexican Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6539 Washington St	open
Cucina A La Carte	Coffee shop	Coffee	6525 Washington St # 1300	open
DIY Wine at Home	Winery / distillery / taproom		1850 Oak Cir	open
Dominus Estate	Winery / distillery / taproom		2570 Napa Nook Rd	open
Gemstone Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		7153 Silverado Trail	open
Girard Winery - Yountville	Winery / distillery / taproom		6795 Washington St	open
Goosecross Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		1119 State Ln	open
Gordon's Cafe and Wine Ba	Bar		6770 Washington St	open
Grigsby Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		1500 Yountville Cross Rd	open
Groezinger Estate Room	Winery / distillery / taproom		6539 Washington St	open
Handwritten Wines Handwritten	Winery / distillery / taproom		6494 Washington St	open
Hestan Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		6548 Washington St	open
Hope & Grace Wines, Napa Valley	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6540 Washington St	open
Hopper Creek Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6462 Washington St	open
Hurley's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6518 Washington St	open
JCB Collection	Bar		6505 Washington St	open
Jcb Tasting Salon	Bar		6505 Washington St	open
Jessup Cellars Jessup Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6740 Washington St	open
Joseph Phelps Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Kapcsandy Family Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1001 State Ln	open
Kollar Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	6525 Washington St	open
Lakeside Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	7901 Solano Ave	open
Larkin Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		4 Burgundy Way	open
Lucy Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6526 Yount St	open
Madeleines Macarons	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast	6752 Washington St	open
Magnum Vino	Winery / distillery / taproom		6514 Washington St # 2197	open
MAZE Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Mini Model Model Bakery	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	6523 Washington St	open
Napa Valley Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6795 Washington St	open
Navone Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		6505 Washington St	open
Nord Estate Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		6476 Washington St	open
Ottimo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	6525 Washington St	open
Pacific Blues Cafe	Café	Coffee	6525 Washington St	open
Pahlmeyer Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar			open
Pancha's	Bar		6764 Washington St	open
Perry Lang's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	6539 Washington St	open
Priest Ranch Tasting Room	Winery / distillery / taproom		6490 Washington St	open
Protea	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6488 Washington St	open
R A Harrison Family Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		6711 Washington St	open
R+D Kitchen R+D Kitchen Yountville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	6795 Washington St	open
Redd	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6480 Washington St	open
Redd Wood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6755 Washington St	open
RH Yountville Wine Vault	Bar		6725 Washington St	open
RO Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	6480 Washington St	open
Robert Mondavi Vineyards Robert Mondavi Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Robert Mondavi Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Rubia Wine Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Silver Trident Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		6484 Washington St	open
Southside Cafe	Café	Coffee	6752 Washington St	open
Stewart Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		6752 Washington St	open
Tacos Garcia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6792 Washington Street	open
Tamber Bay Tamber Bey Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1400 Yountville Cross Rd	open
The French Laundry	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	French	6640 Washington St	open
The Kitchen at Priest Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6488 Washington St	open
The White Room at CLV	Winery / distillery / taproom		1473 Yountville Cross Rd	open
Thomas Keller Restaurant Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	6640 Washington St	open
Tierra Roja Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Toile	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	1 California Dr	open
Tom Scott Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		1465 Yountville Cross Rd	open
V Wine Cellar	Bar		6525 Washington St	open
Wine Country Connection	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom		6484 Washington St	open
Yountville Coffee Caboose	Coffee shop	Coffee	6523 Washington St	open
Yountville Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	6498 Washington St	open
Yountville Food Emporium Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6540 Washington St	open
Yountville Tasting Station	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6505 Washington St	open
Coqueta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	6525 Washington St	closed
La Calenda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6518 Washington St	closed
Ma(i)sonry Napa Valley	Bar		6711 Washington St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	13	13	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	16	14	13	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	19	17	15	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	18	14	13	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	15	12	10	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	17	15	11	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	19	17	13	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	17	15	12	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	15	13	10	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	15	13	11	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	15	14	12	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	14	12	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	15	13	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	12	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	13	11	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	15	13	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	17	15	13	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	12	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	15	14	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	17	15	13	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	13	12	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	11	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	11	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	10	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	11	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	14	14	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 94599. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
94562	2.7 mi	1	2009
94573	4.9 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.