BMIE Market 95120

Santa Clara County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	36,967 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,682 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,660 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±505 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	37,457 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,785 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$250,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$2,000,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	39.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95120
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+53.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+90.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	45 (range 41–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.82) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	95 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95120. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.82, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	95.0	95	40%	+38.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85.5	86	35%	+29.9
Market Momentum Score	77.8	78	25%	+19.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 95 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	36,967	93	40%	+37.0
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	40%	+39.9
Households (ACS)	12,660	90	20%	+18.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	53.9	85	35%	+29.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.8	69	25%	+17.3
Population (ACS)	36,967	93	20%	+18.5
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	20%	+20.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	53.9	85	30%	+25.5
20-year restaurant growth	42.9	60	20%	+12.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (49)

By cuisine

Asian 7 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 5 · Mexican 5 · Dessert 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Tea / bubble tea 4 · Thai 4 · American 3 · Chinese 3 · Japanese 3 · Sushi 3 · French 2 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Bakery 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Bar 4 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Quick service 2 · Casual dining 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
6500 Leyland Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	6500 Leyland Park Dr	open
Alamitos Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		23505 Alamitos Rd	open
Almaden Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	6471 Almaden Expy Ste 70	open
Amato Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6081 Meridian Ave	open
Ana's Bakery	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	1175 Redmond Ave	open
Bamboo Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5945 Almaden Expy #120	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	6467 Almaden Expy Ste 70	open
Blvd Coffee of Almaden	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6055 Meridian Ave #20	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6467 Almaden Expy Ste 10	open
Charlie's Cheesecake Works	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1179 Redmond Ave	open
Chispiro's Burritos Y Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6081 Meridian Ave #20	open
Country Inn Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6484 Camden Ave	open
Elements Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	6471 Almaden Expy Ste 10	open
Emerald and Lily Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee	6738 Tannahill Dr	open
Erawan Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	5945 Almaden Expy	open
Khun chai Thai restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	6471 Almaden Expressway Ste 75	open
Kowloon Kitchen Take Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6081 Meridian Ave	open
La Casa Grande	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	21350 Almaden Rd	open
La Foret	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	21747 Bertram Rd	open
La Playita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1169 Redmond Ave	open
La Terraza Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	6944 Almaden Expy	open
Lee's Village	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	6477 Almaden Expy	open
Legends Pizza Co Legends Pizza Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5965 Almaden Expy	open
Lin Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6924 Almaden Expy	open
Lou	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6155 Almaden Expy	open
Lpc Almaden Investment Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5965 Almaden Expy Ste 125	open
Luxe Shisha Lounge	Bar		1237 Swinging Gate Ct	open
Maple Leaf Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	6469 Almaden Expy	open
Mountain Mikes Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6477 Almaden Expy	open
Mr. Mojito Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5925 Almaden Expy	open
Pomodoro Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6932 Almaden Expy	open
Posh Bagel in Almaden	Bakery · Catering	Bakery · American	6471 Almaden Expy #80	open
Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6932 Almaden Expy	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1159 Redmond Ave	open
Sabores of the Valley	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6944 Almaden Expy	open
San Jose - Redmond Ave. Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1159 Redmond Ave.	open
Sonoma Chicken Coop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5925 Almaden Expy	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6471-90 Almaden Expy	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1155 Redmond Avenue	open
T4 Almaden Valley	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	6950 Almaden Expy	open
T4 Tea For U	Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service	Tea / bubble tea	6950 Almaden Expy	open
T4 清茶達人 Almaden Valley San Jose	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	6950 Almaden Expy	open
Tacos Al Pastor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6469 Almaden Expy Ste 50	open
Teahaus	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea		open
Thai Love You	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	6055 Meridian Ave Ste 100	open
Thai Soul Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	6471 Almaden Expressway, Ste 75	open
TOGO'S TOGO'S Sandwiches	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	6469 Almaden Expy	open
UnWined Wine Bar & Shop	Bar		6946 Almaden Expy	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	6477 Almaden Expy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	21	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	19	17	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	23	21	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	31	30	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	28	26	8	12	5	—	NAICS1997
1999	28	27	11	11	4	—	NAICS1997
2000	28	27	12	11	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	25	23	10	11	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	24	23	7	13	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	29	28	10	13	4	—	NAICS2002
2004	31	27	9	12	5	1	NAICS2002
2005	34	32	12	13	6	—	NAICS2002
2006	35	33	14	12	6	—	NAICS2002
2007	35	32	11	15	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	35	32	14	12	5	1	NAICS2007
2009	31	28	12	9	7	—	NAICS2007
2010	31	28	12	11	5	—	NAICS2007
2011	30	27	13	8	6	—	NAICS2007
2012	32	29	13	9	7	—	NAICS2012
2013	29	26	12	8	6	—	NAICS2012
2014	29	27	12	9	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	29	25	11	10	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	27	24	11	8	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	34	32	16	9	7	—	NAICS2017
2018	34	32	16	10	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	35	34	17	10	7	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	34	15	11	8	—	NAICS2017
2021	38	36	16	12	8	—	NAICS2017
2022	36	34	15	12	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	43	40	15	17	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95120. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
95032	3.3 mi	45	2023
95123	4.1 mi	136	2023
95119	4.1 mi	20	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.