BMIE Market 95119

Santa Clara County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,841 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±990 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,649 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±304 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,970 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,200 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$174,375 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,532 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,438 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±609 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,247,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56,995 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95119
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-4.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+17.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+53.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+122.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 18–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95119. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.9	82	40%	+32.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.8	66	35%	+23.0
Market Momentum Score	43.5	43	25%	+10.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,841	72	40%	+28.8
Median household income (ACS)	174,375	98	40%	+39.2
Households (ACS)	3,649	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	17.7	61	35%	+21.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.5	41	25%	+10.4
Population (ACS)	10,841	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	174,375	98	20%	+19.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-4.8	23	50%	+11.5
10-year restaurant growth	17.7	61	30%	+18.3
20-year restaurant growth	53.9	68	20%	+13.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (46)

By cuisine

Mexican 5 · Burgers 4 · Coffee 4 · American 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Pizza 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Filipino 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Quick service 11 · Café 4 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Buffet 1 · Casual dining 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
ASI Mexican Fusion Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	6239 Santa Teresa Blvd	open
Baja Fresh	Quick service		117 Bernal Rd, Ste 80	open
Bay Area Insulation Services, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6288 San Ignacio Ave Ste D	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	172 Bernal Rd	open
Chayakada	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea · Indian	117 Bernal Rd	open
Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	125 Bernal Rd	open
Daily Dish Donuts Daily Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	6233 Santa Teresa Blvd	open
Egghead Sando Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	6201 Santa Teresa Blvd	open
El Burrito Loco Taco Truck El Burrito Loco	Food truck	Mexican	6835 Vía del Oro #6821	open
El Burritoloco	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		Via del Oro great oks	open
Fire &amp Brilliance, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6980 Santa Teresa Blvd Ste 100	open
Five Star Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	125 Bernal Rd #50	open
Fu Kee	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	121 Bernal Rd	open
Grant &amp Associates Accounting &amp Tax	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6920 Santa Teresa Blvd Ste 108	open
Hankki House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean	125 Bernal Rd Ste 60	open
Hawaiian BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · BBQ	6233 Santa Teresa Blvd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		6101 San Ignacio Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	6239 Santa Teresa Blvd	open
Jamba Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	125 Bernal Rd B-40	open
Jb Restaurant 3464 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6101 San Ignacio Ave	open
Kaiser San Jose Cafeteria	Café	Coffee	250 Hospital Parkway	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	105 Bernal Rd	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6201 Santa Teresa	open
Moonbean's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6219 Santa Teresa Blvd	open
Nick The Greek Nick The Greek	Quick service	Greek · Mediterranean	125 Bernal Rd #70	open
Polenta Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		200 Prague Dr	open
Ptealicious	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino	117 Bernal Rd Ste 80	open
Ramen Champ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	6229 Santa Teresa Blvd	open
Ramg Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		125 Bernal Rd Ste 50	open
Regal Bagel	Bakery	Bakery	125 Bernal Rd	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6217 Santa Teresa Blvd	open
Santa Teresa Nick The Greek	Quick service		125 Brenal Rd # 70	open
Shiki Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	6229 Santa Teresa Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	125 Bernal Rd	open
Sweet Tomatoes	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	113 Bernal Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	170 Bernal Rd	open
Tactical Advanced Group, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6203 San Ignacio Ave Ste 110	open
Tasty Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	117 Bernal Rd Ste 70	open
Tea Era	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	6205 Santa Teresa Blvd	open
Tkg Solutions, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20 Great Oaks Blvd Ste 205	open
Togo's TOGO'S Sandwiches	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	125 Bernal Rd #30	open
Troy's House Of Fish'nchips	Food truck		6203 San Ignacio Ave	open
Una Mas Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	90 Great Oaks Blvd Ste 208	open
Una Mas Partners One Market Plaza Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		175 Bernal Rd Ste 1	open
Una Mas Patners One Market Plaza, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		90 Great Oaks Blvd Ste 208	open
Rfs Investment Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6146 Camino Verde Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	9	2	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	12	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	12	11	2	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	12	1	9	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	13	1	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	15	13	1	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	16	14	2	10	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	21	19	4	11	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	21	18	5	10	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	21	18	4	11	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	21	17	3	10	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	26	17	3	10	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	25	17	3	11	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	17	2	12	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	22	17	2	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	26	19	2	14	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	23	19	2	14	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	17	2	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	24	20	—	13	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	21	—	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	26	22	—	13	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	19	—	12	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	20	—	13	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	19	4	9	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	23	20	4	9	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95119. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
95139	1.4 mi	13	2023
95138	2.5 mi	24	2023
95123	2.6 mi	136	2023
95013	2.8 mi	—
95120	4.1 mi	40	2023
95111	4.5 mi	62	2023
95136	4.7 mi	36	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.