BMIE Market 95136
Santa Clara County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 48,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,287 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 16,306 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±598 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 42,989 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 15,448 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $142,433 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,561 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,762 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,144,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,361 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95136 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +44.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +44.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +89.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 30 (range 22–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 96 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95136. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 95.6 | 96 | 40% | +38.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 84.6 | 85 | 35% | +29.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 78.3 | 78 | 25% | +19.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 96 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 48,056 | 96 | 40% | +38.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 142,433 | 95 | 40% | +38.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 16,306 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 73 | 35% | +25.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.5 | 82 | 25% | +20.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 48,056 | 96 | 20% | +19.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 142,433 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 44 | 88 | 50% | +44.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 73 | 30% | +22.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 44 | 60 | 20% | +12.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (57)
By cuisine
Bakery 8 · Coffee 7 · Asian 6 · Dessert 6 · Mexican 6 · American 5 · Tea / bubble tea 5 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Japanese 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Indian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Quick service 12 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Café 5 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85°C Bakery Cafe 85C Bakery Cafe | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 541 W Capitol Expy | open |
| Aitawa Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5038 Edenvale Ave | open |
| Aqui Waterford Plaza Center | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 503 W Capitol Expy | open | |
| Artisan Candies and Baked Goods, Too! | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery | Bakery · Tea / bubble tea · Dessert | 4432 Pearl Ave | open |
| Ayan Tour and Travels Siliguri | Bar | 898-700 Midvale Ln, San Jose, CA 95136 | open | |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 430 W Capitol Expy | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 171 Branham Ln Suite 11 | open |
| BBQ Island | Bar · Casual dining | BBQ | Faye Park Dr. | open |
| Best Budget Espresso Grinder | Coffee shop | Coffee | 171 Branham Ln Ste 10 | open |
| Birria Patro Jaramillo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3961 Snell Ave | open |
| Bona Pizza San Jose | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 549 W Capitol Expy | open |
| Bossman's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 418 W Capitol Expy | open |
| Cezaine | Bakery | Bakery | San Jose Vineyard Pl | open |
| Cha Cha Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 547 W Capitol Expy | open |
| Dawaat Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Middle Eastern | 4472 Pearl Ave | open |
| Egghead Sando Café | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 519 W Capitol Expy | open |
| Fresh Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 4478 Pearl Ave | open |
| Fumee Cafe | Bar | 4464 Pearl Ave | open | |
| Hand Pull Noodle House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 505 W Capitol Expy | open |
| Hey Pot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 505 W Capitol Expressway | open |
| High Five Pizza | Bar · Casual dining | Pizza | 171 Branham Ln | open |
| Jubba Somali Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | African · American | 5330 Terner Way | open |
| Julie's Catering | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3939 Snell Ave | open |
| Kampai Sushi & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · Sushi · Japanese · Asian | 171 branham Lane Ste 3 | open |
| Kay’s Tea House | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 422 W Capitol Expy | open |
| Layla's Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4472 Pearl Ave | open |
| Lemon Grass | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1100 Weepinggate Ln | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 715 W Capital Auto Mall Expy | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 163 Branham Ln | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4800 Almaden Expressway | open |
| Mimosas Mexican Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Breakfast | 4660 Pearl Ave | open |
| Moveable Feast Eastridge | Food truck | 410 W Capitol Expy | open | |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 171 Branham Lane Suite 7 | open |
| Pappa Georggeo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4658 Pearl Ave | open |
| Pho Now Pho Hoa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 505 W Capitol Expy | open |
| Pop Up Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 185 Branham Ln | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 705 Capitol Expy | open |
| Ru's Kitchen | Quick service | Indian · Asian | open | |
| San Jose, Santa Clara, Palo Alto Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3234 Lago de Como Pl | open |
| Silver Creek Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 200 Edenvale Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 605 W Capitol Expy | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 222 W Capitol Expy | open |
| Subway | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 705 Capitol Expressway Auto Ma, Suite 50 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 517 W Capitol Expressway | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 171 Branham Lane Suite 5 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 535 W Capitol Expressway | open |
| Tacos de Canasta Acapulquito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3620 Snell Ave | open |
| Taqueria El Coral | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 426 W Capitol Expy | open |
| Tastea Tastea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | 509 W Capitol Expy | open |
| TeaZenTea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 422 W Capitol Expy | open |
| The Rolling Pin | Bakery | Bakery | Darya Ln | open |
| The Stand - American Classics Redefined | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 503 West Capitol Expressway | open | |
| Togo's Sandwiches TOGO'S Sandwiches | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 424 W Capitol Expy | open |
| VỊ NHỚ | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | open | |
| Wienerschnitzel Wienerschnitzel | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 845 Branham Ln | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 171 Branham Lane Unit 4 | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Juice / smoothies · Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian | 179 Branham Ln | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 21 | 19 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 19 | 18 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 22 | 22 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 25 | 24 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 23 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 24 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 27 | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 28 | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 30 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 27 | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 30 | 27 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 29 | 24 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 26 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 26 | 23 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 29 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 30 | 27 | 6 | 17 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 31 | 28 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 36 | 32 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 38 | 34 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 29 | 27 | 6 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 25 | 4 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 31 | 27 | 5 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 28 | 25 | 6 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 26 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 29 | 28 | 5 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 37 | 36 | 8 | 18 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |