BMIE Market 95204
San Joaquin County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 31,035 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,738 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,405 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±524 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 27,786 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,047 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $75,548 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,429 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,457 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±75 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $387,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,974 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95204 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -2.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +18.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +34.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 35 (range 29–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.26) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 36 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95204. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.26, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 75.8 | 76 | 40% | +30.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 52.4 | 52 | 35% | +18.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 36.4 | 36 | 25% | +9.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 31,035 | 90 | 40% | +35.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 75,548 | 56 | 40% | +22.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,405 | 88 | 20% | +17.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -2.5 | 22 | 35% | +7.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.6 | 62 | 25% | +15.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 31,035 | 90 | 20% | +17.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 75,548 | 56 | 20% | +11.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 36 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -2.5 | 22 | 30% | +6.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 18.2 | 44 | 20% | +8.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (109)
By cuisine
Coffee 17 · American 13 · Mexican 13 · Asian 10 · Pizza 10 · Latin American (other) 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Breakfast 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · BBQ 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Japanese 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Burgers 2 · French 2 · Sushi 2 · Thai 2 · African 1 · Caribbean 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 69 · Bar 21 · Café 14 · Coffee shop 12 · Quick service 12 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Bakery 6 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Catering 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 Alder | Bar | Asian | 151 W Alder St | open |
| Amaræn Café | Bar | 1720 Pacific Ave | open | |
| Amazing Stockton Taxi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3700 N Sutter St | open | |
| AVE On The Mile | Casual dining · Bar | 2333 Pacific Ave | open | |
| B And W Barbecue And Homestyle Cooking | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 535 W Harding Way | open | |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2300 Pacific Ave | open |
| Body’s Drinks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2043 Tuxedo Ave S | open | |
| Bottley's BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 2210 Country Club Blvd | open |
| Bourbon Street Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American · Asian | 3900 West Ln | open |
| Bubble Cafe Express | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 3414 Delaware Ave | open |
| C'S Cobra Chai | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar | Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches · Coffee | 2034 Pacific Ave | open |
| California Donuts and Deli | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Dessert | Dessert · Sandwiches · Bakery | 4130 N El Dorado St | open |
| Casa Flores On Miracle Mile | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1831 Pacific Ave | open | |
| Casagrandes Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering | Sandwiches · Breakfast | 1910 Country Club Blvd | open |
| Center Stage Bbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 2210 Country Club Blvd | open | |
| Centrale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1825 Pacific Ave | open |
| Chinatown, Stockton | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | open | |
| Cjs Jamaican Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 4368 N Sutter St | open |
| Cocoro Bistro Sushi Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 2105 Pacific Ave | open |
| Comal Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 209 Dorris Pl | open |
| Country club hairdressers | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1913 Country Club Blvd | open | |
| Creperie Le Pompon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · French | 2319 Pacific Ave | open |
| Cuppajo Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 2626 PACIFIC Ave | open |
| De Parsia's Restaurant & Catering | Catering | Italian · Pizza | 3404 Delaware Ave | open |
| Don temoc's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 2123 Country Club Blvd | open |
| Duck Nook Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 103 W Harding Way | open |
| Dumbuya's Mercado - African Caribbean Mini Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 4120 N El Dorado St | open |
| Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1665 pacific ave | open |
| Edge - Nutrition & Wellness Club | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 2324 Pacific Ave | open |
| El Chilango Chido | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2535A Pacific Ave | open |
| El grullense | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1360 E Alpine Ave | open |
| El Grullito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1687 N California St #3 | open |
| Elegant Truffle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1908 Country Club Blvd | open | |
| Empresso Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2120 Pacific Ave | open |
| Eric's New York Style Pizza Eric’s Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 4118 N El Dorado St | open |
| Fat City Brew & BBQ | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Sandwiches · Burgers | 1740 Pacific Ave | open |
| Fondita Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2708 Country Club Blvd | open |
| Gian's Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Italian | 2112 Pacific Ave | open |
| Gina's Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Coffee shop | Pizza · Coffee · American | 2300 W Alpine Ave | open |
| Go Falafel Greek Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Greek | 236 W Alpine Ave | open |
| Groundstack Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3210 Pacific Ave | open |
| House of Shaw Café & Bakery | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 227 Dorris Pl | open |
| Islander's Lounge | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 151 W Alder St | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 1504 Pacific Ave | open | |
| Jacob's Pizza Bar | Bar | Pizza | 844 Dave Brubeck Way | open |
| Jimmie's Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2130 Country Club Blvd | open | |
| Jimmies Place Express | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2130 Country Club Blvd ste B | open |
| Kenneth | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2041 Pacific Ave | open | |
| Kester's Cake Decorating | Bakery | Bakery | 503 W Harding Way | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1875 Country Club Blvd | open |
| La Palma Mexican Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2301 Pacific Ave | open |
| La Paloma Taco Truck | Food truck | Mexican | 2850 N California St | open |
| Luu's Chicken Bowl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chicken / wings | 1632 Pacific Ave | open |
| Manny's California Fresh Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 1612 Pacific Ave | open |
| Mariscos El Cachanilla | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4127 West Ln | open |
| Midtown Creperie & Café | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | French · Coffee | 2113 Pacific Ave | open |
| Mile Wine Company | Bar | 2113 Pacific Ave | open | |
| Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2828 Country Club Blvd #3 | open |
| New Canton Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 2130 County Club Blvd. | open |
| New York Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 1864 Country Club Blvd | open |
| Nick & Andy Pizza 2 Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2828 Country Club Blvd Ste 5 | open | |
| Pacific Ave Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1665 pacific ave | open |
| Paleteria Y Neveria Tocumbo | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican · Juice / smoothies | 2219 W Alpine Ave | open |
| Panaderia La Yolanda | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Latin American (other) | 2860 N California St | open |
| Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2828 Country Club Boulevard | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Que 225 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1740 Pacific Ave | open |
| R&J's Brewhouse | Brewery / taproom · Bar | open | ||
| Restaurant Tarasco Corazon de Plata | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 140 E Harding Way | open | |
| Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2405 Pacific Ave | open |
| Sakura Hibachi Restaurant & Catering | Catering | Japanese · Asian | 1904 Pacific Ave | open |
| Sam's Cafe Sam's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Pizza · American · Italian · Coffee · Breakfast | 2328 Pacific Ave | open |
| Seoul Soondubu | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Asian | 2041 Pacific Ave | open |
| Shakers | Bar | 2130 Country Club Blvd Ste B | open | |
| Sherman's Chinese Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2828 Country Club Blvd | open |
| Siamese Street Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 3236 Pacific Ave | open |
| Singh Pizza Usa Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2828 Country Club Blvd Ste 1 | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1687 N California St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 1810 Pacific Ave | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi | 2808 Country Club Blvd | open |
| Stockton - Pacific Avenue Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2405 Pacific Avenue | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 1687 N California St | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2828 Country Club Plaza, Suite 2, Door 3 | open |
| Super Burger Drive In | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2120 Country Club Blvd | open |
| SweetensOfficial | Dessert | Breakfast · Dessert | 1502 N El Dorado St | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 45 E Harding Way | open |
| Tacos a La Leña | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1502 N El Dorado St | open |
| Tacos El Rey Azteca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1546 Pacific Ave | open |
| Tacos Guadalajara | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 505 W Harding Way | open |
| Tacos La Palmita | Food truck | Mexican | Oak Park, 3545 Alvarado Ave | open |
| Taps Barrel House | Bar · Brewery / taproom | 1926 Pacific Ave | open | |
| TCBY Little Caesars | Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2520 Pacific Ave | open |
| Thai Me Up | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 2125 Pacific Ave | open |
| The Black Rabbit | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | 2353 Pacific Ave Ste B Ste B | open | |
| The Mile | Bar | 1825 Pacific Ave | open | |
| The Real Stockton Graduate | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | American | 2207 Country Club Blvd | open |
| Trail Coffee Roasters Trail Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 870 Dave Brubeck Way | open |
| True Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Juice / smoothies | 2341 Pacific Ave | open |
| Ululani’s Hawaiian Shave Ice - Stockton | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2130 Pacific Ave | open |
| Valley Brewing Co | Brewery / taproom · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 157 W Adams St | open | |
| Whirlows | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 1926 Pacific Ave | open |
| Whiskey Barrel Tavern | Bar | 151 E Alder St | open | |
| Wienerschnitzel Wienerschnitzel | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 130 W Harding Way | open |
| Winchester's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 2714 Country Club Blvd | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1687 N California Street Suite #4 | open |
| Winns Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 2714 Country Club Blvd | open | |
| Yujin Ramen & Noodle Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Vietnamese · Tea / bubble tea · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 3202 Pacific Ave | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 2353 Pacific Ave Ste C | closed |
| Taste Of Texas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 535 W Harding Way | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 33 | 29 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 35 | 31 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 37 | 32 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 38 | 32 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 42 | 32 | 11 | 16 | 5 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 40 | 31 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 42 | 33 | 11 | 15 | 6 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 44 | 34 | 12 | 17 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 42 | 33 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 19 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 45 | 35 | 12 | 20 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 42 | 35 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 43 | 36 | 14 | 17 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 47 | 41 | 18 | 19 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 43 | 37 | 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 44 | 39 | 19 | 16 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 45 | 38 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 40 | 34 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 47 | 40 | 16 | 19 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 48 | 41 | 17 | 19 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 49 | 43 | 15 | 21 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 50 | 43 | 19 | 19 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 51 | 46 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 44 | 39 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 42 | 37 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 40 | 35 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 43 | 36 | 12 | 17 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 48 | 40 | 11 | 20 | 9 | 4 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 50 | 39 | 10 | 17 | 12 | 4 | NAICS2022 |